VXX Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 53 trades in period
-28.74%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,267.12
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$7,391.88
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
9.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 8.9
30-Day Momentum
14
+0.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,391.88
Current Value
$5,267.12
Period P&L
$-2,124.75
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
25 /
28
Best Trade
+3.58%
Worst Trade
-7.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$722,055.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,124.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,124.75
Gross Return
-28.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,391.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $34.06 | 217 | $7,391.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $34.85 | 217 | $7,562.45 | $7,563.28 |
+$171.43 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $35.81 | 211 | $7,556.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $36.53 | 211 | $7,708.88 | $7,715.20 |
+$151.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $38.41 | 200 | $7,682.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $39.35 | 200 | $7,869.00 | $7,902.20 |
+$187.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:50pm ET | $36.06 | 219 | $7,898.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.96 | 219 | $7,656.24 | $7,660.21 |
$-241.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.77 | 208 | $7,648.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $35.58 | 208 | $7,400.64 | $7,412.69 |
$-247.52 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $33.76 | 219 | $7,394.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.65 | 219 | $7,588.35 | $7,606.51 |
+$193.82 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $31.54 | 241 | $7,601.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $32.67 | 241 | $7,873.47 | $7,878.84 |
+$272.33 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $30.94 | 254 | $7,860.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $30.01 | 254 | $7,623.81 | $7,642.62 |
$-236.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $29.16 | 262 | $7,638.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $29.95 | 262 | $7,848.21 | $7,852.22 |
+$209.60 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $28.65 | 274 | $7,848.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.30 | 274 | $8,028.20 | $8,031.69 |
+$179.47 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.30 | 274 | $8,028.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $29.92 | 274 | $8,198.08 | $8,201.57 |
+$169.88 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $29.51 | 277 | $8,175.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $30.11 | 277 | $8,341.85 | $8,367.77 |
+$166.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET | $29.43 | 284 | $8,358.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.40 | 284 | $8,065.63 | $8,075.28 |
$-292.49 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $29.00 | 278 | $8,063.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.97 | 278 | $7,775.66 | $7,787.55 |
$-287.73 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.00 | 278 | $7,782.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $28.61 | 278 | $7,954.97 | $7,959.91 |
+$172.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $28.14 | 282 | $7,935.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.73 | 282 | $8,101.86 | $8,126.29 |
+$166.38 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.89 | 291 | $8,114.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $28.47 | 291 | $8,284.77 | $8,296.52 |
+$170.23 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.85 | 297 | $8,271.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $28.47 | 297 | $8,455.59 | $8,480.66 |
+$184.14 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.98 | 303 | $8,477.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.03 | 303 | $8,190.09 | $8,192.81 |
$-287.85 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.00 | 303 | $8,182.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $26.15 | 303 | $7,923.45 | $7,933.75 |
$-259.06 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $26.41 | 300 | $7,924.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.48 | 300 | $7,644.03 | $7,653.49 |
$-280.26 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $25.44 | 300 | $7,631.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 12:40pm ET | $24.66 | 300 | $7,396.50 | $7,418.59 |
$-234.90 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $23.92 | 310 | $7,415.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.41 | 310 | $7,567.10 | $7,570.49 |
+$151.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.37 | 310 | $7,554.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $23.62 | 310 | $7,322.23 | $7,338.02 |
$-232.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $25.23 | 290 | $7,316.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.47 | 290 | $7,094.85 | $7,116.17 |
$-221.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.23 | 293 | $7,099.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $24.74 | 293 | $7,248.82 | $7,265.60 |
+$149.43 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $26.31 | 276 | $7,261.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $26.94 | 276 | $7,436.82 | $7,440.86 |
+$175.26 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $24.84 | 299 | $7,427.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.01 | 299 | $6,881.48 | $6,895.18 |
$-545.68 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $22.53 | 306 | $6,894.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $23.13 | 306 | $7,077.78 | $7,078.78 |
+$183.60 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $22.78 | 310 | $7,063.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $22.06 | 310 | $6,838.60 | $6,854.03 |
$-224.75 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.65 | 289 | $6,834.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.86 | 289 | $6,607.98 | $6,627.17 |
$-226.86 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.67 | 279 | $6,603.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.86 | 279 | $6,377.94 | $6,401.18 |
$-225.99 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $22.46 | 285 | $6,401.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $21.78 | 285 | $6,207.30 | $6,207.38 |
$-193.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:10pm ET | $21.53 | 288 | $6,200.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.13 | 288 | $6,373.44 | $6,380.18 |
+$172.80 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $21.87 | 291 | $6,364.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $21.20 | 291 | $6,170.65 | $6,186.66 |
$-193.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $21.73 | 284 | $6,169.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $21.07 | 284 | $5,982.46 | $5,999.22 |
$-187.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $22.31 | 268 | $5,977.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $21.60 | 268 | $5,788.80 | $5,810.28 |
$-188.94 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $21.30 | 272 | $5,792.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $21.73 | 272 | $5,909.20 | $5,927.24 |
+$116.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $22.85 | 259 | $5,918.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $22.07 | 259 | $5,716.00 | $5,725.10 |
$-202.15 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $22.34 | 256 | $5,720.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $22.80 | 256 | $5,836.80 | $5,841.58 |
+$116.48 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $22.55 | 259 | $5,840.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.61 | 259 | $5,596.99 | $5,598.12 |
$-243.46 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $20.99 | 266 | $5,582.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $20.35 | 266 | $5,413.10 | $5,429.21 |
$-168.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $20.27 | 267 | $5,412.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $19.65 | 267 | $5,245.22 | $5,262.34 |
$-166.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $19.57 | 268 | $5,243.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $19.65 | 268 | $5,264.86 | $5,283.78 |
+$21.44 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET | $19.14 | 276 | $5,281.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $18.92 | 276 | $5,220.54 | $5,223.06 |
$-60.72 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET | $19.14 | 276 | $5,281.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.63 | 276 | $5,141.88 | $5,083.68 |
$-139.38 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.42 | 276 | $5,082.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.32 | 276 | $5,056.32 | $5,057.46 |
$-26.22 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.42 | 276 | $5,082.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $17.90 | 276 | $4,941.23 | $4,916.15 |
$-141.31 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $17.54 | 280 | $4,911.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $17.95 | 280 | $5,025.97 | $5,031.06 |
+$114.91 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $18.23 | 275 | $5,012.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.73 | 275 | $5,149.38 | $5,167.54 |
+$136.48 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.10 | 285 | $5,159.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.64 | 285 | $5,312.40 | $5,320.01 |
+$152.47 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.16 | 292 | $5,302.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $18.55 | 292 | $5,416.60 | $5,433.89 |
+$113.88 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $17.70 | 306 | $5,417.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $17.16 | 306 | $5,250.96 | $5,267.12 |
$-166.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,267.12
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,732.88
Total Return:
-47.33%