SCHW Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 39 trades in period
+1.60%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,507.22
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$11,326.54
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
24.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 24.2
30-Day Momentum
4
-5.6%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,347
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,326.54
Current Value
$11,507.22
Period P&L
$180.70
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+2.91%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$926,210.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$180.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$180.70
Gross Return
+1.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,326.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 11:00am ET | $93.74 | 119 | $11,155.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.30 | 119 | $11,340.70 | $11,421.72 |
+$185.64 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.39 | 119 | $11,350.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:50am ET | $97.44 | 119 | $11,594.77 | $11,665.67 |
+$243.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:50am ET | $96.65 | 120 | $11,598.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $93.73 | 120 | $11,247.60 | $11,315.27 |
$-350.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:55am ET | $92.77 | 121 | $11,224.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $89.89 | 121 | $10,876.09 | $10,966.39 |
$-348.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $89.89 | 122 | $10,966.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET | $91.71 | 122 | $11,188.62 | $11,188.85 |
+$222.45 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $93.02 | 120 | $11,162.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:00am ET | $93.08 | 120 | $11,169.60 | $11,196.05 |
+$7.20 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:30am ET | $95.13 | 117 | $11,130.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET | $95.61 | 117 | $11,186.37 | $11,252.21 |
+$56.16 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:30pm ET | $94.42 | 119 | $11,235.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:40pm ET | $96.31 | 119 | $11,460.89 | $11,477.12 |
+$224.91 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $95.03 | 120 | $11,403.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.99 | 120 | $11,638.20 | $11,711.72 |
+$234.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET | $95.59 | 122 | $11,661.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $98.37 | 122 | $12,001.14 | $12,050.88 |
+$339.16 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $100.21 | 120 | $12,025.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET | $102.23 | 120 | $12,267.60 | $12,293.28 |
+$242.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 11:40am ET | $101.45 | 121 | $12,274.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.42 | 121 | $12,392.82 | $12,411.25 |
+$117.98 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $104.44 | 118 | $12,323.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $101.22 | 118 | $11,943.96 | $12,031.29 |
$-379.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $100.49 | 119 | $11,957.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $101.38 | 119 | $12,063.63 | $12,137.20 |
+$105.91 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $102.71 | 118 | $12,119.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $104.85 | 118 | $12,372.30 | $12,389.72 |
+$252.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $102.66 | 120 | $12,319.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $104.72 | 120 | $12,566.40 | $12,636.92 |
+$247.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $102.89 | 122 | $12,551.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $103.21 | 122 | $12,591.62 | $12,676.57 |
+$39.65 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $103.57 | 122 | $12,635.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $103.88 | 122 | $12,672.75 | $12,713.78 |
+$37.21 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $104.12 | 122 | $12,702.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $106.36 | 122 | $12,975.92 | $12,987.06 |
+$273.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $105.06 | 123 | $12,922.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $101.35 | 123 | $12,466.05 | $12,530.73 |
$-456.33 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $93.43 | 134 | $12,519.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $95.39 | 134 | $12,781.59 | $12,792.70 |
+$261.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $94.28 | 135 | $12,727.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $91.32 | 135 | $12,328.43 | $12,394.00 |
$-398.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.84 | 133 | $12,347.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $94.75 | 133 | $12,601.09 | $12,647.37 |
+$253.37 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $96.59 | 130 | $12,556.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $94.76 | 130 | $12,318.80 | $12,409.47 |
$-237.90 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $96.35 | 128 | $12,332.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $92.83 | 128 | $11,882.24 | $11,958.91 |
$-450.56 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $92.71 | 128 | $11,867.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $94.64 | 128 | $12,113.92 | $12,205.31 |
+$246.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $93.38 | 130 | $12,139.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $90.56 | 130 | $11,772.80 | $11,838.71 |
$-366.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $93.51 | 126 | $11,782.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $93.30 | 126 | $11,755.80 | $11,811.62 |
$-27.09 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $93.84 | 125 | $11,730.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.87 | 125 | $11,983.75 | $12,065.37 |
+$253.75 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $95.54 | 126 | $12,038.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $92.54 | 126 | $11,660.04 | $11,687.37 |
$-378.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $93.08 | 125 | $11,635.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.14 | 125 | $11,891.88 | $11,944.25 |
+$256.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.69 | 130 | $11,919.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $93.61 | 130 | $12,168.65 | $12,193.20 |
+$248.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $94.50 | 129 | $12,190.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $91.34 | 129 | $11,782.86 | $11,785.56 |
$-407.64 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $96.15 | 122 | $11,730.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $95.30 | 122 | $11,626.60 | $11,681.86 |
$-103.70 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $98.52 | 118 | $11,625.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $94.96 | 118 | $11,205.27 | $11,261.77 |
$-420.09 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.41 | 121 | $11,181.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.32 | 121 | $11,171.32 | $11,251.48 |
$-10.29 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $90.25 | 124 | $11,190.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $90.71 | 124 | $11,247.95 | $11,309.05 |
+$57.57 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $90.57 | 124 | $11,230.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.39 | 124 | $11,456.98 | $11,535.97 |
+$226.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.02 | 125 | $11,502.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $91.79 | 125 | $11,473.75 | $11,507.22 |
$-28.75 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,507.22
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,507.22
Total Return:
+15.07%