Compendium › Rebel Contraire › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 25 trades in period

-13.88%
Year to Date Return
$9,100.54
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$10,566.89
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 7.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 7.4

30-Day Momentum

4
-12.9%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,049
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,566.89
Current Value
$9,100.54
Period P&L
$-1,466.33
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
8 / 17
Best Trade
+2.57%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
-0.57%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$506,833.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,466.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,466.33
Gross Return
-13.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,566.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET $96.37 109 $10,503.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $95.57 109 $10,417.13 $10,463.32 $-86.66
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET $99.76 104 $10,375.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $97.05 104 $10,093.20 $10,181.48 $-281.84
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $96.68 105 $10,150.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $98.73 105 $10,366.65 $10,397.26 +$215.78
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $98.01 106 $10,389.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $100.53 106 $10,656.18 $10,664.38 +$267.12
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $101.85 104 $10,592.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $101.19 104 $10,523.76 $10,595.74 $-68.64
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $100.99 104 $10,502.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $103.25 104 $10,737.88 $10,830.65 +$234.92
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET $104.36 103 $10,748.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $101.21 103 $10,424.63 $10,506.72 $-323.94
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $104.07 100 $10,407.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $102.57 100 $10,256.50 $10,356.22 $-150.50
(-1.4%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $96.07 107 $10,279.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $98.26 107 $10,513.82 $10,590.55 +$234.33
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $96.74 109 $10,544.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $98.68 109 $10,756.12 $10,801.99 +$211.44
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $96.86 111 $10,750.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $96.85 111 $10,750.35 $10,801.43 $-0.56
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $97.25 111 $10,794.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET $94.33 111 $10,470.63 $10,477.31 $-324.12
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $91.06 115 $10,471.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET $88.12 115 $10,133.80 $10,139.21 $-338.10
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $89.20 113 $10,079.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET $88.89 113 $10,044.57 $10,104.18 $-35.03
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $87.38 115 $10,048.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET $87.07 115 $10,013.62 $10,069.68 $-34.50
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:55am ET $87.01 115 $10,006.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET $89.04 115 $10,239.60 $10,303.13 +$233.45
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:20am ET $87.04 118 $10,270.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET $86.53 118 $10,210.54 $10,242.95 $-60.18
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:30am ET $86.49 118 $10,205.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:30am ET $86.27 118 $10,179.86 $10,216.99 $-25.96
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $87.92 116 $10,198.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $86.79 116 $10,068.22 $10,087.07 $-129.92
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $88.47 114 $10,085.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $85.80 114 $9,781.20 $9,782.69 $-304.38
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $86.07 113 $9,725.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $83.37 113 $9,420.81 $9,478.16 $-304.53
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $83.12 114 $9,475.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $83.32 114 $9,497.91 $9,500.39 +$22.23
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.81 116 $9,489.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $79.31 116 $9,199.38 $9,209.81 $-290.58
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $80.81 113 $9,131.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $78.24 113 $8,840.56 $8,918.84 $-290.97
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
25 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $77.51 115 $8,913.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:15am ET $79.09 115 $9,095.35 $9,100.54 +$181.70
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,100.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-899.46
Total Return: -8.99%
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