MDT Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 56 trades in period
-5.43%
Year to Date Return
$9,992.60
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,566.89
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
14.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.7
30-Day Momentum
6
-0.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,585
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,566.89
Current Value
$9,992.60
Period P&L
$-574.28
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
26 /
30
Best Trade
+4.44%
Worst Trade
-3.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,081,523.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-574.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-574.28
Gross Return
-5.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,566.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $96.37 | 109 | $10,503.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.57 | 109 | $10,417.13 | $10,463.32 |
$-86.66 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $99.76 | 104 | $10,375.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.05 | 104 | $10,093.20 | $10,181.48 |
$-281.84 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $96.68 | 105 | $10,150.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.73 | 105 | $10,366.65 | $10,397.26 |
+$215.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $98.01 | 106 | $10,389.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.53 | 106 | $10,656.18 | $10,664.38 |
+$267.12 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:35pm ET | $101.85 | 104 | $10,592.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $101.19 | 104 | $10,523.76 | $10,595.74 |
$-68.64 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $100.99 | 104 | $10,502.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $103.25 | 104 | $10,737.88 | $10,830.65 |
+$234.92 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $104.36 | 103 | $10,748.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $101.21 | 103 | $10,424.63 | $10,506.72 |
$-323.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $104.07 | 100 | $10,407.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $102.57 | 100 | $10,256.50 | $10,356.22 |
$-150.50 (-1.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $96.07 | 107 | $10,279.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $98.26 | 107 | $10,513.82 | $10,590.55 |
+$234.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $96.74 | 109 | $10,544.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $98.68 | 109 | $10,756.12 | $10,801.99 |
+$211.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $96.86 | 111 | $10,750.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.85 | 111 | $10,750.35 | $10,801.43 |
$-0.56 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $97.25 | 111 | $10,794.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $94.33 | 111 | $10,470.63 | $10,477.31 |
$-324.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $91.06 | 115 | $10,471.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $88.12 | 115 | $10,133.80 | $10,139.21 |
$-338.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $89.20 | 113 | $10,079.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $88.89 | 113 | $10,044.57 | $10,104.18 |
$-35.03 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $87.38 | 115 | $10,048.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $87.07 | 115 | $10,013.62 | $10,069.68 |
$-34.50 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $87.01 | 115 | $10,006.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $89.04 | 115 | $10,239.60 | $10,303.13 |
+$233.45 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $87.04 | 118 | $10,270.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $86.53 | 118 | $10,210.54 | $10,242.95 |
$-60.18 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $86.49 | 118 | $10,205.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $86.27 | 118 | $10,179.86 | $10,216.99 |
$-25.96 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $87.92 | 116 | $10,198.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $86.79 | 116 | $10,068.22 | $10,087.07 |
$-129.92 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $88.47 | 114 | $10,085.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $85.80 | 114 | $9,781.20 | $9,782.69 |
$-304.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $86.07 | 113 | $9,725.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $83.37 | 113 | $9,420.81 | $9,478.16 |
$-304.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $83.12 | 114 | $9,475.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $83.32 | 114 | $9,497.91 | $9,500.39 |
+$22.23 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $81.81 | 116 | $9,489.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $79.31 | 116 | $9,199.38 | $9,209.81 |
$-290.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $80.81 | 113 | $9,131.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.24 | 113 | $8,840.56 | $8,918.84 |
$-290.97 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.51 | 115 | $8,913.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $79.09 | 115 | $9,095.35 | $9,100.54 |
+$181.70 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 12:55pm ET | $76.86 | 118 | $9,070.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $74.46 | 118 | $8,786.28 | $8,816.75 |
$-283.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $76.78 | 114 | $8,752.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.47 | 114 | $8,717.14 | $8,780.97 |
$-35.78 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $78.65 | 111 | $8,730.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.37 | 111 | $8,699.07 | $8,749.89 |
$-31.08 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $77.60 | 112 | $8,691.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $75.04 | 112 | $8,404.48 | $8,463.17 |
$-286.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $74.21 | 114 | $8,460.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.51 | 114 | $8,836.14 | $8,838.80 |
+$375.63 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $81.48 | 108 | $8,799.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $81.77 | 108 | $8,831.16 | $8,870.12 |
+$31.32 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $80.95 | 109 | $8,823.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $80.51 | 109 | $8,775.59 | $8,822.16 |
$-47.96 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $81.29 | 108 | $8,779.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $78.17 | 108 | $8,442.36 | $8,485.20 |
$-336.96 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $79.04 | 107 | $8,457.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $80.39 | 107 | $8,601.20 | $8,629.13 |
+$143.93 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $80.65 | 106 | $8,548.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $82.32 | 106 | $8,725.92 | $8,806.14 |
+$177.01 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:00pm ET | $81.25 | 108 | $8,775.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $78.75 | 108 | $8,504.46 | $8,535.60 |
$-270.54 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $79.00 | 108 | $8,532.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $80.80 | 108 | $8,726.40 | $8,730.00 |
+$194.40 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $81.80 | 106 | $8,670.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $83.55 | 106 | $8,856.30 | $8,915.50 |
+$185.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $84.06 | 106 | $8,910.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.48 | 106 | $8,636.88 | $8,642.02 |
$-273.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $82.82 | 104 | $8,613.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $84.50 | 104 | $8,787.48 | $8,815.70 |
+$173.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $80.05 | 110 | $8,805.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $81.74 | 110 | $8,991.68 | $9,001.88 |
+$186.17 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $83.58 | 107 | $8,943.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $82.58 | 107 | $8,836.59 | $8,895.41 |
$-106.47 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $82.07 | 108 | $8,863.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.86 | 108 | $9,056.34 | $9,088.73 |
+$193.32 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $82.82 | 104 | $8,613.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.22 | 104 | $8,966.88 | $9,441.81 |
+$353.08 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $84.01 | 112 | $9,409.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 2:15pm ET | $85.69 | 112 | $9,597.84 | $9,630.53 |
+$188.72 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $85.16 | 113 | $9,623.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.99 | 113 | $9,829.87 | $9,837.32 |
+$206.79 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $86.27 | 114 | $9,834.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $88.11 | 114 | $10,044.54 | $10,047.08 |
+$209.76 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $90.18 | 111 | $10,009.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.67 | 111 | $10,063.82 | $10,101.47 |
+$54.39 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $92.54 | 109 | $10,087.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $94.48 | 109 | $10,298.32 | $10,312.39 |
+$210.92 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $93.06 | 110 | $10,236.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $91.64 | 110 | $10,080.40 | $10,156.19 |
$-156.20 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $91.29 | 111 | $10,133.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.85 | 111 | $10,417.11 | $10,440.11 |
+$283.92 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $91.29 | 111 | $10,133.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $92.20 | 111 | $10,234.20 | $10,541.12 |
+$101.01 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $94.20 | 111 | $10,456.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $92.43 | 111 | $10,259.18 | $10,344.10 |
$-197.02 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $91.32 | 113 | $10,318.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $93.73 | 113 | $10,591.49 | $10,617.00 |
+$272.90 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $94.47 | 112 | $10,580.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.65 | 112 | $10,264.80 | $10,301.16 |
$-315.84 (-3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $91.39 | 112 | $10,235.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $88.64 | 112 | $9,927.12 | $9,992.60 |
$-308.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,992.60
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7.40
Total Return:
-0.07%