VXX Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 53 trades in period
+25.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,971.65
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$4,747.39
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
19,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,747.39
Current Value
$5,971.65
Period P&L
$1,224.28
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
33 /
20
Best Trade
+7.29%
Worst Trade
-4.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$546,299.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,224.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,224.28
Gross Return
+25.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,747.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.75 | 121 | $4,688.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.57 | 121 | $4,788.26 | $4,821.46 |
+$100.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $39.13 | 123 | $4,812.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.86 | 123 | $4,656.78 | $4,665.25 |
$-156.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $39.41 | 118 | $4,650.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $37.52 | 118 | $4,427.36 | $4,442.23 |
$-223.02 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 12:20pm ET | $35.94 | 123 | $4,420.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.33 | 123 | $4,714.28 | $4,735.90 |
+$293.66 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.99 | 128 | $4,734.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $35.87 | 128 | $4,591.35 | $4,593.16 |
$-142.73 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 12:10pm ET | $35.60 | 129 | $4,591.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.21 | 129 | $4,413.09 | $4,414.50 |
$-178.67 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.92 | 130 | $4,409.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.04 | 130 | $4,425.02 | $4,429.92 |
+$15.42 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $33.89 | 130 | $4,405.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.82 | 130 | $4,266.60 | $4,290.82 |
$-139.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 12:00pm ET | $33.31 | 128 | $4,263.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $34.02 | 128 | $4,353.92 | $4,381.06 |
+$90.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.07 | 128 | $4,360.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $34.77 | 128 | $4,450.73 | $4,470.82 |
+$89.77 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 2:20pm ET | $33.27 | 134 | $4,458.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $32.95 | 134 | $4,415.30 | $4,427.94 |
$-42.88 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 2:20pm ET | $33.02 | 134 | $4,424.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:50am ET | $33.71 | 134 | $4,516.47 | $4,520.40 |
+$92.46 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 12:55pm ET | $33.27 | 135 | $4,490.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $34.62 | 135 | $4,673.03 | $4,702.65 |
+$182.25 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 11:15am ET | $35.09 | 134 | $4,702.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.09 | 134 | $4,969.39 | $4,969.98 |
+$267.33 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.40 | 140 | $4,956.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:50am ET | $36.23 | 140 | $5,072.20 | $5,086.18 |
+$116.20 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 1:15pm ET | $38.44 | 132 | $5,074.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:00pm ET | $39.38 | 132 | $5,198.16 | $5,210.26 |
+$124.08 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $38.44 | 135 | $5,189.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:15pm ET | $37.26 | 135 | $5,029.43 | $5,050.29 |
$-159.97 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 3:50pm ET | $33.93 | 148 | $5,021.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $34.66 | 148 | $5,129.68 | $5,158.33 |
+$108.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:55am ET | $34.11 | 151 | $5,151.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 12:30pm ET | $34.85 | 151 | $5,262.35 | $5,269.40 |
+$111.08 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:40pm ET | $33.63 | 156 | $5,245.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.10 | 156 | $5,006.82 | $5,030.72 |
$-238.68 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $32.31 | 155 | $5,008.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $32.96 | 155 | $5,108.80 | $5,131.47 |
+$100.75 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $33.29 | 154 | $5,126.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $33.97 | 154 | $5,231.66 | $5,236.47 |
+$105.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 12:55pm ET | $33.67 | 155 | $5,218.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.16 | 155 | $5,449.61 | $5,467.23 |
+$230.76 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:55am ET | $34.05 | 160 | $5,448.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.83 | 160 | $5,572.00 | $5,591.23 |
+$124.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:15pm ET | $36.60 | 152 | $5,563.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:30pm ET | $35.36 | 152 | $5,373.96 | $5,401.61 |
$-189.62 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 2:45pm ET | $32.90 | 164 | $5,395.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $33.62 | 164 | $5,513.68 | $5,519.69 |
+$118.08 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $35.77 | 154 | $5,508.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:30am ET | $34.66 | 154 | $5,337.64 | $5,348.75 |
$-170.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:30am ET | $34.88 | 153 | $5,336.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $35.59 | 153 | $5,445.27 | $5,457.38 |
+$108.63 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 1:50pm ET | $36.43 | 149 | $5,428.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:40pm ET | $37.16 | 149 | $5,536.84 | $5,566.15 |
+$108.77 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:40am ET | $34.28 | 162 | $5,553.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $35.22 | 162 | $5,705.41 | $5,718.21 |
+$152.05 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:45am ET | $38.56 | 148 | $5,706.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:40pm ET | $37.35 | 148 | $5,528.48 | $5,539.81 |
$-178.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 1:45pm ET | $34.77 | 159 | $5,529.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $35.87 | 159 | $5,703.33 | $5,714.01 |
+$174.20 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET | $32.99 | 173 | $5,707.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:00am ET | $31.96 | 173 | $5,528.47 | $5,535.21 |
$-178.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:25pm ET | $31.70 | 174 | $5,515.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $30.75 | 174 | $5,350.33 | $5,369.74 |
$-165.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:45pm ET | $31.11 | 172 | $5,350.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $30.11 | 172 | $5,178.06 | $5,197.19 |
$-172.55 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:40pm ET | $29.57 | 175 | $5,174.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $30.22 | 175 | $5,287.63 | $5,310.80 |
+$113.61 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:25am ET | $29.42 | 180 | $5,295.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET | $30.01 | 180 | $5,401.80 | $5,417.00 |
+$106.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:05pm ET | $29.62 | 182 | $5,390.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.58 | 182 | $5,200.65 | $5,226.81 |
$-190.19 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.41 | 190 | $5,207.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.02 | 190 | $5,133.80 | $5,152.71 |
$-74.10 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $26.41 | 195 | $5,148.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.91 | 195 | $5,052.45 | $5,056.18 |
$-96.53 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.04 | 194 | $5,050.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $26.59 | 194 | $5,158.46 | $5,163.85 |
+$107.67 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $25.80 | 200 | $5,160.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.40 | 200 | $5,280.00 | $5,283.85 |
+$120.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $27.48 | 192 | $5,276.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.25 | 192 | $5,039.04 | $5,046.73 |
$-237.12 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.14 | 193 | $5,044.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.04 | 193 | $5,411.72 | $5,414.40 |
+$367.67 (+7.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $28.19 | 192 | $5,411.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $27.32 | 192 | $5,245.44 | $5,248.26 |
$-166.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.25 | 199 | $5,223.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.54 | 199 | $5,281.46 | $5,305.97 |
+$57.71 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $27.06 | 196 | $5,303.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.79 | 196 | $5,446.11 | $5,448.33 |
+$142.35 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.90 | 202 | $5,432.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.51 | 202 | $5,556.01 | $5,571.55 |
+$123.22 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $26.09 | 213 | $5,557.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.69 | 213 | $5,686.03 | $5,700.41 |
+$128.86 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $27.65 | 206 | $5,695.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $28.56 | 206 | $5,883.36 | $5,887.87 |
+$187.46 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $28.82 | 204 | $5,879.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $29.43 | 204 | $6,003.72 | $6,012.31 |
+$124.44 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $27.37 | 219 | $5,994.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $26.54 | 219 | $5,812.26 | $5,830.47 |
$-181.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $26.99 | 216 | $5,829.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.64 | 216 | $5,971.02 | $5,971.65 |
+$141.18 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,971.65
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,028.35
Total Return:
-40.28%