VRTX Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+8.29%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,953.32
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$11,038.24
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
26.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 26.6
30-Day Momentum
3
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,038.24
Current Value
$11,953.32
Period P&L
$915.08
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
23 /
16
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$889,431.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$915.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$915.08
Gross Return
+8.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.29%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,038.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $454.06 | 24 | $10,897.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $439.86 | 24 | $10,556.64 | $10,776.87 |
$-340.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $441.32 | 24 | $10,591.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $451.98 | 24 | $10,847.52 | $11,032.83 |
+$255.96 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $446.49 | 24 | $10,715.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $429.89 | 24 | $10,317.36 | $10,634.43 |
$-398.40 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $437.85 | 24 | $10,508.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $443.48 | 24 | $10,643.52 | $10,769.67 |
+$135.24 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $440.27 | 24 | $10,566.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $440.60 | 24 | $10,574.40 | $10,777.59 |
+$7.92 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $435.27 | 24 | $10,446.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $427.01 | 24 | $10,248.24 | $10,579.35 |
$-198.24 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $427.22 | 24 | $10,253.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.92 | 24 | $10,174.08 | $10,500.15 |
$-79.20 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $416.51 | 25 | $10,412.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $425.33 | 25 | $10,633.25 | $10,720.65 |
+$220.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $424.15 | 25 | $10,603.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $436.34 | 25 | $10,908.50 | $11,025.40 |
+$304.75 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $451.85 | 24 | $10,844.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $437.90 | 24 | $10,509.60 | $10,690.60 |
$-334.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 1:00pm ET | $434.35 | 24 | $10,424.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $443.14 | 24 | $10,635.36 | $10,901.56 |
+$210.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $430.86 | 25 | $10,771.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $437.99 | 25 | $10,949.75 | $11,079.81 |
+$178.25 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $441.00 | 25 | $11,024.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $437.87 | 25 | $10,946.75 | $11,001.63 |
$-78.18 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $428.15 | 25 | $10,703.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $440.20 | 25 | $11,005.00 | $11,302.88 |
+$301.25 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $450.36 | 25 | $11,259.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $436.72 | 25 | $10,918.00 | $10,961.88 |
$-341.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:30pm ET | $443.52 | 24 | $10,644.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $453.17 | 24 | $10,876.08 | $11,193.48 |
+$231.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $451.97 | 24 | $10,847.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $461.08 | 24 | $11,065.92 | $11,412.12 |
+$218.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $451.41 | 25 | $11,285.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $461.46 | 25 | $11,536.50 | $11,663.37 |
+$251.25 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $465.55 | 25 | $11,638.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $476.49 | 25 | $11,912.25 | $11,936.87 |
+$273.50 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $483.84 | 24 | $11,612.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $494.96 | 24 | $11,879.10 | $12,203.81 |
+$266.94 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $494.82 | 24 | $11,875.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $505.51 | 24 | $12,132.12 | $12,460.25 |
+$256.44 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $519.53 | 23 | $11,949.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $530.80 | 23 | $12,208.40 | $12,719.35 |
+$259.10 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $515.99 | 24 | $12,383.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $499.58 | 24 | $11,989.92 | $12,325.51 |
$-393.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $489.67 | 25 | $12,241.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $474.46 | 25 | $11,861.62 | $11,945.38 |
$-380.13 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $479.05 | 24 | $11,497.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $490.93 | 24 | $11,782.32 | $12,230.50 |
+$285.12 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $485.72 | 25 | $12,143.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.96 | 25 | $11,774.12 | $11,861.63 |
$-368.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $478.96 | 24 | $11,495.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $490.02 | 24 | $11,760.60 | $12,127.07 |
+$265.44 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $489.67 | 25 | $12,241.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $478.72 | 25 | $11,968.00 | $11,853.32 |
$-273.75 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $472.50 | 25 | $11,812.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $484.21 | 25 | $12,105.25 | $12,146.07 |
+$292.75 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $484.04 | 25 | $12,101.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $493.95 | 25 | $12,348.87 | $12,393.94 |
+$247.87 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $526.20 | 23 | $12,102.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $509.69 | 23 | $11,722.87 | $12,014.32 |
$-379.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $508.65 | 23 | $11,698.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $520.34 | 23 | $11,967.71 | $12,283.08 |
+$268.76 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 12:35pm ET | $541.90 | 22 | $11,921.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $553.39 | 22 | $12,174.58 | $12,535.86 |
+$252.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $550.41 | 22 | $12,109.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $549.78 | 22 | $12,095.16 | $12,522.00 |
$-13.86 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $548.84 | 22 | $12,074.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $549.55 | 22 | $12,090.10 | $12,537.51 |
+$15.51 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $548.84 | 22 | $12,074.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $558.26 | 22 | $12,281.72 | $12,744.64 |
+$207.13 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $550.82 | 23 | $12,668.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $529.76 | 23 | $12,184.37 | $12,260.14 |
$-484.50 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $525.11 | 23 | $12,077.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $516.97 | 23 | $11,890.31 | $12,072.92 |
$-187.22 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $512.05 | 23 | $11,777.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $506.85 | 23 | $11,657.55 | $11,953.32 |
$-119.60 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,953.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,953.32
Total Return:
+19.53%