PM Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 46 trades in period
+14.60%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,029.86
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$13,115.51
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
38.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 37.9
30-Day Momentum
14
+1.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.2
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,115.51
Current Value
$15,029.86
Period P&L
$1,914.34
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
27 /
19
Best Trade
+4.97%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,284,797.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,914.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,914.34
Gross Return
+14.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,115.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $163.79 | 80 | $13,103.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $162.70 | 80 | $13,016.00 | $13,148.32 |
$-87.20 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $163.03 | 80 | $13,042.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $164.39 | 80 | $13,151.20 | $13,257.12 |
+$108.80 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $164.88 | 80 | $13,190.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $158.40 | 80 | $12,672.00 | $12,738.72 |
$-518.40 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $158.49 | 80 | $12,679.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $158.80 | 80 | $12,704.00 | $12,763.52 |
+$24.80 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $159.01 | 80 | $12,720.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $162.21 | 80 | $12,977.20 | $13,019.92 |
+$256.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $162.92 | 79 | $12,870.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $157.93 | 79 | $12,476.47 | $12,625.71 |
$-394.21 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $157.41 | 80 | $12,592.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $157.92 | 80 | $12,633.60 | $12,666.51 |
+$40.80 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $155.63 | 81 | $12,606.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $160.28 | 81 | $12,982.68 | $13,043.16 |
+$376.65 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $165.88 | 78 | $12,938.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $169.33 | 78 | $13,207.74 | $13,312.65 |
+$269.49 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $163.76 | 81 | $13,264.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $164.63 | 81 | $13,335.03 | $13,383.12 |
+$70.47 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $164.62 | 81 | $13,334.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $168.37 | 81 | $13,637.57 | $13,686.47 |
+$303.35 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $168.07 | 81 | $13,614.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $171.52 | 81 | $13,893.12 | $13,965.52 |
+$279.05 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $170.68 | 81 | $13,825.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $174.60 | 81 | $14,143.00 | $14,283.04 |
+$317.52 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $183.87 | 77 | $14,157.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $187.75 | 77 | $14,456.75 | $14,581.80 |
+$298.76 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $187.84 | 77 | $14,463.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $192.49 | 77 | $14,822.11 | $14,940.23 |
+$358.43 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $191.13 | 78 | $14,907.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $189.05 | 78 | $14,745.90 | $14,778.38 |
$-161.85 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $188.75 | 78 | $14,722.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $182.81 | 78 | $14,259.18 | $14,315.06 |
$-463.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $181.39 | 78 | $14,148.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $175.66 | 78 | $13,701.87 | $13,868.51 |
$-446.55 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $174.47 | 79 | $13,783.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $178.85 | 79 | $14,128.76 | $14,214.14 |
+$345.63 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $178.45 | 79 | $14,097.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $172.73 | 79 | $13,645.28 | $13,761.87 |
$-452.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $180.48 | 76 | $13,716.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.27 | 76 | $14,004.90 | $14,050.29 |
+$288.42 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $183.46 | 76 | $13,942.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $181.24 | 76 | $13,774.24 | $13,881.57 |
$-168.72 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET | $179.35 | 77 | $13,810.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 1:35pm ET | $173.61 | 77 | $13,367.97 | $13,439.27 |
$-442.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $177.24 | 75 | $13,293.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.59 | 75 | $13,619.36 | $13,765.63 |
+$326.36 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $179.99 | 76 | $13,679.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $183.90 | 76 | $13,976.43 | $14,062.82 |
+$297.19 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $178.78 | 78 | $13,944.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $182.66 | 78 | $14,247.48 | $14,365.46 |
+$302.64 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $184.34 | 77 | $14,193.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.29 | 77 | $14,575.33 | $14,746.92 |
+$381.46 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.26 | 79 | $14,714.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $178.89 | 79 | $14,132.11 | $14,164.89 |
$-582.03 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $182.50 | 77 | $14,052.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $176.84 | 77 | $13,616.68 | $13,729.07 |
$-435.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $179.72 | 76 | $13,658.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.18 | 76 | $13,997.68 | $14,068.03 |
+$338.96 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $192.84 | 72 | $13,884.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.28 | 72 | $14,204.16 | $14,387.71 |
+$319.68 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $192.81 | 74 | $14,267.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.40 | 74 | $14,977.60 | $15,097.37 |
+$709.66 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $199.65 | 75 | $14,973.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $193.37 | 75 | $14,502.75 | $14,626.37 |
$-471.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $192.68 | 75 | $14,451.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.99 | 75 | $13,949.00 | $14,124.37 |
$-502.00 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $186.78 | 75 | $14,008.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.14 | 75 | $14,335.50 | $14,451.37 |
+$327.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $188.71 | 76 | $14,341.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $185.63 | 76 | $14,107.88 | $14,217.29 |
$-234.08 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $189.26 | 75 | $14,194.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $188.83 | 75 | $14,162.25 | $14,185.05 |
$-32.24 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:10pm ET | $188.30 | 75 | $14,122.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $192.37 | 75 | $14,427.75 | $14,490.30 |
+$305.25 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $188.29 | 76 | $14,310.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $192.38 | 76 | $14,621.26 | $14,801.14 |
+$310.84 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $188.29 | 76 | $14,310.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.57 | 76 | $14,787.32 | $15,278.04 |
+$476.90 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $191.80 | 79 | $15,152.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $190.20 | 79 | $15,025.41 | $15,150.85 |
$-127.19 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $191.80 | 79 | $15,152.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $188.49 | 79 | $14,890.71 | $14,888.97 |
$-261.88 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $184.03 | 80 | $14,722.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $183.90 | 80 | $14,712.00 | $14,878.54 |
$-10.43 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $189.37 | 78 | $14,770.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $193.33 | 78 | $15,079.74 | $15,187.42 |
+$308.88 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $194.10 | 78 | $15,140.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.26 | 78 | $14,684.67 | $14,731.90 |
$-455.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $187.54 | 78 | $14,628.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $191.36 | 78 | $14,926.08 | $15,029.86 |
+$297.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,029.86
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,029.86
Total Return:
+50.30%