Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-12.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,950
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,178.18
Current Value
$8,167.06
Period P&L
$-4,011.11
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
22 / 38
Best Trade
+5.50%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,250,046.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,011.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,011.11
Gross Return
-32.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-32.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,178.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $344.94 35 $12,072.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $343.17 35 $12,010.95 $12,132.32 $-61.85
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:20am ET $345.33 35 $12,086.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $356.29 35 $12,469.98 $12,515.75 +$383.43
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $346.78 36 $12,483.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $354.79 36 $12,772.44 $12,804.29 +$288.54
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
36m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $372.85 34 $12,676.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $377.73 34 $12,842.82 $12,970.21 +$165.92
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $378.74 34 $12,877.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $375.43 34 $12,764.45 $12,857.50 $-112.71
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:55am ET $384.99 33 $12,704.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET $383.56 33 $12,657.48 $12,810.31 $-47.19
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET $378.95 33 $12,505.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET $374.32 33 $12,352.56 $12,657.52 $-152.79
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $385.03 32 $12,320.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $383.88 32 $12,284.00 $12,620.56 $-36.96
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET $384.77 32 $12,312.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $389.74 32 $12,471.84 $12,779.76 +$159.20
(+1.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:10am ET $382.95 33 $12,637.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $381.00 33 $12,573.00 $12,715.41 $-64.35
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET $388.87 32 $12,443.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $376.00 32 $12,032.00 $12,303.57 $-411.84
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET $378.85 32 $12,123.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $362.99 32 $11,615.68 $11,796.21 $-507.36
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET $365.19 32 $11,686.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $353.65 32 $11,316.72 $11,426.85 $-369.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET $345.92 33 $11,415.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $353.84 33 $11,676.72 $11,688.21 +$261.36
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $357.79 32 $11,449.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $346.21 32 $11,078.72 $11,317.65 $-370.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:50am ET $341.73 33 $11,277.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $338.24 33 $11,161.92 $11,202.48 $-115.17
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET $329.42 34 $11,200.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET $325.97 34 $11,083.01 $11,085.21 $-117.27
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $331.57 33 $10,941.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $321.60 33 $10,612.64 $10,756.20 $-329.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $324.73 33 $10,716.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $332.00 33 $10,956.00 $10,996.11 +$239.91
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET $320.51 34 $10,897.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $319.52 34 $10,863.68 $10,962.45 $-33.66
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:55am ET $336.05 32 $10,753.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $333.13 32 $10,660.00 $10,868.84 $-93.61
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET $341.13 31 $10,575.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $348.52 31 $10,804.12 $11,097.93 +$229.09
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $345.61 32 $11,059.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $352.54 32 $11,281.28 $11,319.69 +$221.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $341.65 33 $11,274.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:30am ET $333.85 33 $11,017.05 $11,062.29 $-257.40
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $329.80 33 $10,883.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $319.85 33 $10,555.05 $10,734.10 $-328.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $327.77 32 $10,488.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $317.93 32 $10,173.63 $10,419.25 $-314.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $313.78 33 $10,354.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $322.02 33 $10,626.66 $10,691.17 +$271.92
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
28 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $324.93 32 $10,397.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $313.74 32 $10,039.68 $10,333.09 $-358.08
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
29 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $310.47 33 $10,245.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:20am ET $301.06 33 $9,934.98 $10,022.56 $-310.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
30 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:20am ET $304.09 32 $9,730.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $291.12 32 $9,315.84 $9,607.52 $-415.04
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
31 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:05am ET $300.42 31 $9,312.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $306.78 31 $9,510.18 $9,804.83 +$197.31
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
32 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:05am ET $310.11 31 $9,613.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:05am ET $310.04 31 $9,611.24 $9,802.66 $-2.17
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
33 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $317.77 30 $9,533.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:10am ET $308.72 30 $9,261.60 $9,531.16 $-271.50
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $310.21 30 $9,306.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $307.59 30 $9,227.70 $9,452.41 $-78.75
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:55am ET $319.18 29 $9,256.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $326.27 29 $9,461.83 $9,658.02 +$205.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $327.81 29 $9,506.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $334.50 29 $9,700.50 $9,852.03 +$194.01
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:45am ET $336.94 29 $9,771.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $326.57 29 $9,470.53 $9,551.23 $-300.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $332.98 28 $9,323.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $324.46 28 $9,084.88 $9,312.81 $-238.42
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $340.14 27 $9,183.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $348.14 27 $9,399.78 $9,528.68 +$215.87
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $349.78 27 $9,444.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:10am ET $356.96 27 $9,637.92 $9,722.54 +$193.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $340.14 27 $9,183.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $358.85 27 $9,688.95 $10,227.58 +$505.04
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.7d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $349.44 29 $10,133.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $337.23 29 $9,779.53 $9,873.35 $-354.23
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $340.23 29 $9,866.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $337.24 29 $9,779.96 $9,786.64 $-86.71
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $342.97 28 $9,603.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $351.77 28 $9,849.70 $10,033.18 +$246.54
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET $334.10 30 $10,022.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $323.35 30 $9,700.50 $9,710.83 $-322.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $330.83 29 $9,594.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $341.08 29 $9,891.18 $10,007.79 +$296.96
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:25am ET $346.77 28 $9,709.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $334.02 28 $9,352.48 $9,650.57 $-357.22
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $331.26 29 $9,606.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $339.80 29 $9,854.11 $9,898.14 +$247.57
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET $340.59 29 $9,877.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:55am ET $347.45 29 $10,076.05 $10,097.08 +$198.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $351.14 28 $9,832.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $349.08 28 $9,774.24 $10,039.26 $-57.82
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $357.07 28 $9,997.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET $344.76 28 $9,653.28 $9,694.58 $-344.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:15am ET $345.59 28 $9,676.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $333.88 28 $9,348.50 $9,366.70 $-327.88
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $340.46 27 $9,192.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $347.74 27 $9,388.98 $9,563.26 +$196.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET $335.36 28 $9,390.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $336.17 28 $9,412.90 $9,585.94 +$22.68
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:55am ET $336.46 28 $9,420.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET $329.01 28 $9,212.28 $9,377.34 $-208.60
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:55am ET $336.46 28 $9,420.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $319.06 28 $8,933.73 $8,890.18 $-487.16
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $320.47 27 $8,652.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $310.02 27 $8,370.54 $8,608.03 $-282.15
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $307.93 27 $8,314.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $310.62 27 $8,386.74 $8,680.52 +$72.49
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $306.48 28 $8,581.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $296.91 28 $8,313.48 $8,412.56 $-267.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $300.63 27 $8,117.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET $291.54 27 $7,871.58 $8,167.06 $-245.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,167.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,832.94
Total Return: -18.33%
Back to Rebel Contraire