WMT Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 40 trades in period
-2.70%
Last 6 Months Return
$16,680.01
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$17,142.79
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.4/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
49.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 48.8
30-Day Momentum
48
+7.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.0
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$17,142.79
Current Value
$16,680.01
Period P&L
$-462.75
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
24 /
16
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-8.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,332,577.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-462.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-462.75
Gross Return
-2.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,142.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $122.65 | 139 | $17,048.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $124.39 | 139 | $17,290.21 | $17,384.62 |
+$241.86 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $123.78 | 140 | $17,328.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.20 | 140 | $17,668.00 | $17,724.12 |
+$339.50 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $124.72 | 142 | $17,710.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.43 | 142 | $18,095.06 | $18,108.27 |
+$384.15 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $128.04 | 141 | $18,052.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $124.14 | 141 | $17,503.04 | $17,558.37 |
$-549.90 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $124.92 | 140 | $17,488.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $127.44 | 140 | $17,841.60 | $17,911.17 |
+$352.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $127.53 | 140 | $17,853.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.13 | 140 | $18,217.50 | $18,275.17 |
+$364.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $131.12 | 139 | $18,225.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $127.06 | 139 | $17,661.28 | $17,710.78 |
$-564.39 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $126.56 | 139 | $17,591.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.31 | 139 | $17,974.09 | $18,093.72 |
+$382.94 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $132.28 | 136 | $17,990.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $130.48 | 136 | $17,744.60 | $17,848.24 |
$-245.48 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $129.52 | 137 | $17,744.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $129.07 | 137 | $17,682.59 | $17,786.59 |
$-61.65 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $131.28 | 135 | $17,722.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $132.08 | 135 | $17,830.80 | $17,894.59 |
+$108.00 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $134.90 | 132 | $17,806.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $130.43 | 132 | $17,216.76 | $17,304.55 |
$-590.04 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.21 | 142 | $17,211.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.19 | 142 | $16,782.98 | $16,875.71 |
$-428.84 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $118.60 | 142 | $16,841.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $114.99 | 142 | $16,327.87 | $16,362.38 |
$-513.33 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $113.61 | 144 | $16,360.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $115.99 | 144 | $16,702.56 | $16,704.38 |
+$342.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $118.61 | 140 | $16,605.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $119.46 | 140 | $16,724.40 | $16,823.38 |
+$119.00 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $119.57 | 140 | $16,739.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $120.01 | 140 | $16,801.40 | $16,884.98 |
+$61.60 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $121.79 | 138 | $16,807.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $117.87 | 138 | $16,266.07 | $16,344.03 |
$-540.95 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $117.20 | 139 | $16,290.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.79 | 139 | $16,651.50 | $16,704.74 |
+$360.71 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $119.18 | 140 | $16,685.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 12:55pm ET | $115.59 | 140 | $16,182.60 | $16,202.14 |
$-502.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $115.89 | 139 | $16,108.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.08 | 139 | $15,162.81 | $15,256.24 |
$-945.90 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $110.07 | 138 | $15,189.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $112.31 | 138 | $15,498.78 | $15,565.36 |
+$309.12 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $109.78 | 141 | $15,478.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.81 | 141 | $15,906.21 | $15,992.59 |
+$427.23 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $113.38 | 141 | $15,986.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $114.40 | 141 | $16,130.40 | $16,136.41 |
+$143.82 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET | $114.22 | 141 | $16,105.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.65 | 141 | $16,447.65 | $16,479.04 |
+$342.63 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $113.90 | 144 | $16,401.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $110.43 | 144 | $15,902.64 | $15,980.09 |
$-498.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $108.88 | 146 | $15,896.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $111.08 | 146 | $16,217.67 | $16,301.28 |
+$321.19 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $113.38 | 141 | $15,986.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $112.66 | 141 | $15,885.06 | $16,199.76 |
$-101.52 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $111.04 | 145 | $16,100.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $112.72 | 145 | $16,345.12 | $16,444.08 |
+$244.32 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $112.30 | 146 | $16,395.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $112.64 | 146 | $16,445.44 | $16,493.72 |
+$49.64 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $114.92 | 143 | $16,432.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $114.48 | 143 | $16,370.64 | $16,431.50 |
$-62.22 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $115.79 | 141 | $16,326.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.51 | 141 | $15,017.91 | $15,123.02 |
$-1,308.48 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $102.56 | 147 | $15,075.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.07 | 147 | $15,446.02 | $15,493.46 |
+$370.44 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $102.56 | 147 | $15,075.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.50 | 147 | $15,508.50 | $15,926.37 |
+$432.91 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.47 | 153 | $15,830.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.58 | 153 | $16,153.74 | $16,249.20 |
+$322.83 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $106.01 | 153 | $16,219.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $108.26 | 153 | $16,564.54 | $16,594.21 |
+$345.01 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $107.46 | 154 | $16,548.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $105.82 | 154 | $16,296.28 | $16,341.65 |
$-252.56 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $105.93 | 154 | $16,313.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.19 | 154 | $16,662.03 | $16,689.69 |
+$348.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.69 | 153 | $16,629.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.21 | 153 | $16,250.89 | $16,311.01 |
$-378.68 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $108.74 | 150 | $16,311.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $111.20 | 150 | $16,680.00 | $16,680.01 |
+$369.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,680.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,680.01
Total Return:
+66.80%