IWM Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 33 trades in period
+10.84%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,448.38
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$12,133.36
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
35.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.7
30-Day Momentum
3
-7.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,133.36
Current Value
$13,448.38
Period P&L
$1,315.05
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
19 /
14
Best Trade
+4.04%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$917,769.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,315.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,315.05
Gross Return
+10.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,133.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $249.36 | 49 | $12,218.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.09 | 49 | $12,009.41 | $12,068.16 |
$-209.23 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $244.24 | 49 | $11,967.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.04 | 49 | $12,251.96 | $12,352.36 |
+$284.20 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.32 | 50 | $12,266.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $250.96 | 50 | $12,547.75 | $12,634.11 |
+$281.75 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $251.78 | 50 | $12,589.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.95 | 50 | $13,097.50 | $13,142.61 |
+$508.50 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $259.74 | 50 | $12,987.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $265.02 | 50 | $13,250.85 | $13,406.46 |
+$263.85 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $268.51 | 49 | $13,156.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $274.48 | 49 | $13,449.52 | $13,698.99 |
+$292.53 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $274.71 | 49 | $13,460.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.20 | 49 | $13,582.80 | $13,820.95 |
+$121.96 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $275.47 | 50 | $13,773.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.96 | 50 | $13,948.00 | $13,995.45 |
+$174.50 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $281.57 | 49 | $13,796.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.04 | 49 | $13,966.96 | $14,165.48 |
+$170.03 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $281.78 | 50 | $14,089.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.52 | 50 | $13,926.00 | $14,002.46 |
$-163.02 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.65 | 51 | $13,956.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $279.23 | 51 | $14,240.73 | $14,287.04 |
+$284.58 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $282.51 | 50 | $14,125.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.71 | 50 | $14,435.50 | $14,597.04 |
+$310.00 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $290.60 | 50 | $14,530.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $286.77 | 50 | $14,338.50 | $14,405.54 |
$-191.50 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $291.01 | 49 | $14,259.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $282.25 | 49 | $13,830.25 | $13,976.30 |
$-429.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $284.78 | 49 | $13,954.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $290.53 | 49 | $14,235.97 | $14,258.05 |
+$281.75 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $287.47 | 49 | $14,086.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $293.83 | 49 | $14,397.43 | $14,569.45 |
+$311.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $295.94 | 49 | $14,501.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.00 | 49 | $14,553.00 | $14,621.39 |
+$51.94 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $296.91 | 49 | $14,548.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.44 | 49 | $14,623.56 | $14,696.36 |
+$74.97 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $296.91 | 49 | $14,548.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.93 | 49 | $14,598.57 | $14,746.34 |
+$49.98 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $298.17 | 49 | $14,610.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.64 | 49 | $14,486.12 | $14,622.12 |
$-124.22 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $294.91 | 49 | $14,450.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.07 | 49 | $14,458.43 | $14,629.97 |
+$7.84 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $294.28 | 49 | $14,419.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.52 | 49 | $14,431.48 | $14,641.72 |
+$11.76 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $298.17 | 49 | $14,610.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $290.86 | 49 | $14,252.14 | $14,283.53 |
$-358.19 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $289.91 | 49 | $14,205.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $295.88 | 49 | $14,498.12 | $14,576.06 |
+$292.53 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $301.68 | 48 | $14,480.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.55 | 48 | $14,426.40 | $14,521.82 |
$-54.24 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $301.23 | 48 | $14,459.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.99 | 48 | $14,591.76 | $14,654.54 |
+$132.72 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $302.00 | 48 | $14,496.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.04 | 48 | $14,353.92 | $14,512.46 |
$-142.08 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $302.00 | 48 | $14,496.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.73 | 48 | $14,339.04 | $14,355.50 |
$-156.96 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $298.39 | 48 | $14,322.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $291.82 | 48 | $14,007.36 | $14,040.14 |
$-315.36 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $298.39 | 48 | $14,322.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $295.01 | 48 | $14,160.24 | $13,877.66 |
$-162.48 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $295.80 | 46 | $13,607.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $290.81 | 46 | $13,377.26 | $13,647.89 |
$-229.77 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $287.96 | 47 | $13,533.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $284.98 | 47 | $13,393.83 | $13,507.83 |
$-140.06 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $286.58 | 47 | $13,469.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $285.32 | 47 | $13,409.81 | $13,448.38 |
$-59.45 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,448.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,448.38
Total Return:
+34.48%