HOOD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 44 trades in period
-25.91%
Year to Date Return
$9,657.69
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$13,034.54
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.0
30-Day Momentum
40
+6.7%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.0
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,378
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,034.54
Current Value
$9,657.69
Period P&L
$-3,376.73
Max Drawdown
-32.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
20 /
24
Best Trade
+6.37%
Worst Trade
-6.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$917,991.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,376.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,376.73
Gross Return
-25.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.91%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,034.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $112.76 | 115 | $12,967.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $115.34 | 115 | $13,264.10 | $13,331.48 |
+$297.05 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $121.89 | 109 | $13,286.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $118.17 | 109 | $12,880.53 | $12,926.00 |
$-405.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $115.97 | 111 | $12,872.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $118.56 | 111 | $13,160.16 | $13,213.49 |
+$287.49 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $118.27 | 111 | $13,127.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $114.61 | 111 | $12,721.16 | $12,806.67 |
$-406.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $109.19 | 117 | $12,774.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.79 | 117 | $12,377.44 | $12,409.42 |
$-397.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $106.84 | 116 | $12,392.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $109.08 | 116 | $12,652.70 | $12,669.26 |
+$259.84 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $107.80 | 117 | $12,612.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.28 | 117 | $12,200.18 | $12,256.84 |
$-412.42 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $101.89 | 120 | $12,226.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:20pm ET | $98.80 | 120 | $11,855.40 | $11,885.44 |
$-371.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $88.07 | 134 | $11,802.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $85.40 | 134 | $11,443.60 | $11,526.99 |
$-358.45 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $76.72 | 150 | $11,508.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $74.12 | 150 | $11,118.05 | $11,136.28 |
$-390.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $82.61 | 134 | $11,070.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.53 | 134 | $11,327.02 | $11,392.90 |
+$256.61 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $87.18 | 130 | $11,333.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $86.16 | 130 | $11,200.80 | $11,260.04 |
$-132.86 (-1.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $75.17 | 149 | $11,200.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $76.72 | 149 | $11,432.02 | $11,491.74 |
+$231.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $74.57 | 154 | $11,483.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $76.27 | 154 | $11,745.58 | $11,753.54 |
+$261.80 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $76.81 | 153 | $11,751.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.39 | 153 | $11,381.67 | $11,383.28 |
$-370.26 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $77.25 | 147 | $11,355.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.82 | 147 | $10,999.27 | $11,026.80 |
$-356.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $71.68 | 153 | $10,967.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $73.12 | 153 | $11,187.36 | $11,247.12 |
+$220.32 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $77.83 | 144 | $11,207.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $79.42 | 144 | $11,436.49 | $11,476.09 |
+$228.97 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $78.87 | 145 | $11,436.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.19 | 145 | $10,757.55 | $10,797.49 |
$-678.60 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $82.38 | 131 | $10,792.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $79.86 | 131 | $10,461.66 | $10,466.83 |
$-330.66 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $78.26 | 133 | $10,408.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.87 | 133 | $10,090.71 | $10,148.96 |
$-317.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $78.41 | 129 | $10,114.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $80.08 | 129 | $10,330.96 | $10,365.03 |
+$216.07 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $77.99 | 132 | $10,294.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $75.36 | 132 | $9,946.86 | $10,017.87 |
$-347.16 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $73.95 | 135 | $9,983.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $75.48 | 135 | $10,189.80 | $10,224.42 |
+$206.55 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $77.12 | 132 | $10,179.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.28 | 132 | $9,540.96 | $9,585.54 |
$-638.88 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.75 | 131 | $9,530.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $70.36 | 131 | $9,217.42 | $9,272.06 |
$-313.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $72.97 | 127 | $9,267.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $70.77 | 127 | $8,987.79 | $8,992.66 |
$-279.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $73.64 | 122 | $8,984.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.11 | 122 | $8,675.42 | $8,684.00 |
$-308.66 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.67 | 128 | $8,661.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $65.58 | 128 | $8,394.88 | $8,417.76 |
$-266.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET | $68.00 | 123 | $8,364.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.20 | 123 | $8,757.60 | $8,811.36 |
+$393.60 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $65.86 | 133 | $8,759.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $67.68 | 133 | $9,000.78 | $9,052.76 |
+$241.40 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $69.92 | 129 | $9,019.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $67.79 | 129 | $8,744.90 | $8,777.98 |
$-274.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $75.46 | 116 | $8,753.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $73.04 | 116 | $8,473.22 | $8,497.84 |
$-280.14 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $70.57 | 120 | $8,468.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $72.02 | 120 | $8,642.40 | $8,671.84 |
+$174.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $68.79 | 126 | $8,667.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $70.32 | 126 | $8,860.02 | $8,864.32 |
+$192.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $78.37 | 113 | $8,855.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.36 | 113 | $9,419.79 | $9,428.22 |
+$563.90 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $85.03 | 110 | $9,352.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $86.86 | 110 | $9,554.59 | $9,630.06 |
+$201.84 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $92.03 | 104 | $9,570.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $89.20 | 104 | $9,276.80 | $9,335.90 |
$-294.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $87.29 | 106 | $9,252.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.34 | 106 | $9,470.04 | $9,553.20 |
+$217.30 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.20 | 109 | $9,504.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $84.43 | 109 | $9,202.87 | $9,251.27 |
$-301.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $84.56 | 109 | $9,217.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.47 | 109 | $8,880.23 | $8,914.46 |
$-336.81 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.15 | 123 | $8,874.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $73.61 | 123 | $9,054.03 | $9,094.32 |
+$179.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $74.64 | 121 | $9,031.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.33 | 121 | $9,356.93 | $9,419.79 |
+$325.47 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $77.03 | 122 | $9,397.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $78.98 | 122 | $9,635.56 | $9,657.69 |
+$237.90 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,657.69
Net Profit/Loss:
$-342.31
Total Return:
-3.42%