Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:32:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.3/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 61.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 60.9

30-Day Momentum

49
+9.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.4 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,486.29
Current Value
$23,409.67
Period P&L
$8,923.40
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
45 / 17
Best Trade
+5.44%
Worst Trade
-4.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.82%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,350,586.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,923.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,923.40
Gross Return
+61.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+61.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,486.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $155.25 93 $14,438.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET $158.65 93 $14,754.45 $14,802.47 +$316.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $148.29 99 $14,681.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $151.53 99 $15,001.47 $15,122.74 +$320.27
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $156.98 96 $15,070.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $160.12 96 $15,371.52 $15,424.18 +$301.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $160.54 96 $15,411.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $161.93 96 $15,545.28 $15,557.62 +$133.44
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $162.24 95 $15,412.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $165.97 95 $15,766.84 $15,911.66 +$354.04
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $166.80 95 $15,846.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $161.76 95 $15,366.73 $15,431.91 $-479.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $158.60 97 $15,384.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $161.79 97 $15,694.11 $15,741.82 +$309.91
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $160.35 98 $15,714.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $164.60 98 $16,130.80 $16,158.32 +$416.50
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $165.11 97 $16,015.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $170.40 97 $16,528.80 $16,671.45 +$513.13
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $167.46 99 $16,579.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $171.67 99 $16,995.63 $17,088.04 +$416.59
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $178.65 95 $16,971.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $172.88 95 $16,423.60 $16,540.37 $-547.67
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $175.51 94 $16,497.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $179.37 94 $16,860.78 $16,903.21 +$362.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET $183.62 92 $16,893.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $176.91 92 $16,275.72 $16,285.89 $-617.32
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $178.55 91 $16,248.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:50am ET $182.40 91 $16,598.85 $16,636.24 +$350.35
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $185.60 89 $16,518.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:40am ET $179.57 89 $15,982.17 $16,100.01 $-536.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $196.25 82 $16,092.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:30am ET $200.76 82 $16,462.32 $16,469.83 +$369.82
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $212.75 77 $16,381.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $217.65 77 $16,759.05 $16,847.13 +$377.30
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $236.82 71 $16,814.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $241.86 71 $17,172.06 $17,204.62 +$357.49
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $247.24 69 $17,059.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $236.86 69 $16,343.34 $16,488.40 $-716.22
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $248.73 66 $16,416.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $256.08 66 $16,900.95 $16,973.16 +$484.76
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:30am ET $252.73 67 $16,932.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:10am ET $258.17 67 $17,297.39 $17,337.64 +$364.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
22 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $247.90 69 $17,105.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $252.89 69 $17,449.41 $17,681.95 +$344.31
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
23 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $269.09 65 $17,490.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $275.11 65 $17,882.47 $18,073.57 +$391.62
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $292.79 61 $17,860.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $299.01 61 $18,239.61 $18,452.99 +$379.42
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $294.64 62 $18,267.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $279.96 62 $17,357.52 $17,542.83 $-910.16
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $273.93 64 $17,531.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $280.49 64 $17,951.36 $17,962.35 +$419.52
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $266.34 67 $17,844.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $258.17 67 $17,297.06 $17,414.63 $-547.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $265.22 65 $17,239.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:25am ET $271.20 65 $17,628.00 $17,803.33 +$388.70
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $280.72 63 $17,685.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $281.70 63 $17,747.10 $17,865.07 +$61.74
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $285.95 62 $17,728.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $293.34 62 $18,187.08 $18,323.25 +$458.18
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:15am ET $288.76 63 $18,191.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:35am ET $295.09 63 $18,590.67 $18,722.35 +$399.10
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $298.51 62 $18,507.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $305.73 62 $18,954.95 $19,169.68 +$447.33
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET $336.25 57 $19,166.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $343.33 57 $19,569.81 $19,573.24 +$403.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $348.89 56 $19,537.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:00am ET $356.05 56 $19,938.80 $19,974.20 +$400.96
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:40am ET $357.86 55 $19,682.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $346.62 55 $19,064.10 $19,356.00 $-618.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET $326.13 59 $19,241.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $333.10 59 $19,652.90 $19,767.23 +$411.23
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $325.82 60 $19,548.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $335.54 60 $20,132.40 $20,350.73 +$583.50
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $356.10 57 $20,297.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:10am ET $363.71 57 $20,731.47 $20,784.78 +$434.05
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $358.95 57 $20,460.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $344.43 57 $19,632.51 $19,957.14 $-827.64
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:00am ET $333.33 59 $19,666.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:05am ET $323.21 59 $19,069.39 $19,360.06 $-597.08
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:00am ET $324.33 59 $19,135.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET $331.40 59 $19,552.60 $19,776.90 +$416.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET $319.52 61 $19,490.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $332.31 61 $20,270.91 $20,557.09 +$780.19
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET $333.41 61 $20,337.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $340.33 61 $20,760.13 $20,979.27 +$422.18
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $360.36 58 $20,900.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $373.78 58 $21,679.24 $21,757.63 +$778.36
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $352.36 61 $21,493.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:45am ET $360.28 61 $21,976.78 $22,240.45 +$482.82
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET $363.77 61 $22,189.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $372.98 61 $22,751.77 $22,802.25 +$561.80
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $382.59 59 $22,572.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $393.56 59 $23,220.04 $23,449.48 +$647.23
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET $388.92 60 $23,335.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $376.98 60 $22,618.50 $22,732.48 $-717.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:55am ET $372.98 60 $22,378.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $361.54 60 $21,692.10 $22,045.78 $-686.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:20am ET $357.04 61 $21,779.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $345.30 61 $21,063.30 $21,329.64 $-716.14
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $350.45 60 $21,027.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $339.58 60 $20,374.50 $20,677.14 $-652.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $340.06 60 $20,403.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $358.56 60 $21,513.60 $21,787.14 +$1,110.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $376.93 57 $21,485.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $365.41 57 $20,828.37 $21,130.50 $-656.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:35am ET $374.96 56 $20,997.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $383.12 56 $21,454.72 $21,587.46 +$456.96
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $329.00 65 $21,385.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET $336.26 65 $21,856.58 $22,059.04 +$471.58
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:30am ET $329.41 66 $21,741.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $338.49 66 $22,340.34 $22,658.32 +$599.28
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:40am ET $334.36 67 $22,401.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $343.30 67 $23,001.29 $23,257.82 +$599.50
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET $336.04 69 $23,186.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $346.24 69 $23,890.70 $23,962.10 +$704.28
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $368.28 65 $23,938.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $375.73 65 $24,422.13 $24,446.03 +$483.93
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $379.35 64 $24,278.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $365.11 64 $23,367.36 $23,534.99 $-911.04
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 62 $23,188.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $362.45 62 $22,471.90 $22,818.89 $-716.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:15am ET $372.93 61 $22,748.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:40am ET $382.61 61 $23,339.51 $23,409.67 +$590.78
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,409.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,409.67
Total Return: +134.10%
Back to Rebel Contraire