Compendium › Rebel Contraire › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+0.68%
Year to Date Return
$14,737.40
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$14,637.28
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:54:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 37.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,011
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,637.28
Current Value
$14,737.40
Period P&L
$100.16
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
15 / 11
Best Trade
+2.45%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$784,487.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$100.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$100.16
Gross Return
+0.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,637.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:40am ET $123.33 119 $14,676.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.49 119 $14,219.31 $14,273.79 $-456.96
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET $120.82 118 $14,256.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $123.52 118 $14,574.77 $14,591.80 +$318.01
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $123.28 118 $14,546.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $122.10 118 $14,407.80 $14,453.15 $-138.65
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $122.13 118 $14,411.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $125.03 118 $14,753.54 $14,795.35 +$342.20
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $123.08 120 $14,769.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET $125.55 120 $15,065.40 $15,091.15 +$295.80
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:05am ET $132.60 113 $14,983.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $135.32 113 $15,291.16 $15,398.51 +$307.36
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $137.15 112 $15,360.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $140.19 112 $15,701.28 $15,739.55 +$341.04
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $140.42 112 $15,727.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $143.47 112 $16,068.64 $16,081.15 +$341.60
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $144.89 110 $15,937.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $148.20 110 $16,302.00 $16,445.25 +$364.10
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $151.69 108 $16,382.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $149.74 108 $16,171.92 $16,234.65 $-210.60
(-1.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $153.76 105 $16,144.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $148.97 105 $15,641.85 $15,731.70 $-502.95
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET $147.33 106 $15,616.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $149.05 106 $15,799.30 $15,914.02 +$182.32
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $147.57 107 $15,789.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.86 107 $15,286.02 $15,410.05 $-503.97
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET $144.56 106 $15,323.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $148.10 106 $15,699.13 $15,785.82 +$375.77
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $146.79 107 $15,706.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $144.63 107 $15,475.94 $15,555.24 $-230.58
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET $144.53 107 $15,464.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $140.09 107 $14,989.63 $15,080.16 $-475.08
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $141.24 106 $14,971.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $136.82 106 $14,503.45 $14,612.17 $-467.99
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $137.06 106 $14,528.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $139.87 106 $14,826.22 $14,910.03 +$297.86
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET $137.98 108 $14,901.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $138.96 108 $15,007.68 $15,015.87 +$105.84
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $139.37 107 $14,912.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET $139.49 107 $14,925.43 $15,028.71 +$12.84
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:45am ET $137.98 108 $14,901.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $140.76 108 $15,202.08 $15,329.49 +$300.78
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $142.70 107 $15,268.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 107 $14,762.79 $14,823.38 $-506.11
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $140.24 105 $14,724.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $138.05 105 $14,495.77 $14,594.48 $-228.90
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $134.26 108 $14,499.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $129.81 108 $14,019.48 $14,114.42 $-480.06
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET $129.04 109 $14,065.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET $131.96 109 $14,383.64 $14,432.70 +$318.28
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $130.62 110 $14,368.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $133.39 110 $14,672.90 $14,737.40 +$304.70
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,737.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,737.40
Total Return: +47.37%
Back to Rebel Contraire