QQQ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 35 trades in period
+10.17%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,218.41
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,275.50
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.2/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
16.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 16.5
30-Day Momentum
3
-1.3%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,275.50
Current Value
$10,218.41
Period P&L
$942.88
Max Drawdown
-24.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 /
16
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-5.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$711,026.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$942.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$942.88
Gross Return
+10.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,275.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $593.39 | 15 | $8,900.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $575.26 | 15 | $8,628.90 | $9,114.87 |
$-271.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $562.66 | 16 | $9,002.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:00pm ET | $574.09 | 16 | $9,185.44 | $9,297.75 |
+$182.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $587.49 | 15 | $8,812.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $586.83 | 15 | $8,802.45 | $9,287.78 |
$-9.97 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $584.05 | 15 | $8,760.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.17 | 15 | $9,137.55 | $9,664.58 |
+$376.80 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $604.41 | 15 | $9,066.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $617.21 | 15 | $9,258.15 | $9,856.58 |
+$192.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $633.17 | 15 | $9,497.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $645.88 | 15 | $9,688.19 | $10,047.24 |
+$190.66 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $644.40 | 15 | $9,666.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $658.27 | 15 | $9,874.05 | $10,255.29 |
+$208.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $661.08 | 15 | $9,916.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $674.58 | 15 | $10,118.70 | $10,457.79 |
+$202.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $674.61 | 15 | $10,119.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $689.07 | 15 | $10,336.05 | $10,674.69 |
+$216.90 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $698.69 | 15 | $10,480.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $712.82 | 15 | $10,692.30 | $10,886.64 |
+$211.95 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $704.63 | 15 | $10,569.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $719.31 | 15 | $10,789.64 | $11,106.83 |
+$220.19 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $709.21 | 15 | $10,638.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $711.92 | 15 | $10,678.80 | $11,147.48 |
+$40.65 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $715.02 | 15 | $10,725.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $729.35 | 15 | $10,940.25 | $11,362.43 |
+$214.95 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $726.67 | 15 | $10,900.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $739.54 | 15 | $11,093.10 | $11,555.48 |
+$193.05 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $745.27 | 15 | $11,179.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $722.58 | 15 | $10,838.70 | $11,215.08 |
$-340.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $719.87 | 15 | $10,798.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $698.12 | 15 | $10,471.80 | $10,888.83 |
$-326.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $699.38 | 15 | $10,490.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $714.10 | 15 | $10,711.50 | $11,109.63 |
+$220.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:30pm ET | $721.48 | 15 | $10,822.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $738.03 | 15 | $11,070.45 | $11,357.81 |
+$248.18 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $738.37 | 15 | $11,075.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $741.82 | 15 | $11,127.30 | $11,409.56 |
+$51.75 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $720.37 | 15 | $10,805.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $716.79 | 15 | $10,751.85 | $11,355.86 |
$-53.70 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $720.37 | 15 | $10,805.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $718.48 | 15 | $10,777.20 | $11,327.51 |
$-28.35 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $713.74 | 15 | $10,706.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $716.23 | 15 | $10,743.45 | $11,364.86 |
+$37.35 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:50am ET | $719.41 | 15 | $10,791.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $690.27 | 15 | $10,354.09 | $10,927.80 |
$-437.06 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $701.09 | 15 | $10,516.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $690.40 | 15 | $10,356.00 | $10,767.45 |
$-160.35 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $713.74 | 15 | $10,706.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $674.64 | 15 | $10,119.60 | $10,180.95 |
$-586.50 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $686.86 | 14 | $9,616.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:05pm ET | $701.36 | 14 | $9,819.11 | $10,384.02 |
+$203.07 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $723.08 | 14 | $10,123.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $722.84 | 14 | $10,119.83 | $10,380.80 |
$-3.22 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $721.73 | 14 | $10,104.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $733.29 | 14 | $10,266.06 | $10,542.64 |
+$161.84 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $719.90 | 14 | $10,078.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $706.65 | 14 | $9,893.10 | $10,357.14 |
$-185.50 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $719.90 | 14 | $10,078.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $708.63 | 14 | $9,920.82 | $10,199.36 |
$-157.78 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $718.57 | 14 | $10,059.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:25am ET | $710.24 | 14 | $9,943.36 | $10,082.74 |
$-116.62 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $718.57 | 14 | $10,059.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $717.29 | 14 | $10,042.06 | $10,064.82 |
$-17.92 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $719.04 | 13 | $9,347.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $716.45 | 13 | $9,313.85 | $10,031.15 |
$-33.67 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $710.78 | 14 | $9,950.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $704.97 | 14 | $9,869.59 | $9,949.75 |
$-81.40 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $709.06 | 14 | $9,926.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $728.25 | 14 | $10,195.50 | $10,218.41 |
+$268.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,218.41
Net Profit/Loss:
+$218.41
Total Return:
+2.18%