SCHW Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+21.17%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,744.21
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,168.08
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.3/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
38.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 38.6
30-Day Momentum
11
-0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,168.08
Current Value
$14,744.21
Period P&L
$2,576.15
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
26 /
13
Best Trade
+6.04%
Worst Trade
-3.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$987,583.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,576.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,576.15
Gross Return
+21.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,168.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $95.54 | 126 | $12,038.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $92.54 | 126 | $11,660.04 | $11,687.37 |
$-378.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $93.08 | 125 | $11,635.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.14 | 125 | $11,891.88 | $11,944.25 |
+$256.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.69 | 130 | $11,919.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $93.61 | 130 | $12,168.65 | $12,193.20 |
+$248.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $94.50 | 129 | $12,190.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $91.34 | 129 | $11,782.86 | $11,785.56 |
$-407.64 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $96.15 | 122 | $11,730.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $95.30 | 122 | $11,626.60 | $11,681.86 |
$-103.70 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $98.52 | 118 | $11,625.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $94.96 | 118 | $11,205.27 | $11,261.77 |
$-420.09 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.41 | 121 | $11,181.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.32 | 121 | $11,171.32 | $11,251.48 |
$-10.29 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $90.25 | 124 | $11,190.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $90.71 | 124 | $11,247.95 | $11,309.05 |
+$57.57 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $90.57 | 124 | $11,230.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.39 | 124 | $11,456.98 | $11,535.97 |
+$226.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.02 | 125 | $11,502.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $91.79 | 125 | $11,473.75 | $11,507.22 |
$-28.75 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $88.85 | 129 | $11,461.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $90.11 | 129 | $11,624.19 | $11,669.76 |
+$162.54 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $90.08 | 129 | $11,620.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $92.47 | 129 | $11,929.27 | $11,978.71 |
+$308.95 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:00pm ET | $92.44 | 129 | $11,925.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $89.61 | 129 | $11,559.69 | $11,613.00 |
$-365.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $90.86 | 127 | $11,539.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.40 | 127 | $11,099.80 | $11,172.95 |
$-440.05 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $85.29 | 130 | $11,087.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $87.01 | 130 | $11,311.30 | $11,396.55 |
+$223.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $87.70 | 129 | $11,313.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.05 | 129 | $11,358.45 | $11,441.70 |
+$45.15 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.56 | 130 | $11,382.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $89.44 | 130 | $11,627.85 | $11,686.75 |
+$245.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $89.32 | 130 | $11,611.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $91.17 | 130 | $11,852.10 | $11,927.25 |
+$240.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $92.25 | 129 | $11,899.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $94.38 | 129 | $12,175.02 | $12,202.66 |
+$275.41 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $91.26 | 133 | $12,137.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $93.09 | 133 | $12,381.01 | $12,446.09 |
+$243.43 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $91.66 | 135 | $12,374.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $88.26 | 135 | $11,915.10 | $11,987.09 |
$-459.00 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $90.81 | 132 | $11,986.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.68 | 132 | $12,233.10 | $12,233.27 |
+$246.18 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $91.66 | 135 | $12,374.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.20 | 135 | $13,122.00 | $12,981.17 |
+$747.90 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $101.20 | 128 | $12,953.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $103.23 | 128 | $13,213.44 | $13,241.01 |
+$259.84 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $102.38 | 129 | $13,207.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $103.33 | 129 | $13,329.57 | $13,363.56 |
+$122.55 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $102.60 | 130 | $13,337.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $102.40 | 130 | $13,312.00 | $13,338.21 |
$-25.35 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $99.79 | 133 | $13,272.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.88 | 133 | $13,549.38 | $13,614.85 |
+$276.64 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $100.66 | 135 | $13,589.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.25 | 135 | $13,938.75 | $13,964.50 |
+$349.65 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $105.87 | 131 | $13,868.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.72 | 131 | $13,849.97 | $13,945.50 |
$-19.00 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $106.01 | 131 | $13,887.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $108.20 | 131 | $14,174.20 | $14,232.39 |
+$286.89 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $107.39 | 132 | $14,175.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $107.79 | 132 | $14,228.28 | $14,285.18 |
+$52.79 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $108.51 | 131 | $14,214.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $110.73 | 131 | $14,505.63 | $14,576.00 |
+$290.82 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $111.36 | 130 | $14,476.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.82 | 130 | $14,665.95 | $14,765.80 |
+$189.80 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $111.36 | 130 | $14,476.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.50 | 130 | $14,105.00 | $14,394.65 |
$-371.15 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.84 | 132 | $14,366.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.29 | 132 | $14,426.28 | $14,454.05 |
+$59.40 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.84 | 132 | $14,366.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $109.94 | 132 | $14,512.08 | $14,599.25 |
+$145.20 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $109.33 | 133 | $14,540.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $107.33 | 133 | $14,274.89 | $14,333.25 |
$-266.00 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $106.73 | 134 | $14,301.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $108.34 | 134 | $14,517.56 | $14,548.99 |
+$215.74 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $105.54 | 137 | $14,458.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $106.96 | 137 | $14,654.20 | $14,744.21 |
+$195.22 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,744.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,744.21
Total Return:
+47.44%