SLV Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 51 trades in period
-9.76%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,730.49
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$16,324.03
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
37.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 37.2
30-Day Momentum
28
+3.4%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.0
Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$16,324.03
Current Value
$14,730.49
Period P&L
$-1,593.52
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
29 /
22
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-5.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,377,175.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,593.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,593.52
Gross Return
-9.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,324.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.73 | 264 | $16,296.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $62.97 | 264 | $16,624.05 | $16,651.34 |
+$327.33 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $65.65 | 253 | $16,609.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 253 | $15,696.37 | $15,738.29 |
$-913.05 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $63.97 | 246 | $15,737.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.91 | 246 | $16,213.86 | $16,214.30 |
+$476.01 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $67.65 | 239 | $16,169.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 239 | $15,205.90 | $15,250.65 |
$-963.65 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $65.55 | 232 | $15,207.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.47 | 232 | $14,725.04 | $14,768.09 |
$-482.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $68.92 | 214 | $14,748.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $66.82 | 214 | $14,300.55 | $14,319.76 |
$-448.33 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $69.14 | 207 | $14,310.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.04 | 207 | $13,878.31 | $13,887.13 |
$-432.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $71.42 | 194 | $13,854.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.87 | 194 | $14,330.78 | $14,363.40 |
+$476.27 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $72.57 | 197 | $14,296.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $70.28 | 197 | $13,844.18 | $13,911.29 |
$-452.11 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $70.38 | 197 | $13,863.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $68.26 | 197 | $13,447.22 | $13,494.64 |
$-416.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $69.19 | 195 | $13,492.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 195 | $12,807.60 | $12,810.17 |
$-684.47 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.85 | 197 | $12,775.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.63 | 197 | $13,125.91 | $13,160.63 |
+$350.46 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $69.35 | 189 | $13,107.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.32 | 189 | $12,533.54 | $12,586.90 |
$-573.73 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $66.39 | 189 | $12,548.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.50 | 189 | $13,135.50 | $13,173.75 |
+$586.85 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $73.25 | 179 | $13,112.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.95 | 179 | $13,774.05 | $13,835.44 |
+$661.69 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $76.82 | 180 | $13,826.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $78.40 | 180 | $14,111.98 | $14,120.72 |
+$285.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $79.36 | 177 | $14,046.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.81 | 177 | $13,595.37 | $13,669.37 |
$-451.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.53 | 196 | $13,627.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.54 | 196 | $13,041.84 | $13,083.33 |
$-586.04 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.79 | 190 | $13,071.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.19 | 190 | $13,146.10 | $13,158.38 |
+$75.05 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $67.51 | 194 | $13,096.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $69.00 | 194 | $13,386.97 | $13,448.41 |
+$290.03 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:50am ET | $67.68 | 198 | $13,401.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.19 | 198 | $12,709.62 | $12,756.40 |
$-692.01 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.71 | 206 | $12,712.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $59.32 | 206 | $12,219.38 | $12,263.77 |
$-492.63 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $58.80 | 208 | $12,230.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $60.05 | 208 | $12,491.36 | $12,524.73 |
+$260.96 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $61.33 | 204 | $12,510.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.29 | 204 | $13,114.14 | $13,128.57 |
+$603.84 (+4.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $63.13 | 207 | $13,067.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $64.68 | 207 | $13,388.74 | $13,449.40 |
+$320.83 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $59.29 | 226 | $13,400.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.09 | 226 | $12,676.34 | $12,725.07 |
$-724.33 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.12 | 239 | $12,695.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $51.04 | 239 | $12,198.56 | $12,227.95 |
$-497.12 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $53.42 | 228 | $12,179.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $54.54 | 228 | $12,434.82 | $12,483.01 |
+$255.06 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $54.53 | 228 | $12,432.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.71 | 228 | $12,701.88 | $12,752.05 |
+$269.04 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $55.89 | 228 | $12,742.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $54.03 | 228 | $12,318.84 | $12,327.97 |
$-424.08 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $54.26 | 227 | $12,317.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $52.58 | 227 | $11,936.79 | $11,947.75 |
$-380.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.40 | 223 | $11,908.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $51.79 | 223 | $11,549.17 | $11,588.72 |
$-359.03 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $50.54 | 229 | $11,572.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $51.70 | 229 | $11,839.30 | $11,855.07 |
+$266.35 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $53.24 | 222 | $11,818.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.40 | 222 | $12,077.91 | $12,114.80 |
+$259.74 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $51.88 | 233 | $12,086.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $52.97 | 233 | $12,340.85 | $12,368.77 |
+$253.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $54.26 | 227 | $12,317.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.24 | 227 | $11,858.48 | $11,910.23 |
$-458.54 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.63 | 230 | $11,873.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.01 | 230 | $12,423.45 | $12,459.93 |
+$549.70 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $56.22 | 221 | $12,424.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.98 | 221 | $12,813.58 | $12,848.89 |
+$388.96 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $57.72 | 222 | $12,813.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $58.96 | 222 | $13,088.01 | $13,123.06 |
+$274.17 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $58.52 | 224 | $13,108.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $59.75 | 224 | $13,383.57 | $13,398.56 |
+$275.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.65 | 228 | $13,371.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $59.82 | 228 | $13,638.96 | $13,666.46 |
+$267.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $58.46 | 233 | $13,620.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:10pm ET | $59.63 | 233 | $13,894.12 | $13,940.56 |
+$274.10 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $61.53 | 226 | $13,904.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.88 | 226 | $14,210.88 | $14,246.79 |
+$306.23 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $62.26 | 228 | $14,195.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.93 | 228 | $14,576.88 | $14,628.39 |
+$381.60 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $59.96 | 243 | $14,570.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $58.15 | 243 | $14,131.66 | $14,189.77 |
$-438.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $59.69 | 237 | $14,146.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $60.89 | 237 | $14,430.93 | $14,474.18 |
+$284.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $59.83 | 241 | $14,419.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.19 | 241 | $14,746.79 | $14,801.96 |
+$327.78 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $58.09 | 254 | $14,754.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $57.10 | 254 | $14,503.53 | $14,550.63 |
$-251.33 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $58.30 | 249 | $14,516.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.54 | 249 | $14,078.48 | $14,112.42 |
$-438.21 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $58.97 | 239 | $14,092.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $60.22 | 239 | $14,392.58 | $14,412.37 |
+$299.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $59.66 | 241 | $14,378.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $60.98 | 241 | $14,696.18 | $14,730.49 |
+$318.12 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,730.49
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,730.49
Total Return:
+47.30%