JNJ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 40 trades in period
+19.44%
Last 6 Months Return
$16,289.21
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$13,637.71
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
55
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality
55.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 54.8
30-Day Momentum
30
+3.3%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.9
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,637.71
Current Value
$16,289.21
Period P&L
$2,651.50
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
25 /
15
Best Trade
+3.45%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.47%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,169,047.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,651.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,651.50
Gross Return
+19.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.44%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,637.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.43 | 58 | $13,538.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $238.34 | 58 | $13,823.72 | $13,922.49 |
+$284.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $239.88 | 58 | $13,913.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $244.89 | 58 | $14,203.62 | $14,213.07 |
+$290.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $244.96 | 58 | $14,207.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $242.67 | 58 | $14,074.86 | $14,080.25 |
$-132.82 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $238.35 | 59 | $14,062.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $243.60 | 59 | $14,372.28 | $14,389.88 |
+$309.63 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $239.69 | 60 | $14,381.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $239.35 | 60 | $14,361.00 | $14,369.48 |
$-20.40 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $235.13 | 61 | $14,343.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $227.15 | 61 | $13,856.15 | $13,882.39 |
$-487.09 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $226.34 | 61 | $13,806.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $230.88 | 61 | $14,083.98 | $14,159.63 |
+$277.24 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $227.71 | 62 | $14,118.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $227.66 | 62 | $14,114.91 | $14,156.52 |
$-3.11 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $228.73 | 61 | $13,952.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $223.65 | 61 | $13,642.95 | $13,846.95 |
$-309.57 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $221.18 | 62 | $13,713.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $225.77 | 62 | $13,998.05 | $14,131.84 |
+$284.89 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $229.72 | 61 | $14,012.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $228.43 | 61 | $13,934.53 | $14,053.45 |
$-78.39 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $229.09 | 61 | $13,974.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $234.83 | 61 | $14,324.63 | $14,403.59 |
+$350.14 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $229.76 | 62 | $14,245.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.01 | 62 | $13,826.62 | $13,984.78 |
$-418.81 (-2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.45 | 62 | $13,791.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.18 | 62 | $14,085.16 | $14,278.35 |
+$293.57 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $232.96 | 61 | $14,210.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.79 | 61 | $14,565.89 | $14,633.67 |
+$355.32 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $241.01 | 60 | $14,460.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $232.29 | 60 | $13,937.40 | $14,110.47 |
$-523.20 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $231.57 | 60 | $13,894.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $229.40 | 60 | $13,764.30 | $13,980.65 |
$-129.82 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $234.98 | 59 | $13,863.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.19 | 59 | $14,171.21 | $14,288.04 |
+$307.39 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $246.84 | 57 | $14,069.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $251.92 | 57 | $14,359.44 | $14,577.60 |
+$289.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $255.70 | 57 | $14,574.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $261.50 | 57 | $14,905.36 | $14,908.06 |
+$330.46 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $257.55 | 57 | $14,680.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.98 | 57 | $15,103.86 | $15,331.57 |
+$423.51 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $266.80 | 57 | $15,207.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $258.76 | 57 | $14,749.32 | $14,873.01 |
$-458.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $256.63 | 57 | $14,627.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $248.30 | 57 | $14,153.10 | $14,398.49 |
$-474.52 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $249.58 | 57 | $14,226.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $254.68 | 57 | $14,516.76 | $14,689.18 |
+$290.69 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $251.91 | 58 | $14,610.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.84 | 58 | $14,954.72 | $15,033.12 |
+$343.94 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $262.54 | 57 | $14,964.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $267.84 | 57 | $15,266.60 | $15,334.94 |
+$301.82 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $272.35 | 56 | $15,251.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.55 | 56 | $14,534.80 | $14,618.42 |
$-716.52 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 12:25pm ET | $257.70 | 56 | $14,431.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $258.28 | 56 | $14,463.68 | $14,650.90 |
+$32.48 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $256.35 | 57 | $14,611.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $261.79 | 57 | $14,921.75 | $14,960.69 |
+$309.79 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $259.84 | 57 | $14,810.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $262.71 | 57 | $14,974.47 | $15,124.28 |
+$163.59 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $270.22 | 55 | $14,862.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $276.11 | 55 | $15,186.05 | $15,448.20 |
+$323.92 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $271.17 | 56 | $15,185.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:10am ET | $271.86 | 56 | $15,224.16 | $15,486.56 |
+$38.36 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $271.60 | 57 | $15,481.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET | $266.58 | 57 | $15,194.92 | $15,200.28 |
$-286.28 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $268.41 | 56 | $15,030.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.66 | 56 | $15,548.96 | $15,718.28 |
+$518.00 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $271.60 | 57 | $15,481.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $277.98 | 57 | $15,844.86 | $16,081.94 |
+$363.66 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $276.40 | 58 | $16,031.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $267.30 | 58 | $15,503.69 | $15,554.14 |
$-527.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $268.53 | 57 | $15,306.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $270.11 | 57 | $15,396.27 | $15,644.20 |
+$90.06 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $262.83 | 59 | $15,506.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $268.27 | 59 | $15,827.93 | $15,965.45 |
+$321.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $269.56 | 59 | $15,904.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $269.42 | 59 | $15,896.07 | $15,957.48 |
$-7.97 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $268.64 | 59 | $15,849.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $274.27 | 59 | $16,181.64 | $16,289.21 |
+$331.73 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,289.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,289.21
Total Return:
+62.89%