XOM Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 43 trades in period
+11.66%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,092.95
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$15,308.14
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
50.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 49.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,308.14
Current Value
$17,092.95
Period P&L
$1,784.86
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
25 /
18
Best Trade
+13.09%
Worst Trade
-5.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,391,972.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,784.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,784.86
Gross Return
+11.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.66%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,308.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $165.49 | 93 | $15,390.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $169.15 | 93 | $15,731.41 | $15,818.10 |
+$340.84 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $174.83 | 90 | $15,734.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $168.60 | 90 | $15,174.01 | $15,257.41 |
$-560.69 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $160.48 | 95 | $15,245.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.68 | 95 | $15,644.60 | $15,656.41 |
+$399.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $161.20 | 97 | $15,636.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $165.30 | 97 | $16,034.58 | $16,054.59 |
+$398.18 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $153.81 | 104 | $15,996.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.02 | 104 | $16,330.08 | $16,388.43 |
+$333.84 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $153.77 | 106 | $16,299.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.62 | 106 | $15,647.72 | $15,736.53 |
$-651.90 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $148.01 | 106 | $15,689.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $151.23 | 106 | $16,030.38 | $16,077.85 |
+$341.32 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $143.90 | 111 | $15,972.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.34 | 111 | $16,354.74 | $16,459.69 |
+$381.84 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $148.13 | 111 | $16,442.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.15 | 111 | $16,556.20 | $16,573.46 |
+$113.77 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $151.90 | 109 | $16,556.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $155.00 | 109 | $16,895.00 | $16,911.90 |
+$338.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $153.05 | 110 | $16,835.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $148.12 | 110 | $16,292.65 | $16,369.05 |
$-542.85 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $144.41 | 113 | $16,318.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $147.30 | 113 | $16,645.46 | $16,696.18 |
+$327.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $150.95 | 110 | $16,603.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $154.23 | 110 | $16,965.30 | $17,057.53 |
+$361.35 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:40pm ET | $161.00 | 105 | $16,905.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $156.14 | 105 | $16,394.70 | $16,547.23 |
$-510.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $154.10 | 107 | $16,489.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.19 | 107 | $15,749.33 | $15,807.33 |
$-739.90 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $149.46 | 105 | $15,692.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $144.96 | 105 | $15,220.80 | $15,335.36 |
$-471.97 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $148.93 | 102 | $15,191.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $152.34 | 102 | $15,538.68 | $15,682.67 |
+$347.31 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $151.35 | 103 | $15,588.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $149.36 | 103 | $15,384.08 | $15,478.21 |
$-204.46 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $150.76 | 102 | $15,377.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.61 | 102 | $14,852.22 | $14,952.91 |
$-525.30 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $138.86 | 107 | $14,858.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $141.66 | 107 | $15,158.15 | $15,253.04 |
+$300.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $141.39 | 107 | $15,128.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $136.55 | 107 | $14,611.12 | $14,735.43 |
$-517.61 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $137.90 | 106 | $14,617.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.01 | 106 | $14,523.59 | $14,641.62 |
$-93.81 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $135.75 | 107 | $14,525.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $138.96 | 107 | $14,869.25 | $14,985.63 |
+$344.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $136.76 | 109 | $14,906.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.63 | 109 | $15,219.67 | $15,298.46 |
+$312.83 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $142.50 | 107 | $15,247.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $138.18 | 107 | $14,785.26 | $14,836.22 |
$-462.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $137.69 | 107 | $14,732.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.17 | 107 | $15,212.14 | $15,315.53 |
+$479.31 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $144.38 | 106 | $15,304.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.22 | 106 | $15,711.32 | $15,722.57 |
+$407.04 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.42 | 107 | $15,666.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.36 | 107 | $15,981.52 | $16,037.15 |
+$314.58 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $153.66 | 104 | $15,980.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.49 | 104 | $16,379.48 | $16,435.98 |
+$398.84 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $157.40 | 104 | $16,370.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $152.58 | 104 | $15,868.33 | $15,934.19 |
$-501.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $137.69 | 107 | $14,732.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.72 | 107 | $16,662.04 | $17,863.40 |
+$1,929.21 (+13.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.62 | 115 | $17,780.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.79 | 115 | $17,225.85 | $17,308.52 |
$-554.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $153.01 | 113 | $17,290.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.32 | 113 | $17,664.72 | $17,683.12 |
+$374.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $160.57 | 110 | $17,663.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.30 | 110 | $17,523.00 | $17,542.87 |
$-140.25 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $163.97 | 106 | $17,380.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $167.46 | 106 | $17,751.29 | $17,913.34 |
+$370.47 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $167.76 | 106 | $17,782.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $162.65 | 106 | $17,240.90 | $17,371.68 |
$-541.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $167.76 | 106 | $17,782.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.16 | 106 | $16,765.49 | $16,354.61 |
$-1,017.07 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.68 | 103 | $16,241.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.33 | 103 | $16,616.99 | $16,730.56 |
+$375.95 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.68 | 103 | $16,241.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $164.51 | 103 | $16,944.02 | $17,433.54 |
+$702.98 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $160.28 | 108 | $17,310.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $164.83 | 108 | $17,801.64 | $17,924.94 |
+$491.40 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $163.45 | 109 | $17,816.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $166.84 | 109 | $18,185.02 | $18,293.91 |
+$368.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $167.67 | 109 | $18,276.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.27 | 109 | $17,687.97 | $17,705.85 |
$-588.06 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:40am ET | $162.74 | 108 | $17,576.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.07 | 108 | $16,963.56 | $17,092.95 |
$-612.90 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,092.95
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,092.95
Total Return:
+70.93%