GS Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 42 trades in period
-11.36%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,332.29
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$19,554.69
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
50.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 50.2
30-Day Momentum
5
-5.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,554.69
Current Value
$17,332.29
Period P&L
$-2,222.37
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
22 /
20
Best Trade
+4.38%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,598,110.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,222.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,222.37
Gross Return
-11.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,554.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $834.53 | 23 | $19,194.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $851.84 | 23 | $19,592.32 | $20,252.48 |
+$398.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $836.55 | 24 | $20,077.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $803.59 | 24 | $19,286.19 | $19,461.35 |
$-791.13 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $816.04 | 23 | $18,769.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $833.24 | 23 | $19,164.52 | $19,856.84 |
+$395.49 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $863.45 | 22 | $18,995.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $835.00 | 22 | $18,370.00 | $19,231.05 |
$-625.79 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $867.22 | 22 | $19,078.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $905.24 | 22 | $19,915.28 | $20,067.38 |
+$836.33 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $899.40 | 22 | $19,786.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $868.87 | 22 | $19,115.14 | $19,395.83 |
$-671.55 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $899.49 | 21 | $18,889.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $919.58 | 21 | $19,311.18 | $19,817.62 |
+$421.79 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $898.52 | 22 | $19,767.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $917.00 | 22 | $20,174.00 | $20,224.23 |
+$406.61 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $932.69 | 21 | $19,586.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $928.00 | 21 | $19,488.00 | $20,125.74 |
$-98.49 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $937.81 | 21 | $19,694.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $907.17 | 21 | $19,050.57 | $19,482.30 |
$-643.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $920.68 | 21 | $19,334.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $920.41 | 21 | $19,328.61 | $19,476.63 |
$-5.67 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:10pm ET | $936.17 | 20 | $18,723.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $940.78 | 20 | $18,815.60 | $19,568.83 |
+$92.20 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $949.40 | 20 | $18,987.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $970.43 | 20 | $19,408.60 | $19,989.53 |
+$420.70 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $942.30 | 21 | $19,788.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $947.39 | 21 | $19,895.09 | $20,096.32 |
+$106.79 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $993.78 | 20 | $19,875.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,014.13 | 20 | $20,282.60 | $20,503.40 |
+$407.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $978.74 | 20 | $19,574.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $999.78 | 20 | $19,995.60 | $20,924.20 |
+$420.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,024.83 | 20 | $20,496.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,045.76 | 20 | $20,915.10 | $21,342.70 |
+$418.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,065.05 | 20 | $21,301.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,086.64 | 20 | $21,732.70 | $21,774.40 |
+$431.70 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,059.38 | 20 | $21,187.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,025.36 | 20 | $20,507.20 | $21,094.00 |
$-680.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,011.65 | 20 | $20,232.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,033.58 | 20 | $20,671.70 | $21,532.80 |
+$438.80 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,081.36 | 19 | $20,545.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,104.90 | 19 | $20,993.10 | $21,980.06 |
+$447.26 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,112.90 | 19 | $21,145.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,075.00 | 19 | $20,425.00 | $21,259.96 |
$-720.10 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,085.05 | 19 | $20,615.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,034.09 | 19 | $19,647.71 | $20,291.81 |
$-968.15 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,085.05 | 19 | $20,615.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,048.90 | 19 | $19,929.10 | $19,605.05 |
$-686.76 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,047.37 | 18 | $18,852.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,015.62 | 18 | $18,281.16 | $19,033.55 |
$-571.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,060.54 | 17 | $18,029.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,094.27 | 17 | $18,602.51 | $19,606.87 |
+$573.32 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,135.00 | 17 | $19,295.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,099.02 | 17 | $18,683.34 | $18,995.21 |
$-611.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1,075.54 | 17 | $18,284.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,097.66 | 17 | $18,660.22 | $19,371.25 |
+$376.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,067.31 | 18 | $19,211.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1,035.15 | 18 | $18,632.70 | $18,792.37 |
$-578.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1,040.42 | 18 | $18,727.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,005.00 | 18 | $18,090.00 | $18,154.81 |
$-637.56 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,022.98 | 17 | $17,390.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,049.94 | 17 | $17,849.06 | $18,613.13 |
+$458.32 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,070.02 | 17 | $18,190.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1,037.11 | 17 | $17,630.87 | $18,053.66 |
$-559.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,040.36 | 17 | $17,686.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,034.69 | 17 | $17,589.73 | $17,957.27 |
$-96.39 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,038.76 | 17 | $17,658.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,040.20 | 17 | $17,683.40 | $17,981.75 |
+$24.48 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,018.29 | 17 | $17,310.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1,040.90 | 17 | $17,695.30 | $18,366.12 |
+$384.37 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1,037.23 | 17 | $17,632.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1,059.16 | 17 | $18,005.72 | $18,738.93 |
+$372.81 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $1,039.37 | 18 | $18,708.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,005.52 | 18 | $18,099.36 | $18,129.63 |
$-609.30 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,018.05 | 17 | $17,306.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,038.47 | 17 | $17,653.99 | $18,476.77 |
+$347.14 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,037.75 | 17 | $17,641.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,032.89 | 17 | $17,559.13 | $18,394.15 |
$-82.62 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,033.84 | 17 | $17,575.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,002.45 | 17 | $17,041.69 | $17,860.48 |
$-533.67 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $965.96 | 18 | $17,387.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $935.59 | 18 | $16,840.71 | $17,313.91 |
$-546.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $953.46 | 18 | $17,162.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:35pm ET | $954.48 | 18 | $17,180.57 | $17,332.29 |
+$18.38 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,332.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,332.29
Total Return:
+73.32%