Compendium › Rebel Contraire › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

-10.48%
Year to Date Return
$8,792.19
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,821.36
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 8.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,747
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,821.36
Current Value
$8,792.19
Period P&L
$-1,029.14
Max Drawdown
-25.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
10 / 14
Best Trade
+2.48%
Worst Trade
-5.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$444,959.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,029.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,029.14
Gross Return
-10.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,821.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET $112.15 87 $9,757.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:35am ET $114.42 87 $9,954.11 $10,018.39 +$197.06
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $114.43 87 $9,955.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $113.78 87 $9,898.43 $9,961.40 $-56.99
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $112.41 88 $9,892.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $109.00 88 $9,592.01 $9,661.33 $-300.07
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET $111.27 86 $9,569.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $113.96 86 $9,800.56 $9,892.67 +$231.34
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $111.48 88 $9,810.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $110.74 88 $9,745.12 $9,827.55 $-65.12
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $110.89 88 $9,758.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $105.05 88 $9,244.40 $9,313.63 $-513.92
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $102.90 90 $9,261.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $105.11 90 $9,459.90 $9,512.53 +$198.90
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $105.78 89 $9,414.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:40am ET $107.92 89 $9,605.32 $9,703.42 +$190.90
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $107.61 90 $9,684.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET $110.01 90 $9,900.90 $9,919.43 +$216.00
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $106.11 93 $9,868.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $104.41 93 $9,710.13 $9,761.25 $-158.18
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $106.43 91 $9,685.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $103.39 91 $9,408.49 $9,484.61 $-276.64
(-2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET $103.20 91 $9,391.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $99.99 91 $9,099.09 $9,192.50 $-292.11
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:10am ET $101.24 90 $9,111.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $99.47 90 $8,952.30 $9,033.20 $-159.30
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $100.32 90 $9,028.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $99.19 90 $8,927.55 $8,931.95 $-101.25
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.80 91 $8,899.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $94.81 91 $8,627.71 $8,659.86 $-272.09
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $92.57 93 $8,609.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $94.46 93 $8,784.78 $8,835.63 +$175.77
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $94.76 93 $8,813.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $96.71 93 $8,994.00 $9,016.49 +$180.86
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $96.64 93 $8,987.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $96.22 93 $8,948.46 $8,977.43 $-39.06
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $98.46 91 $8,960.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:10am ET $99.44 91 $9,049.49 $9,066.61 +$89.18
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $102.62 88 $9,030.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $105.17 88 $9,254.96 $9,291.01 +$224.40
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $106.18 87 $9,237.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $102.93 87 $8,954.91 $9,008.26 $-282.75
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $102.43 87 $8,911.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $100.77 87 $8,766.99 $8,863.84 $-144.42
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $103.54 85 $8,801.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $100.42 85 $8,535.28 $8,597.79 $-266.05
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
24 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $106.95 80 $8,556.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $109.38 80 $8,750.40 $8,792.19 +$194.40
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,792.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,207.81
Total Return: -12.08%
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