Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.9/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 62.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 62.6

30-Day Momentum

58
+11.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
8.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.4 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$22,212.04
Current Value
$27,845.01
Period P&L
$5,632.98
Max Drawdown
-25.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
38 / 23
Best Trade
+6.70%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,888,337.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,632.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,632.98
Gross Return
+25.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $22,212.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET $314.01 70 $21,980.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $320.76 70 $22,453.19 $22,761.52 +$472.49
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET $317.26 71 $22,525.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $323.74 71 $22,985.19 $23,221.25 +$459.73
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $326.20 71 $23,159.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $336.37 71 $23,881.92 $23,943.32 +$722.07
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $331.50 72 $23,868.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $323.78 72 $23,312.16 $23,387.48 $-555.84
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $329.25 71 $23,376.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:35am ET $335.06 71 $23,789.26 $23,800.35 +$412.87
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $334.64 71 $23,759.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $338.72 71 $24,049.12 $24,090.03 +$289.68
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET $344.00 70 $24,080.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $333.61 70 $23,352.35 $23,362.38 $-727.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $324.50 71 $23,039.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $331.09 71 $23,507.39 $23,830.27 +$467.89
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $322.38 73 $23,533.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $319.20 73 $23,301.59 $23,598.12 $-232.15
(-1.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $300.24 78 $23,418.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $308.10 78 $24,031.80 $24,211.04 +$612.92
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $314.34 77 $24,204.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $303.99 77 $23,407.38 $23,414.09 $-796.95
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:20am ET $307.86 76 $23,397.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $298.26 76 $22,667.91 $22,684.64 $-729.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $301.26 75 $22,594.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $298.40 75 $22,380.37 $22,470.89 $-213.75
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:15am ET $308.19 72 $22,189.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $304.35 72 $21,913.20 $22,194.41 $-276.48
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:00am ET $306.85 72 $22,092.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $302.70 72 $21,794.76 $21,896.33 $-298.08
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $298.99 73 $21,826.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $289.98 73 $21,168.54 $21,238.45 $-657.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $284.52 74 $21,054.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $275.90 74 $20,416.60 $20,600.94 $-637.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET $274.49 75 $20,586.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $280.00 75 $21,000.00 $21,014.19 +$413.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $299.92 70 $20,994.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 70 $20,311.97 $20,331.76 $-682.43
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:35am ET $297.20 68 $20,209.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $303.40 68 $20,631.20 $20,753.36 +$421.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $312.38 66 $20,616.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $318.65 66 $21,030.90 $21,167.30 +$413.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $316.84 66 $20,911.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $325.13 66 $21,458.81 $21,714.67 +$547.37
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $331.57 65 $21,552.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $338.75 65 $22,018.75 $22,181.37 +$466.70
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $336.64 65 $21,881.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:55am ET $337.60 65 $21,943.68 $22,243.44 +$62.07
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:35am ET $340.55 65 $22,136.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET $348.19 65 $22,632.26 $22,739.62 +$496.18
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $350.45 64 $22,428.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 64 $23,930.88 $24,241.70 +$1,502.08
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $380.07 63 $23,944.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $390.18 63 $24,581.34 $24,878.63 +$636.93
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
28 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:05am ET $393.36 63 $24,781.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.32 63 $25,283.16 $25,380.11 +$501.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
29 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $389.72 65 $25,331.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:30am ET $397.85 65 $25,860.02 $25,908.33 +$528.22
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
30 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $400.56 64 $25,636.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:50am ET $388.40 64 $24,857.60 $25,129.80 $-778.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
31 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:10am ET $384.11 65 $24,966.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $392.29 65 $25,498.85 $25,661.66 +$531.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
32 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $384.71 66 $25,390.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $392.75 66 $25,921.50 $26,192.30 +$530.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
33 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:15am ET $390.09 67 $26,136.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 67 $25,204.06 $25,260.33 $-931.97
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 68 $24,935.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $365.07 68 $24,824.76 $25,149.49 $-110.84
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $369.40 68 $25,119.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $357.71 68 $24,324.28 $24,354.57 $-794.92
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $356.75 68 $24,259.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $366.23 68 $24,903.64 $24,999.21 +$644.64
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $371.49 67 $24,889.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $360.20 67 $24,133.07 $24,242.45 $-756.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $353.66 68 $24,048.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:20am ET $342.27 68 $23,274.36 $23,467.93 $-774.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET $345.79 67 $23,167.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $352.88 67 $23,642.96 $23,942.96 +$475.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $340.58 70 $23,840.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $348.39 70 $24,386.95 $24,489.31 +$546.35
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $351.06 69 $24,223.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $358.22 69 $24,717.18 $24,983.35 +$494.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $359.59 69 $24,811.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $366.70 69 $25,302.31 $25,474.12 +$490.77
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $367.84 69 $25,380.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $355.51 69 $24,530.19 $24,623.35 $-850.77
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $356.75 69 $24,615.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $363.54 69 $25,084.26 $25,091.86 +$468.51
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:00am ET $370.77 67 $24,841.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $358.85 67 $24,042.95 $24,293.23 $-798.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $358.32 67 $24,007.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $347.11 67 $23,256.37 $23,542.16 $-751.07
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.07 68 $23,260.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 68 $21,847.72 $22,129.12 $-1,413.04
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $318.94 69 $22,006.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $327.80 69 $22,618.54 $22,740.80 +$611.68
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $325.48 69 $22,458.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET $332.23 69 $22,923.87 $23,206.21 +$465.41
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $335.24 69 $23,131.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $342.13 69 $23,607.14 $23,681.79 +$475.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $334.36 70 $23,405.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $341.50 70 $23,905.00 $24,181.59 +$499.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $374.48 64 $23,966.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $383.88 64 $24,568.00 $24,783.19 +$601.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:30am ET $360.45 68 $24,510.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:30am ET $352.19 68 $23,948.92 $24,221.69 $-561.50
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:50am ET $342.74 70 $23,992.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $350.20 70 $24,514.00 $24,743.54 +$521.85
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $343.60 72 $24,738.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 72 $25,040.15 $25,044.85 +$301.31
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $343.60 72 $24,738.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $346.58 72 $24,953.76 $25,259.77 +$214.92
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
9d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $339.55 74 $25,126.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $346.96 74 $25,675.04 $25,808.11 +$548.34
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $338.37 76 $25,716.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 76 $25,520.04 $25,612.03 $-196.08
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.8d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $329.04 77 $25,336.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $340.54 77 $26,221.58 $26,497.53 +$885.50
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $346.24 76 $26,314.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $356.73 76 $27,111.48 $27,294.77 +$797.24
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET $354.48 76 $26,940.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $361.72 76 $27,490.72 $27,845.01 +$550.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,845.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,845.01
Total Return: +178.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire