Compendium › Rebel Contraire › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

-16.40%
Year to Date Return
$10,293.70
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$12,312.34
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.9/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 17.2

30-Day Momentum

4
-10.2%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,264
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,312.34
Current Value
$10,293.70
Period P&L
$-2,018.68
Max Drawdown
-39.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.65%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$603,705.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,018.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,018.68
Gross Return
-16.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,312.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $571.87 21 $12,009.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $561.03 21 $11,781.63 $12,147.52 $-227.64
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:15am ET $586.76 20 $11,735.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $599.07 20 $11,981.30 $12,393.62 +$246.10
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $588.83 21 $12,365.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET $571.10 21 $11,993.10 $12,021.29 $-372.33
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $557.13 21 $11,699.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $539.64 21 $11,332.44 $11,654.10 $-367.19
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $543.45 21 $11,412.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:50am ET $528.42 21 $11,096.78 $11,338.54 $-315.57
(-2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET $523.63 21 $10,996.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $539.21 21 $11,323.41 $11,665.72 +$327.18
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $529.65 22 $11,652.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $512.76 22 $11,280.61 $11,294.03 $-371.69
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET $503.44 22 $11,075.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET $488.08 22 $10,737.76 $10,956.11 $-337.92
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:10am ET $475.79 23 $10,943.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $485.65 23 $11,170.06 $11,183.00 +$226.89
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $486.30 22 $10,698.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $497.84 22 $10,952.48 $11,436.77 +$253.77
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $489.14 23 $11,250.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $499.70 23 $11,493.21 $11,679.76 +$242.99
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:15am ET $500.84 23 $11,519.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:15am ET $494.15 23 $11,365.45 $11,525.83 $-153.93
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $502.60 22 $11,057.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $497.61 22 $10,947.42 $11,416.05 $-109.78
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $489.77 23 $11,264.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET $501.05 23 $11,524.15 $11,675.37 +$259.32
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $493.23 23 $11,344.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:25am ET $490.53 23 $11,282.19 $11,613.16 $-62.21
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET $483.77 24 $11,610.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET $460.16 24 $11,043.84 $11,046.64 $-566.52
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $481.44 22 $10,591.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $492.53 22 $10,835.66 $11,290.62 +$243.98
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $477.03 23 $10,971.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 23 $11,227.33 $11,546.26 +$255.64
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $473.75 24 $11,370.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $459.52 24 $11,028.60 $11,204.86 $-341.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET $454.74 24 $10,913.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $465.48 24 $11,171.45 $11,462.55 +$257.69
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $455.33 25 $11,383.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $451.01 25 $11,275.13 $11,354.43 $-108.12
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $465.77 24 $11,178.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $451.21 24 $10,829.16 $11,005.23 $-349.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $452.21 24 $10,853.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $467.54 24 $11,220.84 $11,372.91 +$367.68
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $470.63 24 $11,295.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $456.14 24 $10,947.48 $11,025.27 $-347.64
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET $470.36 23 $10,818.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $456.21 23 $10,492.83 $10,699.71 $-325.56
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $485.32 22 $10,677.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $473.82 22 $10,424.04 $10,446.71 $-253.00
(-2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $463.93 22 $10,206.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $456.98 22 $10,053.56 $10,293.70 $-153.01
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,293.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$293.70
Total Return: +2.94%
Back to Rebel Contraire