AMC Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
-8.58%
Year to Date Return
$4,384.19
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$4,795.51
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
9.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.0
30-Day Momentum
14
-4.4%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,759
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$4,795.51
Current Value
$4,384.19
Period P&L
$-411.29
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
21 /
18
Best Trade
+6.59%
Worst Trade
-5.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
18.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$364,037.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-411.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-411.29
Gross Return
-8.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,795.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.55 | 3,101 | $4,795.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.59 | 3,101 | $4,930.59 | $4,930.67 |
+$135.20 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.52 | 3,243 | $4,929.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.47 | 3,243 | $4,767.53 | $4,768.85 |
$-161.83 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.59 | 3,008 | $4,767.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.69 | 3,008 | $5,081.72 | $5,082.88 |
+$314.04 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.66 | 3,057 | $5,082.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.61 | 3,057 | $4,921.77 | $4,922.39 |
$-160.49 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.55 | 3,177 | $4,921.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.59 | 3,177 | $5,051.43 | $5,052.33 |
+$129.94 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1.59 | 3,187 | $5,051.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.64 | 3,187 | $5,210.75 | $5,211.68 |
+$159.35 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.62 | 3,219 | $5,211.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.67 | 3,219 | $5,359.64 | $5,359.75 |
+$148.07 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.62 | 3,308 | $5,358.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.57 | 3,308 | $5,193.56 | $5,194.35 |
$-165.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1.52 | 3,417 | $5,193.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.47 | 3,417 | $5,022.99 | $5,023.50 |
$-170.85 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1.42 | 3,537 | $5,022.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.45 | 3,537 | $5,128.65 | $5,129.61 |
+$106.11 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.41 | 3,650 | $5,128.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.35 | 3,650 | $4,927.87 | $4,929.23 |
$-200.39 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.42 | 3,459 | $4,929.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.38 | 3,459 | $4,773.42 | $4,773.57 |
$-155.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.45 | 3,292 | $4,773.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.40 | 3,292 | $4,608.80 | $4,608.97 |
$-164.60 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.33 | 3,465 | $4,608.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.37 | 3,465 | $4,729.73 | $4,730.25 |
+$121.27 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.23 | 3,845 | $4,729.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.26 | 3,845 | $4,825.48 | $4,825.99 |
+$95.74 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.24 | 3,892 | $4,825.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.20 | 3,892 | $4,670.40 | $4,670.70 |
$-155.29 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.16 | 4,009 | $4,670.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.20 | 4,009 | $4,790.76 | $4,790.97 |
+$120.27 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1.16 | 4,112 | $4,790.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.19 | 4,112 | $4,893.28 | $4,893.77 |
+$102.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.15 | 4,255 | $4,893.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.18 | 4,255 | $5,020.90 | $5,021.42 |
+$127.65 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.17 | 4,291 | $5,020.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.13 | 4,291 | $4,848.83 | $4,849.78 |
$-171.64 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.10 | 4,408 | $4,848.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.10 | 4,408 | $4,848.80 | $4,849.78 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.03 | 4,709 | $4,849.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $0.9934 | 4,709 | $4,677.92 | $4,678.37 |
$-171.41 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.02 | 4,576 | $4,677.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $0.9876 | 4,576 | $4,519.26 | $4,520.04 |
$-158.33 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $0.9900 | 4,565 | $4,519.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.9560 | 4,565 | $4,364.14 | $4,364.83 |
$-155.21 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.01 | 4,343 | $4,364.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1.03 | 4,343 | $4,473.29 | $4,473.40 |
+$108.57 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.00 | 4,472 | $4,472.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1.02 | 4,472 | $4,583.80 | $4,584.75 |
+$111.35 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.27 | 3,610 | $4,584.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.23 | 3,610 | $4,440.30 | $4,440.35 |
$-144.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.30 | 3,402 | $4,439.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.34 | 3,402 | $4,558.68 | $4,559.42 |
+$119.07 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.37 | 3,340 | $4,559.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.32 | 3,340 | $4,403.79 | $4,404.11 |
$-155.31 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.51 | 2,926 | $4,403.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.54 | 2,926 | $4,506.04 | $4,506.52 |
+$102.41 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.61 | 2,799 | $4,506.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.56 | 2,799 | $4,366.72 | $4,367.13 |
$-139.39 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.89 | 2,304 | $4,366.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.79 | 2,304 | $4,124.16 | $4,125.21 |
$-241.92 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.79 | 2,304 | $4,124.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.71 | 2,304 | $3,940.30 | $3,941.35 |
$-183.86 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.72 | 2,298 | $3,941.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.76 | 2,298 | $4,055.97 | $4,056.25 |
+$114.90 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.59 | 2,551 | $4,055.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.68 | 2,551 | $4,285.68 | $4,286.61 |
+$230.36 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.62 | 2,646 | $4,286.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.54 | 2,646 | $4,074.84 | $4,074.93 |
$-211.68 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.50 | 2,725 | $4,073.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.53 | 2,725 | $4,169.25 | $4,170.30 |
+$95.37 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.55 | 2,690 | $4,169.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.59 | 2,690 | $4,278.71 | $4,279.51 |
+$109.21 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.63 | 2,617 | $4,278.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.67 | 2,617 | $4,383.47 | $4,384.19 |
+$104.68 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,384.19
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,615.81
Total Return:
-56.16%