Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 39.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.8

30-Day Momentum

53
+10.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.8 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,491
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,415.44
Current Value
$13,995.45
Period P&L
$580.04
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
13 / 10
Best Trade
+4.04%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$600,446.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$580.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$580.04
Gross Return
+4.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,415.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $249.14 54 $13,453.56
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $250.14 54 $13,507.56 $13,610.90 +$54.00
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $252.01 54 $13,608.54
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET $257.35 54 $13,896.90 $13,899.26 +$288.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $259.66 53 $13,761.98
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET $260.72 53 $13,818.16 $13,955.44 +$56.18
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $266.39 52 $13,852.50
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $262.06 52 $13,627.12 $13,730.06 $-225.38
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $267.34 51 $13,634.09
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $264.21 51 $13,474.46 $13,570.43 $-159.63
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $264.47 51 $13,487.97
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $260.05 51 $13,262.55 $13,345.01 $-225.42
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET $263.72 50 $13,186.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $255.77 50 $12,788.62 $12,947.62 $-397.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $267.32 48 $12,831.12
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $268.15 48 $12,871.20 $12,987.70 +$40.08
(+0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $260.19 49 $12,749.31
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $265.73 49 $13,021.01 $13,259.40 +$271.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $263.05 50 $13,152.50
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $262.11 50 $13,105.50 $13,212.40 $-47.00
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $264.58 49 $12,964.42
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $262.88 49 $12,881.12 $13,129.10 $-83.30
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $259.47 50 $12,973.50
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 50 $12,560.50 $12,716.10 $-413.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $246.32 51 $12,562.32
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $252.75 51 $12,890.25 $13,044.03 +$327.93
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $253.32 51 $12,919.32
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $245.68 51 $12,529.68 $12,654.39 $-389.64
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $248.94 50 $12,447.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $241.40 50 $12,070.01 $12,277.39 $-377.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $249.36 49 $12,218.64
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $245.09 49 $12,009.41 $12,068.16 $-209.23
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $244.24 49 $11,967.76
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $250.04 49 $12,251.96 $12,352.36 +$284.20
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $245.32 50 $12,266.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $250.96 50 $12,547.75 $12,634.11 +$281.75
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $251.78 50 $12,589.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.95 50 $13,097.50 $13,142.61 +$508.50
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $259.74 50 $12,987.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $265.02 50 $13,250.85 $13,406.46 +$263.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $268.51 49 $13,156.99
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $274.48 49 $13,449.52 $13,698.99 +$292.53
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $274.71 49 $13,460.84
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $277.20 49 $13,582.80 $13,820.95 +$121.96
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $275.47 50 $13,773.50
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $278.96 50 $13,948.00 $13,995.45 +$174.50
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,995.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,995.45
Total Return: +39.95%
Back to Rebel Contraire