JPM Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 55 trades in period
+7.48%
Year to Date Return
$14,686.23
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$13,664.22
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
36.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 36.1
30-Day Momentum
6
-0.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,086
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,664.22
Current Value
$14,686.23
Period P&L
$1,022.01
Max Drawdown
-21.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
32 /
23
Best Trade
+4.16%
Worst Trade
-3.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,527,009.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,022.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,022.01
Gross Return
+7.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,664.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $323.22 | 42 | $13,575.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.67 | 42 | $13,845.93 | $13,923.15 |
+$270.69 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $331.52 | 41 | $13,592.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.47 | 41 | $13,221.07 | $13,551.90 |
$-371.26 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $319.69 | 42 | $13,426.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $309.61 | 42 | $13,003.54 | $13,128.45 |
$-423.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $310.35 | 42 | $13,034.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $316.73 | 42 | $13,302.66 | $13,396.41 |
+$267.96 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $307.40 | 43 | $13,218.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $297.88 | 43 | $12,808.63 | $12,986.84 |
$-409.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $300.03 | 43 | $12,901.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $306.05 | 43 | $13,159.94 | $13,245.70 |
+$258.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $308.42 | 42 | $12,953.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $315.36 | 42 | $13,245.33 | $13,537.39 |
+$291.69 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $316.18 | 42 | $13,279.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $306.01 | 42 | $12,852.34 | $13,110.12 |
$-427.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $321.43 | 40 | $12,857.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $322.07 | 40 | $12,882.80 | $13,135.72 |
+$25.60 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $305.50 | 42 | $12,831.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:10pm ET | $311.75 | 42 | $13,093.50 | $13,398.22 |
+$262.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $307.12 | 43 | $13,206.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $297.30 | 43 | $12,783.69 | $12,975.75 |
$-422.47 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $298.45 | 43 | $12,833.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.96 | 43 | $13,242.28 | $13,384.89 |
+$409.14 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $297.73 | 44 | $13,099.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $297.89 | 44 | $13,107.38 | $13,392.37 |
+$7.48 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $297.60 | 45 | $13,391.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.89 | 45 | $12,865.05 | $12,865.65 |
$-526.72 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $284.70 | 45 | $12,811.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $290.49 | 45 | $13,072.05 | $13,126.42 |
+$260.77 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $287.28 | 45 | $12,927.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $288.60 | 45 | $12,987.00 | $13,185.87 |
+$59.45 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $289.86 | 45 | $13,043.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.59 | 45 | $13,256.55 | $13,398.72 |
+$212.85 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $293.43 | 45 | $13,204.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $283.88 | 45 | $12,774.38 | $12,968.75 |
$-429.97 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $285.92 | 45 | $12,866.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $292.26 | 45 | $13,151.70 | $13,254.28 |
+$285.53 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $294.94 | 44 | $12,977.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $295.83 | 44 | $13,016.52 | $13,293.44 |
+$39.16 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $296.39 | 44 | $13,041.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.72 | 44 | $13,583.68 | $13,835.74 |
+$542.30 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $307.40 | 45 | $13,833.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $312.84 | 45 | $14,077.80 | $14,080.54 |
+$244.80 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $304.95 | 46 | $14,027.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.60 | 46 | $14,425.60 | $14,478.44 |
+$397.90 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $315.34 | 45 | $14,190.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.81 | 45 | $13,851.45 | $14,139.59 |
$-338.85 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $312.59 | 45 | $14,066.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.11 | 45 | $13,955.17 | $14,028.21 |
$-111.38 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $307.45 | 45 | $13,835.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $313.67 | 45 | $14,115.15 | $14,308.11 |
+$279.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $312.87 | 45 | $14,079.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $303.32 | 45 | $13,649.40 | $13,878.36 |
$-429.75 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $299.55 | 46 | $13,779.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 2:25pm ET | $305.81 | 46 | $14,067.26 | $14,166.09 |
+$287.73 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:25pm ET | $300.74 | 47 | $14,134.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $298.86 | 47 | $14,046.42 | $14,077.73 |
$-88.36 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $297.68 | 47 | $13,991.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $303.90 | 47 | $14,283.30 | $14,369.83 |
+$292.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $307.01 | 46 | $14,122.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $297.01 | 46 | $13,662.46 | $13,909.65 |
$-460.18 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $298.86 | 46 | $13,747.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $297.51 | 46 | $13,685.46 | $13,847.78 |
$-61.87 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $297.00 | 46 | $13,662.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.74 | 46 | $14,064.00 | $14,249.78 |
+$402.00 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $313.21 | 45 | $14,094.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $311.06 | 45 | $13,997.65 | $14,152.75 |
$-97.03 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $310.16 | 45 | $13,957.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $316.58 | 45 | $14,245.88 | $14,441.43 |
+$288.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $322.26 | 44 | $14,179.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $329.46 | 44 | $14,496.32 | $14,758.31 |
+$316.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $336.39 | 43 | $14,464.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $324.50 | 43 | $13,953.50 | $14,247.04 |
$-511.27 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $328.87 | 43 | $14,141.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.64 | 43 | $14,432.52 | $14,538.15 |
+$291.11 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.02 | 43 | $14,276.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $327.52 | 43 | $14,083.57 | $14,344.87 |
$-193.28 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $333.82 | 42 | $14,020.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $340.57 | 42 | $14,303.73 | $14,628.16 |
+$283.29 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $334.24 | 43 | $14,372.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $336.29 | 43 | $14,460.26 | $14,716.10 |
+$87.94 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $342.69 | 42 | $14,392.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.42 | 42 | $14,717.69 | $15,040.80 |
+$324.71 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $345.85 | 43 | $14,871.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $343.07 | 43 | $14,752.01 | $14,921.26 |
$-119.54 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $348.02 | 42 | $14,616.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $358.29 | 42 | $15,048.18 | $15,352.60 |
+$431.34 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $354.70 | 43 | $15,252.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $344.00 | 43 | $14,792.00 | $14,892.51 |
$-460.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:55am ET | $353.32 | 42 | $14,839.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $360.87 | 42 | $15,156.54 | $15,209.61 |
+$317.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $360.65 | 42 | $15,147.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $358.73 | 42 | $15,066.49 | $15,128.80 |
$-80.81 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $362.36 | 41 | $14,856.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.58 | 41 | $14,865.78 | $15,137.82 |
+$9.02 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $361.49 | 41 | $14,821.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET | $350.51 | 41 | $14,370.91 | $14,687.64 |
$-450.18 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:00pm ET | $355.98 | 41 | $14,595.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.52 | 41 | $14,576.52 | $14,668.98 |
$-18.66 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:00pm ET | $355.98 | 41 | $14,595.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $361.26 | 41 | $14,811.66 | $14,885.46 |
+$216.48 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
9.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $357.75 | 41 | $14,667.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $354.89 | 41 | $14,550.49 | $14,768.20 |
$-117.26 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $352.57 | 41 | $14,455.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $359.64 | 41 | $14,745.24 | $15,058.07 |
+$289.87 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $351.95 | 42 | $14,781.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.99 | 42 | $14,867.58 | $15,143.75 |
+$85.68 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $349.89 | 43 | $15,045.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $339.25 | 43 | $14,587.75 | $14,686.23 |
$-457.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,686.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,686.23
Total Return:
+46.86%