MRK Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 42 trades in period
+16.12%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,933.72
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$9,416.04
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
22.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 22.1
30-Day Momentum
9
-4.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,416.04
Current Value
$10,933.72
Period P&L
$1,517.70
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
26 /
16
Best Trade
+9.29%
Worst Trade
-4.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$811,365.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,517.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,517.70
Gross Return
+16.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,416.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.86 | 80 | $9,188.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.46 | 80 | $9,396.80 | $9,426.40 |
+$208.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $118.98 | 79 | $9,399.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $121.48 | 79 | $9,596.92 | $9,623.90 |
+$197.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $120.32 | 79 | $9,505.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.49 | 79 | $9,518.71 | $9,636.94 |
+$13.04 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $117.14 | 82 | $9,605.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $119.58 | 82 | $9,805.97 | $9,837.43 |
+$200.49 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $123.00 | 79 | $9,717.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $119.25 | 79 | $9,420.75 | $9,541.18 |
$-296.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $120.18 | 79 | $9,494.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $116.36 | 79 | $9,192.83 | $9,239.79 |
$-301.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $116.99 | 78 | $9,125.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $113.30 | 78 | $8,837.40 | $8,951.97 |
$-287.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $112.65 | 79 | $8,899.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $114.94 | 79 | $9,080.26 | $9,132.88 |
+$180.91 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $111.83 | 81 | $9,058.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.22 | 81 | $8,765.82 | $8,840.47 |
$-292.41 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $110.61 | 79 | $8,737.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $113.53 | 79 | $8,968.87 | $9,071.54 |
+$231.07 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $113.44 | 79 | $8,961.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.88 | 79 | $8,917.13 | $9,026.90 |
$-44.64 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $112.11 | 80 | $8,968.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.42 | 80 | $8,913.59 | $8,971.69 |
$-55.21 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $112.72 | 79 | $8,904.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $115.40 | 79 | $9,116.60 | $9,183.41 |
+$211.72 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $120.99 | 75 | $9,074.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.52 | 75 | $8,739.00 | $8,848.16 |
$-335.25 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $115.68 | 76 | $8,791.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.45 | 76 | $9,002.20 | $9,058.68 |
+$210.52 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $122.76 | 73 | $8,961.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $119.05 | 73 | $8,690.65 | $8,787.85 |
$-270.83 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $119.55 | 73 | $8,727.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $122.46 | 73 | $8,939.22 | $8,999.91 |
+$212.06 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $119.92 | 75 | $8,994.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $115.21 | 75 | $8,640.75 | $8,646.66 |
$-353.25 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $113.86 | 75 | $8,539.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.80 | 75 | $8,535.00 | $8,642.16 |
$-4.50 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $118.14 | 73 | $8,624.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.37 | 73 | $8,860.01 | $8,877.94 |
+$235.78 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:45pm ET | $123.62 | 71 | $8,777.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.21 | 71 | $9,031.56 | $9,132.47 |
+$254.53 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $127.23 | 71 | $9,033.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $129.85 | 71 | $9,219.35 | $9,318.50 |
+$186.02 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $126.55 | 73 | $9,238.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $128.13 | 73 | $9,353.85 | $9,434.20 |
+$115.70 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $129.03 | 73 | $9,419.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $124.93 | 73 | $9,120.25 | $9,135.26 |
$-298.94 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $123.26 | 74 | $9,121.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $123.86 | 74 | $9,165.27 | $9,179.29 |
+$44.03 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $128.35 | 71 | $9,112.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $131.23 | 71 | $9,317.15 | $9,383.59 |
+$204.30 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $126.42 | 74 | $9,355.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.34 | 74 | $9,571.16 | $9,599.67 |
+$216.08 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $130.48 | 73 | $9,524.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $133.55 | 73 | $9,749.15 | $9,824.15 |
+$224.47 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $130.68 | 75 | $9,801.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $128.26 | 75 | $9,619.50 | $9,642.65 |
$-181.50 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $128.11 | 75 | $9,608.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $130.78 | 75 | $9,808.50 | $9,842.90 |
+$200.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $128.49 | 76 | $9,765.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $131.15 | 76 | $9,967.78 | $10,045.44 |
+$202.54 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $133.04 | 75 | $9,978.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $135.76 | 75 | $10,182.00 | $10,249.44 |
+$204.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $135.72 | 75 | $10,179.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.34 | 75 | $11,125.13 | $11,195.57 |
+$946.13 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.67 | 75 | $11,150.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $151.80 | 75 | $11,385.00 | $11,430.32 |
+$234.75 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $153.30 | 74 | $11,344.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $156.48 | 74 | $11,579.52 | $11,665.27 |
+$234.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $153.33 | 76 | $11,653.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.27 | 76 | $11,116.52 | $11,128.71 |
$-536.56 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:00pm ET | $147.78 | 75 | $11,083.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $151.00 | 75 | $11,325.00 | $11,370.21 |
+$241.50 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $151.12 | 75 | $11,334.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.37 | 75 | $11,127.75 | $11,163.96 |
$-206.25 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.38 | 75 | $11,128.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $143.87 | 75 | $10,790.25 | $10,825.71 |
$-338.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $144.34 | 75 | $10,825.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $147.26 | 75 | $11,044.87 | $11,045.46 |
+$219.75 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $146.04 | 75 | $10,953.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $149.10 | 75 | $11,182.13 | $11,274.59 |
+$229.13 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $152.89 | 73 | $11,160.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $148.22 | 73 | $10,820.06 | $10,933.72 |
$-340.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,933.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$933.72
Total Return:
+9.34%