PG Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 35 trades in period
+14.40%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,686.04
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$9,340.73
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
20.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 20.2
30-Day Momentum
40
+6.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.3
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,483
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,340.73
Current Value
$10,686.04
Period P&L
$1,345.32
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
20 /
15
Best Trade
+4.64%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$696,670.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,345.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,345.32
Gross Return
+14.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,340.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $147.75 | 63 | $9,308.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $145.56 | 63 | $9,169.97 | $9,303.25 |
$-138.29 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $145.80 | 63 | $9,185.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $148.85 | 63 | $9,377.55 | $9,495.40 |
+$192.15 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:35am ET | $148.04 | 64 | $9,474.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:35am ET | $147.27 | 64 | $9,425.28 | $9,446.12 |
$-49.28 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $146.11 | 64 | $9,351.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $149.05 | 64 | $9,539.17 | $9,634.27 |
+$188.15 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $147.89 | 65 | $9,612.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $148.36 | 65 | $9,643.40 | $9,664.82 |
+$30.55 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $144.58 | 66 | $9,542.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $148.15 | 66 | $9,777.90 | $9,900.44 |
+$235.62 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $147.05 | 67 | $9,852.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $140.99 | 67 | $9,446.33 | $9,494.42 |
$-406.02 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:20am ET | $140.23 | 67 | $9,395.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $144.02 | 67 | $9,649.54 | $9,748.55 |
+$254.13 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $144.89 | 67 | $9,707.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $147.91 | 67 | $9,909.97 | $9,950.89 |
+$202.34 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $145.89 | 68 | $9,920.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:25am ET | $143.11 | 68 | $9,731.67 | $9,762.04 |
$-188.85 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $144.51 | 67 | $9,682.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:35am ET | $144.82 | 67 | $9,702.95 | $9,782.81 |
+$20.77 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:35am ET | $143.76 | 68 | $9,775.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.58 | 68 | $9,559.44 | $9,566.89 |
$-215.92 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $140.72 | 67 | $9,428.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.24 | 67 | $9,529.75 | $9,668.40 |
+$101.51 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $143.77 | 67 | $9,632.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $146.72 | 67 | $9,830.24 | $9,866.05 |
+$197.65 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $144.65 | 68 | $9,836.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $146.77 | 68 | $9,980.36 | $10,010.21 |
+$144.16 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $146.03 | 68 | $9,929.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.50 | 68 | $10,166.00 | $10,246.51 |
+$236.30 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $150.45 | 68 | $10,230.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $148.20 | 68 | $10,077.27 | $10,093.51 |
$-152.99 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $149.47 | 67 | $10,014.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $153.02 | 67 | $10,252.67 | $10,332.03 |
+$238.52 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $155.19 | 66 | $10,242.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $158.30 | 66 | $10,447.80 | $10,537.37 |
+$205.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $159.05 | 66 | $10,497.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $158.62 | 66 | $10,468.92 | $10,508.99 |
$-28.38 (-0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $160.40 | 65 | $10,425.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.09 | 65 | $10,470.79 | $10,554.10 |
+$45.11 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $165.68 | 63 | $10,437.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.29 | 63 | $10,413.27 | $10,529.53 |
$-24.57 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.85 | 65 | $10,520.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.97 | 65 | $10,202.89 | $10,212.17 |
$-317.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $153.29 | 66 | $10,117.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $156.45 | 66 | $10,325.70 | $10,420.73 |
+$208.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $153.29 | 67 | $10,270.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $151.54 | 67 | $10,153.18 | $10,303.81 |
$-116.92 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $152.13 | 67 | $10,192.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $147.54 | 67 | $9,885.18 | $9,996.28 |
$-307.53 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $145.29 | 68 | $9,879.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $144.84 | 68 | $9,849.12 | $9,965.68 |
$-30.60 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $143.81 | 69 | $9,922.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $144.96 | 69 | $10,002.24 | $10,045.31 |
+$79.63 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET | $143.32 | 70 | $10,032.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.88 | 70 | $10,001.60 | $10,014.51 |
$-30.80 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $141.90 | 70 | $9,933.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET | $144.75 | 70 | $10,132.50 | $10,214.01 |
+$199.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $146.65 | 69 | $10,118.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $144.41 | 69 | $9,964.63 | $10,059.79 |
$-154.22 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $143.20 | 70 | $10,024.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $146.07 | 70 | $10,224.90 | $10,260.69 |
+$200.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $145.30 | 70 | $10,171.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.05 | 70 | $10,643.50 | $10,732.84 |
+$472.15 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.96 | 72 | $10,725.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.18 | 72 | $10,453.32 | $10,460.68 |
$-272.16 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.38 | 72 | $10,323.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.51 | 72 | $10,548.72 | $10,686.04 |
+$225.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,686.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$686.04
Total Return:
+6.86%