GLD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 37 trades in period
-4.02%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,985.58
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$18,738.94
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
57
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
24.8/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
58.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 57.3
30-Day Momentum
2
-6.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$18,738.94
Current Value
$17,985.58
Period P&L
$-753.43
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
18 /
19
Best Trade
+4.86%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,369,586.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-753.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-753.43
Gross Return
-4.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,738.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.75 | 44 | $17,633.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.21 | 44 | $18,489.24 | $18,763.87 |
+$856.24 (+4.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $408.34 | 45 | $18,375.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $417.70 | 45 | $18,796.61 | $19,185.18 |
+$421.31 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $416.63 | 46 | $19,164.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $425.80 | 46 | $19,586.80 | $19,607.23 |
+$422.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $438.92 | 44 | $19,312.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.53 | 44 | $18,591.32 | $18,886.01 |
$-721.22 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $428.80 | 44 | $18,867.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $440.24 | 44 | $19,370.56 | $19,389.37 |
+$503.36 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $437.40 | 44 | $19,245.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $440.24 | 44 | $19,370.78 | $19,514.55 |
+$125.18 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $442.56 | 44 | $19,472.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $442.52 | 44 | $19,470.88 | $19,512.79 |
$-1.76 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $435.67 | 44 | $19,169.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $431.63 | 44 | $18,991.72 | $19,334.81 |
$-177.98 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $418.55 | 46 | $19,253.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $427.41 | 46 | $19,660.86 | $19,742.32 |
+$407.51 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $419.59 | 47 | $19,720.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $430.15 | 47 | $20,217.05 | $20,238.64 |
+$496.32 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $435.79 | 46 | $20,046.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $431.60 | 46 | $19,853.37 | $20,045.67 |
$-192.97 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $429.65 | 46 | $19,763.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $415.78 | 46 | $19,125.88 | $19,407.65 |
$-638.02 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $419.23 | 46 | $19,284.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $415.36 | 46 | $19,106.56 | $19,229.86 |
$-177.79 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $407.47 | 47 | $19,151.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $416.01 | 47 | $19,552.47 | $19,631.24 |
+$401.38 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $408.80 | 48 | $19,622.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $396.53 | 48 | $19,033.44 | $19,042.52 |
$-588.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $397.90 | 47 | $18,701.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.65 | 47 | $17,890.64 | $18,231.86 |
$-810.66 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.94 | 48 | $17,949.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $382.19 | 48 | $18,345.12 | $18,627.86 |
+$396.00 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $387.37 | 48 | $18,593.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.58 | 48 | $19,179.84 | $19,213.94 |
+$586.08 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $397.82 | 48 | $19,095.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $385.82 | 48 | $18,519.36 | $18,637.94 |
$-576.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $384.23 | 48 | $18,443.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.84 | 48 | $17,512.32 | $17,707.22 |
$-930.72 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $369.87 | 47 | $17,383.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $369.82 | 47 | $17,381.54 | $17,704.87 |
$-2.35 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $373.79 | 47 | $17,568.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $380.88 | 47 | $17,901.35 | $18,038.09 |
+$333.22 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $380.17 | 47 | $17,868.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.33 | 47 | $17,499.74 | $17,669.61 |
$-368.48 (-2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $374.97 | 47 | $17,623.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.26 | 47 | $17,308.22 | $17,354.24 |
$-315.37 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $373.68 | 46 | $17,189.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $381.36 | 46 | $17,542.56 | $17,707.52 |
+$353.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $371.63 | 47 | $17,466.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $370.03 | 47 | $17,391.41 | $17,632.32 |
$-75.20 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $367.83 | 47 | $17,287.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $376.02 | 47 | $17,672.94 | $18,017.48 |
+$385.16 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $377.12 | 47 | $17,724.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $374.39 | 47 | $17,596.33 | $17,889.17 |
$-128.31 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $390.97 | 45 | $17,593.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.85 | 45 | $17,993.25 | $18,288.77 |
+$399.60 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $396.90 | 46 | $18,257.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.37 | 46 | $18,647.02 | $18,678.21 |
+$389.44 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $401.34 | 46 | $18,461.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $403.12 | 46 | $18,543.52 | $18,760.09 |
+$81.88 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $411.03 | 45 | $18,496.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.45 | 45 | $18,920.35 | $19,184.09 |
+$424.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $427.66 | 44 | $18,817.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $414.55 | 44 | $18,240.20 | $18,607.25 |
$-576.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $406.46 | 45 | $18,290.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.56 | 45 | $18,160.20 | $18,476.75 |
$-130.50 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $405.13 | 45 | $18,230.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $392.07 | 45 | $17,643.15 | $17,889.28 |
$-587.47 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $392.69 | 45 | $17,671.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $400.67 | 45 | $18,030.15 | $18,248.38 |
+$359.10 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $399.08 | 45 | $17,958.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $393.23 | 45 | $17,695.57 | $17,985.58 |
$-262.80 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,985.58
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,985.58
Total Return:
+79.86%