Compendium › Rebel Contraire › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

-20.27%
Year to Date Return
$5,215.04
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$6,540.59
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 12:04:31

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,052
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,540.59
Current Value
$5,215.04
Period P&L
$-1,325.54
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+2.16%
Worst Trade
-6.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.86%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$289,478.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,325.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,325.54
Gross Return
-20.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,540.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET $29.61 218 $6,453.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $27.75 218 $6,049.50 $6,058.80 $-404.39
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $27.50 220 $6,048.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET $28.06 220 $6,172.10 $6,182.00 +$123.20
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:25am ET $28.18 219 $6,171.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET $28.77 219 $6,299.54 $6,310.12 +$128.12
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET $28.96 217 $6,283.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $28.05 217 $6,085.77 $6,112.65 $-197.47
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $27.89 219 $6,106.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET $28.45 219 $6,230.55 $6,236.38 +$123.74
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $28.81 216 $6,221.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $29.39 216 $6,347.16 $6,361.66 +$125.28
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $29.22 217 $6,339.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $28.85 217 $6,259.37 $6,281.37 $-80.29
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $29.44 213 $6,269.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $30.07 213 $6,404.91 $6,416.63 +$135.25
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $30.97 207 $6,410.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $31.46 207 $6,512.22 $6,518.06 +$101.43
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $31.57 206 $6,503.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $31.32 206 $6,451.92 $6,466.56 $-51.50
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET $31.72 203 $6,439.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $30.76 203 $6,245.29 $6,272.70 $-193.86
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $30.90 203 $6,272.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $31.17 203 $6,326.50 $6,326.50 +$53.80
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $31.82 198 $6,300.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $30.83 198 $6,105.33 $6,131.47 $-195.03
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET $30.66 199 $6,101.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $30.27 199 $6,023.73 $6,053.86 $-77.61
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:15am ET $30.47 198 $6,033.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $29.44 198 $5,830.11 $5,850.12 $-203.74
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $29.13 200 $5,825.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $29.59 200 $5,918.00 $5,943.12 +$93.00
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $28.93 205 $5,930.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $28.73 205 $5,888.63 $5,901.10 $-42.02
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $28.49 207 $5,896.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET $27.63 207 $5,719.41 $5,724.11 $-176.99
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $28.06 204 $5,723.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $27.91 204 $5,693.64 $5,694.53 $-29.58
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $27.90 204 $5,691.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $28.48 204 $5,809.92 $5,812.85 +$118.32
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $29.70 195 $5,792.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $29.35 195 $5,724.22 $5,744.60 $-68.25
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $31.84 180 $5,731.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 180 $5,452.20 $5,465.60 $-279.00
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 199 $5,458.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.99 199 $5,371.01 $5,378.04 $-87.56
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
24 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $26.78 200 $5,357.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $25.97 200 $5,194.00 $5,215.04 $-163.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,215.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,784.96
Total Return: -47.85%
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