REGN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 41 trades in period
-3.59%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,232.32
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$8,539.20
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
11.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.1
30-Day Momentum
6
-3.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,900
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,539.20
Current Value
$8,232.32
Period P&L
$-306.85
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
25 /
16
Best Trade
+4.78%
Worst Trade
-14.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$612,547.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-306.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-306.85
Gross Return
-3.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.59%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,539.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $750.29 | 11 | $8,253.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $755.83 | 11 | $8,314.08 | $8,600.06 |
+$60.89 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $774.10 | 11 | $8,515.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $750.81 | 11 | $8,258.91 | $8,343.87 |
$-256.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $767.20 | 10 | $7,672.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $743.79 | 10 | $7,437.95 | $8,109.82 |
$-234.05 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $740.94 | 10 | $7,409.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $756.45 | 10 | $7,564.50 | $8,264.92 |
+$155.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $747.75 | 11 | $8,225.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $752.27 | 11 | $8,274.97 | $8,314.64 |
+$49.72 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $751.34 | 11 | $8,264.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $749.48 | 11 | $8,244.28 | $8,294.18 |
$-20.46 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $748.98 | 11 | $8,238.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $703.09 | 11 | $7,733.99 | $7,789.39 |
$-504.79 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $691.59 | 11 | $7,607.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $706.18 | 11 | $7,768.03 | $7,949.93 |
+$160.54 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $707.52 | 11 | $7,782.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $720.70 | 11 | $7,927.70 | $8,094.96 |
+$145.03 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $712.35 | 11 | $7,835.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $721.01 | 11 | $7,931.08 | $8,190.19 |
+$95.23 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $713.45 | 11 | $7,847.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $612.01 | 11 | $6,732.11 | $7,074.41 |
$-1,115.78 (-14.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $619.51 | 11 | $6,814.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $632.39 | 11 | $6,956.29 | $7,216.09 |
+$141.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $638.16 | 11 | $7,019.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $641.13 | 11 | $7,052.43 | $7,248.76 |
+$32.67 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $628.12 | 11 | $6,909.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $607.54 | 11 | $6,682.94 | $7,022.38 |
$-226.38 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $594.51 | 11 | $6,539.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $606.76 | 11 | $6,674.31 | $7,157.07 |
+$134.69 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $622.12 | 11 | $6,843.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $637.76 | 11 | $7,015.36 | $7,329.11 |
+$172.04 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $633.53 | 11 | $6,968.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $613.29 | 11 | $6,746.19 | $7,106.47 |
$-222.64 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $614.15 | 11 | $6,755.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $613.15 | 11 | $6,744.65 | $7,095.47 |
$-11.00 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $612.26 | 11 | $6,734.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $601.68 | 11 | $6,618.48 | $6,979.09 |
$-116.38 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $618.72 | 11 | $6,805.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $631.82 | 11 | $6,950.02 | $7,123.19 |
+$144.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $634.53 | 11 | $6,979.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $625.57 | 11 | $6,881.22 | $7,024.63 |
$-98.56 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $644.99 | 10 | $6,449.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $657.96 | 10 | $6,579.58 | $7,154.31 |
+$129.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $668.46 | 10 | $6,684.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $658.96 | 10 | $6,589.60 | $7,059.31 |
$-95.00 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $657.22 | 10 | $6,572.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $672.66 | 10 | $6,726.60 | $7,213.71 |
+$154.40 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $686.01 | 10 | $6,860.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $672.89 | 10 | $6,728.90 | $7,082.56 |
$-131.15 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $650.21 | 10 | $6,502.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $664.44 | 10 | $6,644.40 | $7,224.86 |
+$142.30 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $675.25 | 10 | $6,752.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $688.82 | 10 | $6,888.15 | $7,360.51 |
+$135.65 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $668.46 | 10 | $6,684.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $700.39 | 10 | $7,003.90 | $7,679.81 |
+$319.30 (+4.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $733.20 | 10 | $7,332.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $749.26 | 10 | $7,492.60 | $7,840.41 |
+$160.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $759.97 | 10 | $7,599.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $776.19 | 10 | $7,761.90 | $8,002.66 |
+$162.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $763.46 | 10 | $7,634.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $779.92 | 10 | $7,799.20 | $8,167.26 |
+$164.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $794.98 | 10 | $7,949.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $811.91 | 10 | $8,119.10 | $8,336.51 |
+$169.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $793.05 | 10 | $7,930.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $809.50 | 10 | $8,094.96 | $8,500.97 |
+$164.46 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $797.94 | 10 | $7,979.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $814.67 | 10 | $8,146.70 | $8,668.27 |
+$167.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $838.67 | 10 | $8,386.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $826.46 | 10 | $8,264.60 | $8,546.17 |
$-122.10 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $838.67 | 10 | $8,386.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $827.85 | 10 | $8,278.50 | $8,437.97 |
$-108.20 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $804.65 | 10 | $8,046.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $816.14 | 10 | $8,161.40 | $8,552.87 |
+$114.90 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $833.41 | 10 | $8,334.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $850.55 | 10 | $8,505.55 | $8,724.37 |
+$171.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $844.25 | 10 | $8,442.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $806.85 | 10 | $8,068.50 | $8,350.37 |
$-374.00 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $803.83 | 10 | $8,038.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $789.02 | 10 | $7,890.20 | $8,202.27 |
$-148.10 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $783.66 | 10 | $7,836.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $786.66 | 10 | $7,866.60 | $8,232.32 |
+$30.05 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,232.32
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,767.68
Total Return:
-17.68%