GILD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 37 trades in period
+5.77%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,737.40
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$13,933.39
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
37.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 36.9
30-Day Momentum
6
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,384
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,933.39
Current Value
$14,737.40
Period P&L
$804.05
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,098,825.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$804.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$804.05
Gross Return
+5.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,933.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:45am ET | $123.04 | 113 | $13,903.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:15am ET | $119.05 | 113 | $13,452.65 | $13,482.47 |
$-450.88 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $117.60 | 114 | $13,405.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $120.33 | 114 | $13,717.05 | $13,793.69 |
+$311.22 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $124.01 | 111 | $13,765.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $127.27 | 111 | $14,126.97 | $14,155.55 |
+$361.86 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $123.00 | 115 | $14,145.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $126.19 | 115 | $14,511.85 | $14,522.40 |
+$366.85 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $125.61 | 115 | $14,445.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $127.11 | 115 | $14,617.65 | $14,694.90 |
+$172.50 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $125.67 | 116 | $14,577.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $126.03 | 116 | $14,619.48 | $14,736.67 |
+$41.77 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $124.35 | 118 | $14,672.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $120.53 | 118 | $14,222.54 | $14,286.50 |
$-450.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:10am ET | $121.73 | 117 | $14,242.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $121.69 | 117 | $14,237.15 | $14,281.24 |
$-5.27 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET | $119.97 | 119 | $14,276.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $122.56 | 119 | $14,584.05 | $14,588.85 |
+$307.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $123.69 | 117 | $14,471.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $126.35 | 117 | $14,782.37 | $14,899.49 |
+$310.64 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $125.97 | 118 | $14,864.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:05am ET | $124.54 | 118 | $14,695.72 | $14,730.75 |
$-168.74 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:40am ET | $123.33 | 119 | $14,676.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.49 | 119 | $14,219.31 | $14,273.79 |
$-456.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $120.82 | 118 | $14,256.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $123.52 | 118 | $14,574.77 | $14,591.80 |
+$318.01 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $123.28 | 118 | $14,546.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $122.10 | 118 | $14,407.80 | $14,453.15 |
$-138.65 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $122.13 | 118 | $14,411.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $125.03 | 118 | $14,753.54 | $14,795.35 |
+$342.20 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.08 | 120 | $14,769.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $125.55 | 120 | $15,065.40 | $15,091.15 |
+$295.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $132.60 | 113 | $14,983.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $135.32 | 113 | $15,291.16 | $15,398.51 |
+$307.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $137.15 | 112 | $15,360.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.19 | 112 | $15,701.28 | $15,739.55 |
+$341.04 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $140.42 | 112 | $15,727.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $143.47 | 112 | $16,068.64 | $16,081.15 |
+$341.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $144.89 | 110 | $15,937.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.20 | 110 | $16,302.00 | $16,445.25 |
+$364.10 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $151.69 | 108 | $16,382.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $149.74 | 108 | $16,171.92 | $16,234.65 |
$-210.60 (-1.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $153.76 | 105 | $16,144.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.97 | 105 | $15,641.85 | $15,731.70 |
$-502.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $147.33 | 106 | $15,616.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.05 | 106 | $15,799.30 | $15,914.02 |
+$182.32 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.57 | 107 | $15,789.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.86 | 107 | $15,286.02 | $15,410.05 |
$-503.97 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $144.56 | 106 | $15,323.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.10 | 106 | $15,699.13 | $15,785.82 |
+$375.77 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.79 | 107 | $15,706.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.63 | 107 | $15,475.94 | $15,555.24 |
$-230.58 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $144.53 | 107 | $15,464.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $140.09 | 107 | $14,989.63 | $15,080.16 |
$-475.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $141.24 | 106 | $14,971.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $136.82 | 106 | $14,503.45 | $14,612.17 |
$-467.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.06 | 106 | $14,528.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $139.87 | 106 | $14,826.22 | $14,910.03 |
+$297.86 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $137.98 | 108 | $14,901.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $138.96 | 108 | $15,007.68 | $15,015.87 |
+$105.84 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $139.37 | 107 | $14,912.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $139.49 | 107 | $14,925.43 | $15,028.71 |
+$12.84 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $137.98 | 108 | $14,901.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $140.76 | 108 | $15,202.08 | $15,329.49 |
+$300.78 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $142.70 | 107 | $15,268.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.97 | 107 | $14,762.79 | $14,823.38 |
$-506.11 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $140.24 | 105 | $14,724.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.05 | 105 | $14,495.77 | $14,594.48 |
$-228.90 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $134.26 | 108 | $14,499.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $129.81 | 108 | $14,019.48 | $14,114.42 |
$-480.06 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $129.04 | 109 | $14,065.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $131.96 | 109 | $14,383.64 | $14,432.70 |
+$318.28 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $130.62 | 110 | $14,368.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $133.39 | 110 | $14,672.90 | $14,737.40 |
+$304.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,737.40
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,737.40
Total Return:
+47.37%