Compendium › Rebel Contraire › JPM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JPM
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+4.71%
Year to Date Return
$14,308.11
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$13,664.22
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.0/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 36.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.9

30-Day Momentum

44
+7.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.3 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,550
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,664.22
Current Value
$14,308.11
Period P&L
$643.89
Max Drawdown
-21.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
17 / 9
Best Trade
+4.16%
Worst Trade
-3.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$690,706.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$643.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$643.89
Gross Return
+4.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,664.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $323.22 42 $13,575.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $329.67 42 $13,845.93 $13,923.15 +$270.69
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET $331.52 41 $13,592.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $322.47 41 $13,221.07 $13,551.90 $-371.26
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $319.69 42 $13,426.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $309.61 42 $13,003.54 $13,128.45 $-423.44
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:15am ET $310.35 42 $13,034.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $316.73 42 $13,302.66 $13,396.41 +$267.96
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $307.40 43 $13,218.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:50am ET $297.88 43 $12,808.63 $12,986.84 $-409.57
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $300.03 43 $12,901.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $306.05 43 $13,159.94 $13,245.70 +$258.86
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $308.42 42 $12,953.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $315.36 42 $13,245.33 $13,537.39 +$291.69
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $316.18 42 $13,279.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $306.01 42 $12,852.34 $13,110.12 $-427.27
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $321.43 40 $12,857.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $322.07 40 $12,882.80 $13,135.72 +$25.60
(+0.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $305.50 42 $12,831.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $311.75 42 $13,093.50 $13,398.22 +$262.50
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $307.12 43 $13,206.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $297.30 43 $12,783.69 $12,975.75 $-422.47
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $298.45 43 $12,833.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $307.96 43 $13,242.28 $13,384.89 +$409.14
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $297.73 44 $13,099.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $297.89 44 $13,107.38 $13,392.37 +$7.48
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET $297.60 45 $13,391.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $285.89 45 $12,865.05 $12,865.65 $-526.72
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $284.70 45 $12,811.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $290.49 45 $13,072.05 $13,126.42 +$260.77
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET $287.28 45 $12,927.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET $288.60 45 $12,987.00 $13,185.87 +$59.45
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $289.86 45 $13,043.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $294.59 45 $13,256.55 $13,398.72 +$212.85
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:15am ET $293.43 45 $13,204.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $283.88 45 $12,774.38 $12,968.75 $-429.97
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $285.92 45 $12,866.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $292.26 45 $13,151.70 $13,254.28 +$285.53
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $294.94 44 $12,977.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $295.83 44 $13,016.52 $13,293.44 +$39.16
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $296.39 44 $13,041.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $308.72 44 $13,583.68 $13,835.74 +$542.30
(+4.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $307.40 45 $13,833.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $312.84 45 $14,077.80 $14,080.54 +$244.80
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $304.95 46 $14,027.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $313.60 46 $14,425.60 $14,478.44 +$397.90
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET $315.34 45 $14,190.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.81 45 $13,851.45 $14,139.59 $-338.85
(-2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $312.59 45 $14,066.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $310.11 45 $13,955.17 $14,028.21 $-111.38
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
26 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $307.45 45 $13,835.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $313.67 45 $14,115.15 $14,308.11 +$279.90
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,308.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,308.11
Total Return: +43.08%
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