Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.0

30-Day Momentum

28
+3.6%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.3 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,478.45
Current Value
$14,237.31
Period P&L
$2,758.85
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
37 / 21
Best Trade
+6.56%
Worst Trade
-4.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,489,211.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,758.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,758.85
Gross Return
+24.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,478.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $383.29 29 $11,115.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $394.00 29 $11,426.00 $11,789.05 +$310.59
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $380.83 30 $11,424.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.52 30 $11,055.75 $11,420.05 $-369.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET $362.22 31 $11,228.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $369.75 31 $11,462.25 $11,653.48 +$233.43
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $380.78 30 $11,423.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 30 $10,931.69 $11,161.77 $-491.71
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $363.17 30 $10,895.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $351.37 30 $10,541.10 $10,807.77 $-354.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $341.45 31 $10,584.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 31 $11,279.04 $11,501.92 +$694.15
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $338.61 33 $11,174.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $347.49 33 $11,467.17 $11,794.80 +$292.88
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $343.68 34 $11,685.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $353.57 34 $12,021.38 $12,131.06 +$336.26
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $358.18 33 $11,819.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $365.93 33 $12,075.69 $12,386.81 +$255.75
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $391.35 31 $12,131.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $401.28 31 $12,439.68 $12,694.56 +$307.75
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET $390.69 32 $12,502.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 32 $11,958.08 $12,150.56 $-544.00
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $374.92 32 $11,997.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $373.41 32 $11,949.12 $12,102.08 $-48.48
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET $376.98 32 $12,063.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $385.67 32 $12,341.40 $12,379.96 +$277.88
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $388.95 31 $12,057.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $399.62 31 $12,388.22 $12,710.73 +$330.77
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
15 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $387.74 32 $12,407.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $396.47 32 $12,687.04 $12,990.09 +$279.36
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $405.93 32 $12,989.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $417.67 32 $13,365.60 $13,365.93 +$375.84
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
17 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:40am ET $419.74 31 $13,011.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:15am ET $430.84 31 $13,356.04 $13,710.03 +$344.10
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:15am ET $428.87 31 $13,294.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $438.03 31 $13,578.93 $13,993.99 +$283.96
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:50am ET $449.11 31 $13,922.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $433.71 31 $13,445.01 $13,516.56 $-477.43
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
20 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $418.82 32 $13,402.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $406.01 32 $12,992.36 $13,106.68 $-409.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $402.62 32 $12,883.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $411.92 32 $13,181.44 $13,404.28 +$297.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
22 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $421.92 31 $13,079.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $430.96 31 $13,359.62 $13,684.38 +$280.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $430.88 31 $13,357.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $442.62 31 $13,721.15 $14,048.25 +$363.87
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
24 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:10am ET $437.91 32 $14,013.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $424.59 32 $13,586.88 $13,622.01 $-426.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:15am ET $421.81 32 $13,497.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:40am ET $430.67 32 $13,781.50 $13,905.59 +$283.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET $418.21 33 $13,801.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET $405.39 33 $13,377.87 $13,482.37 $-423.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET $402.20 33 $13,272.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $410.47 33 $13,545.48 $13,755.25 +$272.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $395.61 34 $13,450.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $382.72 34 $13,012.48 $13,316.99 $-438.26
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $385.54 34 $13,108.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $393.95 34 $13,394.30 $13,602.93 +$285.94
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $401.60 33 $13,252.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $412.36 33 $13,607.88 $13,958.17 +$355.24
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $407.02 34 $13,838.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $394.44 34 $13,410.96 $13,530.45 $-427.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $397.45 34 $13,513.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $406.93 34 $13,835.79 $13,852.94 +$322.49
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:50am ET $386.37 35 $13,522.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $374.54 35 $13,108.90 $13,438.89 $-414.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:55am ET $384.95 34 $13,088.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $392.71 34 $13,352.31 $13,703.07 +$264.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:25am ET $414.90 33 $13,691.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $423.94 33 $13,990.02 $14,001.39 +$298.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.37 32 $13,611.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:00am ET $410.96 32 $13,150.72 $13,540.27 $-461.12
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $409.58 33 $13,516.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $418.03 33 $13,794.99 $13,819.12 +$278.85
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $408.54 33 $13,481.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $396.20 33 $13,074.55 $13,411.85 $-407.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $391.94 34 $13,325.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 11:50am ET $400.01 34 $13,600.34 $13,686.23 +$274.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $410.42 33 $13,543.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $396.41 33 $13,081.53 $13,223.90 $-462.33
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET $399.04 33 $13,168.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $386.65 33 $12,759.45 $12,814.96 $-408.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $377.65 33 $12,462.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET $378.52 33 $12,491.16 $12,843.67 +$28.71
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $326.72 39 $12,742.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $316.84 39 $12,356.76 $12,458.35 $-385.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET $312.83 39 $12,200.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $302.79 39 $11,808.81 $12,066.79 $-391.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:45am ET $302.39 39 $11,793.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $308.62 39 $12,036.18 $12,309.95 +$243.16
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 3:05pm ET $310.08 39 $12,093.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $317.58 39 $12,385.62 $12,602.45 +$292.50
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:25am ET $323.14 38 $12,279.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:50am ET $329.83 38 $12,533.54 $12,856.48 +$254.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:00am ET $329.13 39 $12,836.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $335.83 39 $13,097.56 $13,117.97 +$261.49
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $341.57 38 $12,979.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:10pm ET $348.54 38 $13,244.52 $13,382.83 +$264.86
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $344.82 38 $13,103.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:00am ET $354.12 38 $13,456.56 $13,736.23 +$353.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET $357.41 38 $13,581.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $343.60 38 $13,056.80 $13,211.45 $-524.78
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $352.32 37 $13,035.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $359.42 37 $13,298.54 $13,474.34 +$262.89
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:20am ET $358.40 37 $13,260.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $370.82 37 $13,720.34 $13,933.69 +$459.35
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $362.78 38 $13,785.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $351.70 38 $13,364.60 $13,512.65 $-421.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $367.21 36 $13,219.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $359.79 36 $12,952.44 $13,245.53 $-267.12
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $357.78 37 $13,237.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 37 $13,568.08 $13,575.75 +$330.22
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET $366.39 37 $13,556.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $375.74 37 $13,902.38 $13,921.70 +$345.95
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET $375.83 37 $13,905.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $384.36 37 $14,221.32 $14,237.31 +$315.61
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,237.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,237.31
Total Return: +42.37%
Back to Rebel Contraire