CVX Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 41 trades in period
+9.82%
Last 6 Months Return
$22,401.23
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$20,398.48
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
70
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
32.5/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
70.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 69.7
30-Day Momentum
23
+2.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-47 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$20,398.48
Current Value
$22,401.23
Period P&L
$2,002.76
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
26 /
15
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-6.64%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,709,334.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,002.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,002.76
Gross Return
+9.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,398.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $201.15 | 98 | $19,712.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.91 | 98 | $20,277.18 | $20,398.47 |
+$564.49 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET | $205.61 | 99 | $20,355.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $210.44 | 99 | $20,833.56 | $20,876.64 |
+$478.17 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $213.82 | 97 | $20,740.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $207.20 | 97 | $20,098.40 | $20,234.50 |
$-642.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $196.34 | 103 | $20,223.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.54 | 103 | $20,964.74 | $20,976.22 |
+$741.72 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $198.16 | 105 | $20,806.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.14 | 105 | $21,224.70 | $21,394.12 |
+$417.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $190.47 | 112 | $21,332.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.31 | 112 | $21,762.72 | $21,824.20 |
+$430.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.88 | 114 | $21,646.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.31 | 114 | $21,239.34 | $21,417.22 |
$-406.98 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $185.91 | 115 | $21,379.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.80 | 115 | $20,677.00 | $20,714.57 |
$-702.65 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $184.82 | 112 | $20,700.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.92 | 112 | $21,159.04 | $21,173.21 |
+$458.64 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $186.56 | 113 | $21,081.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $188.25 | 113 | $21,272.25 | $21,364.18 |
+$190.97 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $191.82 | 111 | $21,292.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $192.62 | 111 | $21,380.82 | $21,452.98 |
+$88.80 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $192.39 | 111 | $21,355.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.77 | 111 | $20,620.47 | $20,718.16 |
$-734.82 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $181.19 | 114 | $20,655.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $184.85 | 114 | $21,072.33 | $21,134.83 |
+$416.67 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $186.02 | 113 | $21,020.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $189.87 | 113 | $21,455.31 | $21,569.88 |
+$435.05 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $194.99 | 110 | $21,448.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.91 | 110 | $20,780.65 | $20,901.63 |
$-668.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $182.73 | 114 | $20,831.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $186.59 | 114 | $21,271.26 | $21,341.67 |
+$440.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $186.70 | 114 | $21,283.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $190.45 | 114 | $21,711.30 | $21,769.17 |
+$427.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $189.82 | 114 | $21,639.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $187.52 | 114 | $21,377.28 | $21,506.97 |
$-262.20 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $191.62 | 112 | $21,461.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.90 | 112 | $20,036.80 | $20,082.33 |
$-1,424.64 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $179.50 | 111 | $19,924.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $173.66 | 111 | $19,276.26 | $19,434.09 |
$-648.24 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $173.17 | 112 | $19,395.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.35 | 112 | $19,191.20 | $19,229.73 |
$-204.36 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $173.17 | 112 | $19,395.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.09 | 112 | $18,826.08 | $18,660.25 |
$-569.48 (-2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $171.88 | 108 | $18,563.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.00 | 108 | $19,224.00 | $19,321.21 |
+$660.96 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $174.45 | 110 | $19,188.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.49 | 110 | $19,853.90 | $19,986.16 |
+$664.95 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $182.06 | 109 | $19,844.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.69 | 109 | $20,349.21 | $20,490.83 |
+$504.67 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $188.62 | 108 | $20,370.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.00 | 108 | $20,844.00 | $20,963.87 |
+$473.04 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $196.69 | 106 | $20,849.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $190.51 | 106 | $20,193.53 | $20,308.26 |
$-655.61 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $188.07 | 107 | $20,123.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.23 | 107 | $20,675.62 | $20,860.38 |
+$552.12 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.55 | 109 | $20,769.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $194.45 | 109 | $21,194.51 | $21,285.34 |
+$424.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $194.45 | 109 | $21,194.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.62 | 109 | $20,450.58 | $20,541.41 |
$-743.93 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $188.67 | 108 | $20,376.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $190.97 | 108 | $20,624.76 | $20,789.81 |
+$248.40 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $195.67 | 106 | $20,741.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $199.63 | 106 | $21,161.31 | $21,210.10 |
+$420.29 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $201.47 | 105 | $21,154.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.51 | 105 | $21,578.55 | $21,634.30 |
+$424.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $207.07 | 104 | $21,535.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $203.93 | 104 | $21,209.24 | $21,308.26 |
$-326.04 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $207.07 | 104 | $21,535.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.48 | 104 | $20,641.40 | $20,414.38 |
$-893.88 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.24 | 102 | $20,322.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.42 | 102 | $21,054.84 | $21,146.74 |
+$732.36 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $208.74 | 101 | $21,082.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $213.11 | 101 | $21,523.98 | $21,587.98 |
+$441.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $209.16 | 103 | $21,543.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $215.16 | 103 | $22,161.48 | $22,205.65 |
+$617.67 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $212.62 | 104 | $22,111.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $216.93 | 104 | $22,561.24 | $22,654.93 |
+$449.28 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $215.30 | 105 | $22,606.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $208.35 | 105 | $21,876.75 | $21,925.08 |
$-729.85 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $203.62 | 107 | $21,787.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $208.07 | 107 | $22,263.49 | $22,401.23 |
+$476.15 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,401.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,401.23
Total Return:
+124.01%