Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.9/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 56.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.7

30-Day Momentum

39
+6.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.6 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,497.05
Current Value
$25,502.22
Period P&L
$6,005.16
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
37 / 23
Best Trade
+17.38%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,495,565.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,005.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,005.16
Gross Return
+30.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,497.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $158.56 122 $19,344.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $152.57 122 $18,613.54 $18,766.39 $-730.66
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $144.82 129 $18,681.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $140.46 129 $18,119.34 $18,203.95 $-562.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $141.44 128 $18,104.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $144.45 128 $18,489.60 $18,589.23 +$385.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $146.95 126 $18,515.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $141.76 126 $17,861.77 $17,935.30 $-653.93
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $148.41 120 $17,809.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $154.76 120 $18,571.80 $18,697.30 +$762.00
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $133.91 139 $18,613.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $129.79 139 $18,040.12 $18,123.93 $-573.38
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET $126.38 143 $18,072.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:30am ET $129.03 143 $18,451.29 $18,502.88 +$378.95
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $133.54 138 $18,428.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $137.19 138 $18,932.22 $19,006.57 +$503.69
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $141.71 134 $18,989.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $145.75 134 $19,530.50 $19,547.93 +$541.36
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $145.20 134 $19,456.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET $148.34 134 $19,876.89 $19,968.02 +$420.09
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $151.35 131 $19,827.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $146.55 131 $19,198.05 $19,338.57 $-629.45
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $140.85 137 $19,296.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $143.77 137 $19,697.17 $19,739.29 +$400.72
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $140.49 140 $19,668.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $136.16 140 $19,062.40 $19,133.09 $-606.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $136.70 139 $19,001.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:45am ET $139.50 139 $19,390.95 $19,522.74 +$389.65
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
15 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $143.96 135 $19,434.33 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $147.80 135 $19,952.99 $20,041.40 +$518.66
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $140.71 142 $19,980.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:55am ET $136.46 142 $19,376.84 $19,437.42 $-603.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $133.44 145 $19,348.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $136.77 145 $19,832.37 $19,920.99 +$483.57
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $133.65 149 $19,914.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:30am ET $136.38 149 $20,319.88 $20,326.27 +$405.28
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 2:00pm ET $135.26 150 $20,289.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:20am ET $131.08 150 $19,661.27 $19,698.46 $-627.81
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:35am ET $131.45 149 $19,585.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $134.41 149 $20,027.09 $20,139.61 +$441.15
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
21 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $134.49 149 $20,039.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $135.84 149 $20,240.16 $20,340.74 +$201.13
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:05am ET $136.50 149 $20,338.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $132.29 149 $19,711.95 $19,714.19 $-626.55
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
23 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $136.75 144 $19,692.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:45am ET $140.10 144 $20,174.40 $20,196.59 +$482.40
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
24 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $155.47 129 $20,055.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $159.88 129 $20,624.52 $20,765.47 +$568.88
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $157.10 132 $20,737.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $151.87 132 $20,046.18 $20,074.45 $-691.02
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:30am ET $145.45 138 $20,071.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:30am ET $141.03 138 $19,462.14 $19,465.18 $-609.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $138.24 140 $19,354.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $133.69 140 $18,716.60 $18,827.48 $-637.70
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $132.21 142 $18,773.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $127.85 142 $18,154.70 $18,208.60 $-618.88
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET $129.32 140 $18,104.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $132.05 140 $18,487.00 $18,590.80 +$382.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $131.08 141 $18,482.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $134.35 141 $18,942.65 $19,050.53 +$459.73
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET $126.83 150 $19,024.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $122.78 150 $18,417.50 $18,443.53 $-607.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $118.61 155 $18,384.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $114.39 155 $17,730.45 $17,789.31 $-654.22
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $108.25 164 $17,753.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $110.96 164 $18,197.44 $18,232.93 +$443.62
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $117.76 154 $18,135.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $122.07 154 $18,799.03 $18,896.15 +$663.22
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $108.25 164 $17,753.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $127.07 164 $20,839.48 $21,981.81 +$3,085.66
(+17.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET $135.21 162 $21,903.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $138.03 162 $22,360.89 $22,439.49 +$457.68
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $126.93 176 $22,339.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.79 176 $23,195.04 $23,294.85 +$855.36
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:00am ET $128.34 181 $23,229.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $124.07 181 $22,456.67 $22,521.98 $-772.87
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $133.29 168 $22,392.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $133.51 168 $22,430.52 $22,559.78 +$37.80
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 10:20am ET $133.65 168 $22,453.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $127.81 168 $21,472.08 $21,578.66 $-981.12
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $122.09 176 $21,487.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $124.58 176 $21,926.08 $22,016.90 +$438.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $120.86 182 $21,997.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET $123.31 182 $22,442.42 $22,461.89 +$444.99
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $124.20 180 $22,355.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $126.75 180 $22,814.10 $22,920.84 +$458.95
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $122.22 187 $22,855.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.78 187 $23,707.86 $23,773.56 +$852.72
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:55am ET $158.52 149 $23,619.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $161.75 149 $24,100.93 $24,255.01 +$481.45
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $160.29 151 $24,204.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $153.46 151 $23,171.71 $23,222.17 $-1,032.84
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:45am ET $168.88 137 $23,135.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $172.45 137 $23,624.97 $23,711.26 +$489.09
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:15am ET $175.84 134 $23,562.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET $169.95 134 $22,773.30 $22,921.99 $-789.27
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET $176.14 130 $22,898.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.78 130 $23,371.40 $23,394.62 +$472.63
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $175.08 133 $23,285.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET $178.76 133 $23,775.08 $23,884.06 +$489.44
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $177.47 134 $23,780.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $170.76 134 $22,881.84 $22,984.92 $-899.14
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $185.09 124 $22,950.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:25am ET $184.07 124 $22,824.68 $22,859.06 $-125.86
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:25am ET $169.17 135 $22,837.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 135 $23,950.35 $23,971.46 +$1,112.40
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $180.84 132 $23,870.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $175.38 132 $23,150.16 $23,251.40 $-720.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:55am ET $171.19 135 $23,110.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $165.88 135 $22,393.80 $22,534.55 $-716.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $165.71 135 $22,370.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $169.72 135 $22,912.20 $23,075.90 +$541.35
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $170.13 135 $22,967.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $173.78 135 $23,460.30 $23,568.65 +$492.75
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $173.14 136 $23,547.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:50am ET $177.07 136 $24,082.20 $24,103.81 +$535.16
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.65 137 $24,064.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $179.26 137 $24,557.95 $24,597.71 +$493.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET $182.79 134 $24,493.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $189.54 134 $25,398.37 $25,502.22 +$904.51
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,502.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,502.22
Total Return: +155.02%
Back to Rebel Contraire