Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:57:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.5

30-Day Momentum

17
+1.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.2 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,109.11
Current Value
$6,550.86
Period P&L
$441.78
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
36 / 26
Best Trade
+7.19%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$808,828.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$441.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$441.78
Gross Return
+7.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,109.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET $44.54 137 $6,101.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $43.20 137 $5,918.40 $5,925.49 $-183.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $39.65 149 $5,908.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $38.44 149 $5,726.82 $5,744.01 $-181.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $43.39 132 $5,727.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 132 $5,414.64 $5,430.69 $-313.32
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $43.82 123 $5,389.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $42.33 123 $5,206.58 $5,247.41 $-183.28
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET $47.74 109 $5,204.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $48.85 109 $5,324.94 $5,368.15 +$120.74
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $49.08 109 $5,350.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.14 109 $5,465.26 $5,483.15 +$115.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $54.58 100 $5,458.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $56.11 100 $5,611.00 $5,636.01 +$152.86
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:25am ET $58.02 97 $5,627.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $59.28 97 $5,749.68 $5,757.75 +$121.74
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET $60.42 95 $5,739.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $58.58 95 $5,565.57 $5,583.90 $-173.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $62.45 89 $5,558.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:35am ET $60.53 89 $5,387.18 $5,412.90 $-171.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $60.71 89 $5,403.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $62.73 89 $5,582.97 $5,592.69 +$179.79
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $65.11 85 $5,533.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $66.66 85 $5,666.10 $5,724.87 +$132.18
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:15am ET $70.28 81 $5,692.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $71.89 81 $5,822.69 $5,855.28 +$130.41
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:15am ET $74.86 78 $5,839.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $76.75 78 $5,986.28 $6,002.09 +$146.81
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $74.07 81 $5,999.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $71.78 81 $5,813.78 $5,816.60 $-185.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $77.76 74 $5,754.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:15am ET $79.34 74 $5,871.16 $5,933.52 +$116.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
17 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:50am ET $75.43 78 $5,883.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $77.00 78 $6,005.61 $6,055.59 +$122.07
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $72.96 82 $5,983.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $74.69 82 $6,124.58 $6,197.04 +$141.45
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
19 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $74.83 82 $6,136.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $76.86 82 $6,302.53 $6,363.51 +$166.47
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
20 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $78.51 81 $6,359.71 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 81 $6,534.27 $6,538.06 +$174.55
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:05am ET $80.72 80 $6,458.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $82.57 80 $6,605.20 $6,685.26 +$147.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $84.93 78 $6,624.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $86.79 78 $6,770.01 $6,830.72 +$145.46
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.50 78 $6,747.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $83.11 78 $6,482.52 $6,566.24 $-264.48
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $80.67 81 $6,533.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $78.06 81 $6,322.46 $6,354.84 $-211.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $77.17 82 $6,327.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $78.78 82 $6,459.66 $6,486.56 +$131.72
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $73.17 88 $6,438.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $70.61 88 $6,213.62 $6,261.22 $-225.34
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $71.65 87 $6,233.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $73.94 87 $6,433.21 $6,460.88 +$199.66
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $77.51 83 $6,433.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 83 $6,879.04 $6,906.60 +$445.72
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $82.86 83 $6,877.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.28 83 $6,663.24 $6,692.21 $-214.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:25am ET $82.13 81 $6,652.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $84.01 81 $6,804.81 $6,844.19 +$151.98
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:30am ET $77.17 88 $6,790.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $74.70 88 $6,573.60 $6,626.84 $-217.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $72.79 91 $6,623.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $78.02 91 $7,099.82 $7,102.77 +$475.93
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:35am ET $72.99 97 $7,080.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:40am ET $74.55 97 $7,231.37 $7,254.11 +$151.34
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $76.75 94 $7,214.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $78.36 94 $7,365.84 $7,405.45 +$151.34
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $77.77 95 $7,388.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:25am ET $79.57 95 $7,558.68 $7,575.98 +$170.53
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:50am ET $74.38 101 $7,512.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $75.99 101 $7,674.99 $7,738.59 +$162.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $73.15 105 $7,680.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET $70.57 105 $7,409.85 $7,467.69 $-270.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $76.50 97 $7,420.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $74.05 97 $7,182.86 $7,229.57 $-238.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:10am ET $74.13 97 $7,190.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET $75.68 97 $7,340.96 $7,379.93 +$150.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 11:50am ET $73.45 100 $7,345.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $71.16 100 $7,116.00 $7,150.93 $-229.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:50am ET $67.47 105 $7,084.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $68.98 105 $7,242.91 $7,308.96 +$158.04
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $68.18 107 $7,295.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $70.19 107 $7,510.32 $7,523.49 +$214.52
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $70.20 107 $7,511.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $67.39 107 $7,211.26 $7,223.35 $-300.14
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $65.41 110 $7,195.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $63.30 110 $6,963.00 $6,991.26 $-232.09
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $61.90 112 $6,932.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $59.76 112 $6,693.11 $6,752.13 $-239.13
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:45am ET $63.00 107 $6,741.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.56 107 $7,014.92 $7,026.05 +$273.92
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:10am ET $67.02 104 $6,970.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $70.34 104 $7,315.57 $7,371.55 +$345.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:20am ET $75.49 97 $7,322.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $71.07 97 $6,893.79 $6,942.82 $-428.73
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET $73.35 94 $6,894.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET $74.83 94 $7,034.03 $7,082.12 +$139.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $74.02 95 $7,031.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.60 95 $7,182.00 $7,232.22 +$150.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET $77.43 93 $7,201.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $73.27 93 $6,814.11 $6,844.87 $-387.35
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $71.50 95 $6,792.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:10pm ET $73.00 95 $6,934.53 $6,986.90 +$142.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $70.72 98 $6,930.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $68.14 98 $6,677.72 $6,734.06 $-252.84
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $70.72 98 $6,930.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $69.66 98 $6,826.46 $6,629.96 $-104.10
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $72.55 91 $6,602.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:00am ET $74.10 91 $6,743.09 $6,771.00 +$141.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET $71.14 95 $6,757.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $68.93 95 $6,547.88 $6,560.95 $-210.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:55am ET $69.11 94 $6,496.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $70.62 94 $6,638.27 $6,702.88 +$141.93
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $72.56 92 $6,675.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $71.75 92 $6,600.63 $6,628.45 $-74.43
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:50am ET $69.82 94 $6,563.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $71.24 94 $6,696.56 $6,761.93 +$133.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $69.21 97 $6,713.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $66.93 97 $6,492.69 $6,541.25 $-220.68
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $71.73 91 $6,527.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $74.89 91 $6,814.99 $6,828.81 +$287.56
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $79.97 85 $6,797.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $76.70 85 $6,519.50 $6,550.86 $-277.95
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,550.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,449.14
Total Return: -34.49%
Back to Rebel Contraire