VOO Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 30 trades in period
+10.41%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,336.75
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$13,891.09
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality
55.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 55.2
30-Day Momentum
51
+9.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.1
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,601
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,891.09
Current Value
$15,336.75
Period P&L
$1,445.66
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
18 /
12
Best Trade
+3.54%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$857,828.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,445.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,445.66
Gross Return
+10.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,891.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $623.74 | 22 | $13,722.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $623.20 | 22 | $13,710.43 | $14,015.21 |
$-11.85 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $625.31 | 22 | $13,756.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $616.99 | 22 | $13,573.67 | $13,832.17 |
$-183.04 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $606.64 | 22 | $13,346.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $619.05 | 22 | $13,618.99 | $14,105.08 |
+$272.91 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $598.93 | 23 | $13,775.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $611.47 | 23 | $14,063.81 | $14,393.50 |
+$288.42 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $611.40 | 23 | $14,062.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $623.66 | 23 | $14,344.18 | $14,675.48 |
+$281.98 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $626.36 | 23 | $14,406.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $627.27 | 23 | $14,427.21 | $14,696.38 |
+$20.90 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $628.40 | 23 | $14,453.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET | $629.20 | 23 | $14,471.60 | $14,714.78 |
+$18.40 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $627.03 | 23 | $14,421.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $626.21 | 23 | $14,402.83 | $14,696.03 |
$-18.74 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 11:10am ET | $623.18 | 23 | $14,333.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $628.71 | 23 | $14,460.33 | $14,823.22 |
+$127.19 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $629.54 | 23 | $14,479.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $632.75 | 23 | $14,553.14 | $14,897.05 |
+$73.83 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $631.91 | 23 | $14,533.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $631.84 | 23 | $14,532.40 | $14,895.64 |
$-1.41 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $634.36 | 23 | $14,590.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $636.29 | 23 | $14,634.67 | $14,940.03 |
+$44.39 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $638.62 | 23 | $14,688.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $627.78 | 23 | $14,438.94 | $14,690.72 |
$-249.30 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $629.21 | 23 | $14,471.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $637.19 | 23 | $14,655.37 | $14,874.38 |
+$183.66 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $639.67 | 23 | $14,712.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $635.71 | 23 | $14,621.23 | $14,783.31 |
$-91.07 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $637.25 | 23 | $14,656.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $634.49 | 23 | $14,593.27 | $14,719.83 |
$-63.48 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $638.24 | 23 | $14,679.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $639.24 | 23 | $14,702.52 | $14,742.84 |
+$23.00 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $625.43 | 23 | $14,384.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $633.24 | 23 | $14,564.52 | $14,922.47 |
+$179.63 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $627.92 | 23 | $14,442.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $624.21 | 23 | $14,356.83 | $14,837.14 |
$-85.33 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $620.10 | 23 | $14,262.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $613.41 | 23 | $14,108.43 | $14,683.29 |
$-153.85 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $622.85 | 23 | $14,325.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $614.35 | 23 | $14,130.05 | $14,487.79 |
$-195.50 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $619.58 | 23 | $14,250.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $600.97 | 23 | $13,822.31 | $14,059.76 |
$-428.03 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $610.41 | 23 | $14,039.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $590.37 | 23 | $13,578.51 | $13,598.95 |
$-460.81 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $584.57 | 23 | $13,445.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:55pm ET | $596.44 | 23 | $13,718.12 | $13,872.08 |
+$273.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:55pm ET | $601.48 | 23 | $13,834.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $605.22 | 23 | $13,919.95 | $13,957.99 |
+$85.91 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $601.03 | 23 | $13,823.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $622.28 | 23 | $14,312.33 | $14,446.74 |
+$488.75 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $620.29 | 23 | $14,266.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $633.12 | 23 | $14,561.66 | $14,741.73 |
+$294.99 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $640.97 | 22 | $14,101.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $653.81 | 22 | $14,383.71 | $15,024.21 |
+$282.48 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $650.25 | 23 | $14,955.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $655.71 | 23 | $15,081.30 | $15,149.76 |
+$125.55 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $653.91 | 23 | $15,039.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $662.04 | 23 | $15,226.92 | $15,336.75 |
+$186.99 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,336.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,336.75
Total Return:
+53.37%