Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:07:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

18
+0.4%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.8 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,892.63
Current Value
$8,701.07
Period P&L
$808.40
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
40 / 24
Best Trade
+5.51%
Worst Trade
-9.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,072,033.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$808.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$808.40
Gross Return
+10.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,892.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET $24.49 329 $8,056.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $23.45 329 $7,715.05 $7,738.04 $-341.17
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $22.87 338 $7,730.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 338 $7,469.80 $7,477.78 $-260.26
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET $21.45 348 $7,466.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $20.68 348 $7,196.64 $7,208.08 $-269.70
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET $20.66 348 $7,189.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $21.09 348 $7,341.06 $7,359.46 +$151.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $22.10 333 $7,359.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $22.80 333 $7,592.40 $7,592.56 +$233.10
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:50am ET $22.75 333 $7,574.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 333 $7,897.10 $7,915.57 +$323.01
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $23.01 343 $7,894.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $22.32 343 $7,655.42 $7,676.84 $-238.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $21.73 353 $7,670.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET $22.17 353 $7,824.25 $7,830.40 +$153.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $23.26 336 $7,815.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $23.73 336 $7,971.60 $7,986.88 +$156.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $23.57 338 $7,966.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $24.11 338 $8,149.18 $8,169.40 +$182.52
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $22.57 362 $8,168.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $23.13 362 $8,373.06 $8,373.93 +$204.53
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $23.18 361 $8,367.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $22.40 361 $8,085.50 $8,091.45 $-282.48
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET $22.29 363 $8,091.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $22.86 363 $8,298.18 $8,298.36 +$206.91
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $23.81 348 $8,285.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $23.05 348 $8,019.66 $8,032.14 $-266.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $22.98 349 $8,018.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $23.51 349 $8,204.99 $8,218.85 +$186.71
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:40am ET $23.65 347 $8,206.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.22 347 $8,404.34 $8,416.64 +$197.79
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $24.36 345 $8,403.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $24.86 345 $8,576.70 $8,590.14 +$173.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
18 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $26.14 328 $8,572.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 328 $8,224.60 $8,242.46 $-347.68
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:35am ET $25.24 326 $8,226.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $24.02 326 $7,830.52 $7,846.37 $-396.09
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
20 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $24.58 319 $7,841.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $25.09 319 $8,005.30 $8,010.65 +$164.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.89 321 $7,989.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:50am ET $25.43 321 $8,163.03 $8,183.99 +$173.34
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:00am ET $25.96 315 $8,177.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $24.81 315 $7,815.15 $7,821.96 $-362.03
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
23 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $24.59 318 $7,819.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:10am ET $25.19 318 $8,010.42 $8,012.76 +$190.80
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:10am ET $26.00 308 $8,008.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.20 308 $7,761.60 $7,766.36 $-246.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.19 320 $7,742.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $24.74 320 $7,915.20 $7,939.16 +$172.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $25.30 313 $7,917.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $24.52 313 $7,676.32 $7,698.15 $-241.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $25.97 296 $7,687.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $26.55 296 $7,857.32 $7,868.35 +$170.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $25.41 309 $7,850.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $25.99 309 $8,029.37 $8,047.57 +$179.22
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $25.02 321 $8,033.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 321 $8,476.01 $8,490.55 +$442.98
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $29.33 289 $8,477.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET $29.99 289 $8,667.11 $8,679.85 +$189.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:40am ET $28.67 302 $8,656.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $29.30 302 $8,848.60 $8,871.62 +$191.77
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $28.80 308 $8,868.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $29.50 308 $9,086.00 $9,088.76 +$217.14
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $28.53 318 $9,072.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:30am ET $27.59 318 $8,775.21 $8,791.43 $-297.33
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:50am ET $26.11 336 $8,772.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:15am ET $25.31 336 $8,504.16 $8,522.63 $-268.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:45am ET $25.04 340 $8,513.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $24.25 340 $8,245.00 $8,254.03 $-268.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:05am ET $24.26 340 $8,250.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $24.86 340 $8,454.10 $8,458.03 +$204.00
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $25.50 331 $8,438.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:20am ET $26.02 331 $8,614.27 $8,633.46 +$175.43
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:45am ET $25.04 340 $8,513.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $25.68 340 $8,731.20 $8,851.06 +$217.60
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $26.86 329 $8,836.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $27.22 329 $8,955.38 $8,969.50 +$118.44
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET $25.69 349 $8,965.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $24.91 349 $8,693.59 $8,697.28 $-272.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET $24.08 361 $8,692.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $24.74 361 $8,931.14 $8,935.54 +$238.26
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $24.81 360 $8,931.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:25am ET $24.02 360 $8,647.20 $8,651.14 $-284.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $22.98 376 $8,640.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $23.73 376 $8,922.86 $8,933.52 +$282.38
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $24.08 370 $8,909.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET $24.64 370 $9,114.95 $9,138.72 +$205.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $26.86 329 $8,836.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $24.34 329 $8,007.86 $8,309.64 $-829.08
(-9.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $23.66 351 $8,302.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $22.72 351 $7,974.72 $7,981.45 $-328.19
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:45am ET $21.44 372 $7,977.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $21.94 372 $8,161.49 $8,165.40 +$183.95
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:20am ET $24.35 335 $8,157.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:10am ET $24.84 335 $8,321.40 $8,329.55 +$164.15
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:45am ET $25.13 331 $8,318.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:25am ET $25.64 331 $8,485.19 $8,496.71 +$167.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:25am ET $25.29 335 $8,472.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $26.04 335 $8,723.40 $8,747.96 +$251.25
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET $25.73 339 $8,722.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:40am ET $24.93 339 $8,451.27 $8,476.76 $-271.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $25.11 337 $8,463.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:50am ET $25.84 337 $8,709.76 $8,722.77 +$246.01
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:30am ET $25.24 345 $8,707.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET $25.85 345 $8,918.25 $8,933.19 +$210.42
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET $26.09 342 $8,922.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $25.29 342 $8,649.18 $8,659.59 $-273.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET $24.71 350 $8,648.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $25.35 350 $8,872.50 $8,883.59 +$224.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $23.54 377 $8,874.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET $24.05 377 $9,066.85 $9,075.86 +$192.27
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $24.31 373 $9,067.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $24.80 373 $9,250.40 $9,258.63 +$182.77
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $24.49 378 $9,257.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $23.73 378 $8,968.05 $8,968.78 $-289.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:25am ET $23.55 380 $8,949.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:50am ET $24.16 380 $9,178.90 $9,198.68 +$229.90
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:20am ET $24.16 380 $9,180.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $24.65 380 $9,365.10 $9,382.98 +$184.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $24.78 378 $9,368.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $23.98 378 $9,064.44 $9,078.69 $-304.29
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET $23.69 383 $9,075.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $22.92 383 $8,776.45 $8,779.95 $-298.74
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $21.98 399 $8,770.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $22.46 399 $8,961.54 $8,971.47 +$191.52
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $21.54 416 $8,960.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $20.89 416 $8,690.24 $8,701.07 $-270.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,701.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,298.93
Total Return: -12.99%
Back to Rebel Contraire