OXY Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 48 trades in period
-5.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,725.54
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$14,568.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
31.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 30.9
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,568.44
Current Value
$13,725.54
Period P&L
$-842.80
Max Drawdown
-31.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
28 /
20
Best Trade
+5.90%
Worst Trade
-7.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,390,591.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-842.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-842.80
Gross Return
-5.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,568.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $61.27 | 237 | $14,520.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $63.18 | 237 | $14,973.66 | $15,021.01 |
+$452.67 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $64.92 | 231 | $14,996.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $66.22 | 231 | $15,297.97 | $15,322.37 |
+$301.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $66.51 | 230 | $15,297.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $64.12 | 230 | $14,747.60 | $14,772.67 |
$-549.70 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $61.52 | 240 | $14,764.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.60 | 240 | $15,503.86 | $15,511.73 |
+$739.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $62.56 | 247 | $15,452.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $64.03 | 247 | $15,816.15 | $15,875.56 |
+$363.83 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $58.60 | 270 | $15,823.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $59.81 | 270 | $16,150.05 | $16,202.26 |
+$326.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $58.53 | 276 | $16,155.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.58 | 276 | $15,341.46 | $15,388.06 |
$-814.20 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $56.06 | 274 | $15,360.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.44 | 274 | $14,642.56 | $14,670.10 |
$-717.96 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $54.49 | 269 | $14,657.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $55.61 | 269 | $14,959.76 | $14,972.03 |
+$301.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:50pm ET | $56.53 | 264 | $14,923.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $57.68 | 264 | $15,227.52 | $15,275.60 |
+$303.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $56.60 | 269 | $15,224.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.77 | 269 | $15,540.13 | $15,591.67 |
+$316.07 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $58.27 | 267 | $15,559.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.46 | 267 | $15,875.82 | $15,908.49 |
+$316.82 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $59.48 | 267 | $15,881.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $60.67 | 267 | $16,200.22 | $16,227.55 |
+$319.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.22 | 274 | $16,224.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.89 | 274 | $15,039.86 | $15,042.50 |
$-1,185.05 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.89 | 279 | $15,035.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $55.07 | 279 | $15,364.53 | $15,371.72 |
+$329.22 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $56.15 | 273 | $15,327.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.70 | 273 | $15,752.10 | $15,796.24 |
+$424.52 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET | $59.90 | 263 | $15,755.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $61.12 | 263 | $16,074.56 | $16,115.79 |
+$319.55 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $59.30 | 271 | $16,070.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $58.43 | 271 | $15,834.53 | $15,880.29 |
$-235.50 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $57.76 | 274 | $15,824.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.95 | 274 | $16,152.33 | $16,207.75 |
+$327.46 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $59.26 | 273 | $16,179.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $60.47 | 273 | $16,508.06 | $16,536.47 |
+$328.72 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.43 | 283 | $16,535.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.53 | 283 | $15,996.58 | $15,997.27 |
$-539.20 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $58.15 | 275 | $15,991.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $56.21 | 275 | $15,457.75 | $15,463.77 |
$-533.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $56.80 | 272 | $15,449.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.63 | 272 | $14,587.36 | $14,601.53 |
$-862.24 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 270 | $14,565.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.14 | 270 | $14,077.80 | $14,114.18 |
$-487.35 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $51.56 | 273 | $14,074.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $49.99 | 273 | $13,645.91 | $13,685.57 |
$-428.61 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $49.67 | 275 | $13,659.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.06 | 275 | $13,216.50 | $13,242.82 |
$-442.75 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $51.56 | 273 | $14,074.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.90 | 273 | $13,349.70 | $12,518.01 |
$-724.81 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $50.03 | 250 | $12,508.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $51.10 | 250 | $12,775.00 | $12,784.26 |
+$266.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.41 | 243 | $12,735.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.39 | 243 | $13,216.77 | $13,265.40 |
+$481.14 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $54.25 | 244 | $13,237.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.06 | 244 | $13,190.64 | $13,219.04 |
$-46.36 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $56.21 | 235 | $13,209.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.52 | 235 | $13,517.20 | $13,526.89 |
+$307.85 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $58.46 | 231 | $13,504.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.91 | 231 | $12,915.21 | $12,937.84 |
$-589.05 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.41 | 243 | $12,735.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.50 | 243 | $13,486.50 | $13,688.71 |
+$750.87 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $56.01 | 244 | $13,666.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.99 | 244 | $13,173.56 | $13,195.83 |
$-492.88 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $54.60 | 241 | $13,158.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.31 | 241 | $13,570.71 | $13,607.94 |
+$412.11 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.45 | 245 | $13,585.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.85 | 245 | $13,928.25 | $13,950.94 |
+$343.00 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $59.22 | 235 | $13,917.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $57.29 | 235 | $13,463.15 | $13,496.22 |
$-454.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $58.54 | 230 | $13,464.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.86 | 230 | $13,767.80 | $13,799.80 |
+$303.58 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $60.45 | 228 | $13,782.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.68 | 228 | $14,063.04 | $14,080.24 |
+$280.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $61.54 | 228 | $14,031.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $59.63 | 228 | $13,595.64 | $13,644.76 |
$-435.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $61.54 | 228 | $14,031.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.75 | 228 | $13,167.00 | $12,780.64 |
$-864.12 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.51 | 218 | $12,755.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.45 | 218 | $13,178.10 | $13,203.56 |
+$422.92 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.51 | 218 | $12,755.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $61.04 | 218 | $13,306.72 | $13,755.10 |
+$551.54 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $60.22 | 228 | $13,729.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.58 | 228 | $14,040.24 | $14,066.32 |
+$311.22 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $61.81 | 227 | $14,029.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $62.74 | 227 | $14,241.98 | $14,278.57 |
+$212.25 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $63.28 | 225 | $14,238.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $61.36 | 225 | $13,806.00 | $13,846.57 |
$-432.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $58.86 | 235 | $13,832.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.07 | 235 | $13,411.45 | $13,425.92 |
$-420.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $57.13 | 235 | $13,425.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $58.40 | 235 | $13,725.17 | $13,725.54 |
+$299.62 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,725.54
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,725.54
Total Return:
+37.26%