GILD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 57 trades in period
+10.13%
Year to Date Return
$16,119.52
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$14,637.28
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
43.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 42.4
30-Day Momentum
26
+1.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,655
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,637.28
Current Value
$16,119.52
Period P&L
$1,482.28
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
34 /
23
Best Trade
+4.26%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,711,430.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,482.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,482.28
Gross Return
+10.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 57 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,637.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:40am ET | $123.33 | 119 | $14,676.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.49 | 119 | $14,219.31 | $14,273.79 |
$-456.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $120.82 | 118 | $14,256.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $123.52 | 118 | $14,574.77 | $14,591.80 |
+$318.01 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $123.28 | 118 | $14,546.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $122.10 | 118 | $14,407.80 | $14,453.15 |
$-138.65 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $122.13 | 118 | $14,411.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $125.03 | 118 | $14,753.54 | $14,795.35 |
+$342.20 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.08 | 120 | $14,769.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $125.55 | 120 | $15,065.40 | $15,091.15 |
+$295.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $132.60 | 113 | $14,983.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $135.32 | 113 | $15,291.16 | $15,398.51 |
+$307.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $137.15 | 112 | $15,360.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.19 | 112 | $15,701.28 | $15,739.55 |
+$341.04 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $140.42 | 112 | $15,727.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $143.47 | 112 | $16,068.64 | $16,081.15 |
+$341.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $144.89 | 110 | $15,937.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.20 | 110 | $16,302.00 | $16,445.25 |
+$364.10 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $151.69 | 108 | $16,382.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $149.74 | 108 | $16,171.92 | $16,234.65 |
$-210.60 (-1.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $153.76 | 105 | $16,144.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.97 | 105 | $15,641.85 | $15,731.70 |
$-502.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $147.33 | 106 | $15,616.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.05 | 106 | $15,799.30 | $15,914.02 |
+$182.32 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.57 | 107 | $15,789.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.86 | 107 | $15,286.02 | $15,410.05 |
$-503.97 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $144.56 | 106 | $15,323.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.10 | 106 | $15,699.13 | $15,785.82 |
+$375.77 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.79 | 107 | $15,706.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.63 | 107 | $15,475.94 | $15,555.24 |
$-230.58 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $144.53 | 107 | $15,464.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $140.09 | 107 | $14,989.63 | $15,080.16 |
$-475.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $141.24 | 106 | $14,971.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $136.82 | 106 | $14,503.45 | $14,612.17 |
$-467.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.06 | 106 | $14,528.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $139.87 | 106 | $14,826.22 | $14,910.03 |
+$297.86 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $137.98 | 108 | $14,901.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $138.96 | 108 | $15,007.68 | $15,015.87 |
+$105.84 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $139.37 | 107 | $14,912.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $139.49 | 107 | $14,925.43 | $15,028.71 |
+$12.84 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $137.98 | 108 | $14,901.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $140.76 | 108 | $15,202.08 | $15,329.49 |
+$300.78 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $142.70 | 107 | $15,268.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.97 | 107 | $14,762.79 | $14,823.38 |
$-506.11 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $140.24 | 105 | $14,724.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.05 | 105 | $14,495.77 | $14,594.48 |
$-228.90 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $134.26 | 108 | $14,499.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $129.81 | 108 | $14,019.48 | $14,114.42 |
$-480.06 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $129.04 | 109 | $14,065.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $131.96 | 109 | $14,383.64 | $14,432.70 |
+$318.28 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $130.62 | 110 | $14,368.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $133.39 | 110 | $14,672.90 | $14,737.40 |
+$304.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $134.89 | 109 | $14,703.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.87 | 109 | $14,155.83 | $14,190.22 |
$-547.18 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $133.85 | 106 | $14,188.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $136.64 | 106 | $14,484.09 | $14,486.21 |
+$295.99 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $132.73 | 109 | $14,467.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $130.35 | 109 | $14,207.61 | $14,226.25 |
$-259.96 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:25pm ET | $130.89 | 108 | $14,136.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $133.59 | 108 | $14,427.72 | $14,517.85 |
+$291.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $134.45 | 107 | $14,386.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.47 | 107 | $14,174.29 | $14,305.99 |
$-211.86 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $128.41 | 111 | $14,253.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $130.98 | 111 | $14,538.78 | $14,591.26 |
+$285.27 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $127.69 | 114 | $14,556.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $123.70 | 114 | $14,101.80 | $14,136.40 |
$-454.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $123.25 | 114 | $14,050.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $126.01 | 114 | $14,365.14 | $14,451.04 |
+$314.64 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $124.76 | 115 | $14,347.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:30am ET | $127.46 | 115 | $14,657.90 | $14,761.54 |
+$310.50 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $126.62 | 116 | $14,687.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $122.65 | 116 | $14,227.98 | $14,301.60 |
$-459.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $124.52 | 114 | $14,195.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $127.74 | 114 | $14,562.36 | $14,668.68 |
+$367.08 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $126.11 | 116 | $14,628.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $128.65 | 116 | $14,923.40 | $14,963.32 |
+$294.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $128.16 | 116 | $14,866.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.63 | 116 | $15,500.50 | $15,597.26 |
+$633.94 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $135.66 | 114 | $15,465.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $131.46 | 114 | $14,986.44 | $15,117.89 |
$-479.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $130.15 | 116 | $15,096.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $132.79 | 116 | $15,403.64 | $15,424.71 |
+$306.82 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $138.62 | 111 | $15,386.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $134.43 | 111 | $14,921.73 | $14,959.62 |
$-465.09 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.40 | 114 | $14,866.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.34 | 114 | $14,858.76 | $14,952.21 |
$-7.41 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $134.75 | 110 | $14,822.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.02 | 110 | $14,302.42 | $14,432.13 |
$-520.08 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 2:50pm ET | $130.59 | 110 | $14,364.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $133.99 | 110 | $14,738.90 | $14,806.13 |
+$374.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $132.21 | 111 | $14,675.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $135.43 | 111 | $15,032.73 | $15,162.99 |
+$356.86 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $135.74 | 111 | $15,067.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $138.59 | 111 | $15,383.49 | $15,479.34 |
+$316.35 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $143.13 | 108 | $15,458.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.27 | 108 | $15,797.16 | $15,818.46 |
+$339.12 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $145.23 | 108 | $15,684.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $146.52 | 108 | $15,824.16 | $15,958.32 |
+$139.86 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $148.96 | 107 | $15,938.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.65 | 107 | $15,370.55 | $15,390.15 |
$-568.17 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $148.84 | 103 | $15,330.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.92 | 103 | $15,647.76 | $15,707.90 |
+$317.75 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $148.96 | 107 | $15,938.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $150.02 | 107 | $16,052.14 | $15,821.32 |
+$113.42 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $150.82 | 104 | $15,685.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.11 | 104 | $15,195.44 | $15,331.48 |
$-489.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $146.15 | 104 | $15,199.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $144.74 | 104 | $15,053.48 | $15,185.36 |
$-146.12 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $144.54 | 105 | $15,176.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $147.47 | 105 | $15,484.35 | $15,493.01 |
+$307.65 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $147.18 | 105 | $15,453.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $150.15 | 105 | $15,765.75 | $15,805.38 |
+$312.37 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $150.98 | 104 | $15,701.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $154.00 | 104 | $16,016.06 | $16,119.52 |
+$314.14 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,119.52
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,119.52
Total Return:
+61.20%