Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:32:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,927
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,041.79
Current Value
$10,933.72
Period P&L
$891.95
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
35 / 25
Best Trade
+9.29%
Worst Trade
-4.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,168,569.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$891.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$891.95
Gross Return
+8.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,041.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 11:25am ET $106.79 95 $10,145.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $108.11 95 $10,269.98 $10,333.89 +$124.92
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET $108.62 95 $10,318.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:55am ET $111.38 95 $10,581.10 $10,596.09 +$262.20
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:20am ET $111.45 95 $10,587.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $107.70 95 $10,231.50 $10,239.84 $-356.25
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:05am ET $108.11 94 $10,161.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $110.34 94 $10,371.96 $10,449.93 +$210.09
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $111.15 94 $10,448.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $107.25 94 $10,081.50 $10,083.33 $-366.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $111.15 90 $10,003.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $107.64 90 $9,687.60 $9,767.43 $-315.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET $107.31 91 $9,765.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $109.60 91 $9,973.60 $9,975.82 +$208.39
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $109.89 90 $9,890.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:30am ET $112.14 90 $10,092.60 $10,178.32 +$202.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET $116.20 87 $10,109.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.82 87 $10,337.77 $10,406.69 +$228.38
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $121.33 85 $10,313.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $117.63 85 $9,998.55 $10,092.19 $-314.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $116.86 86 $10,049.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $116.97 86 $10,059.85 $10,102.08 +$9.89
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET $121.46 83 $10,081.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $122.10 83 $10,134.30 $10,155.20 +$53.12
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $123.58 82 $10,133.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $119.86 82 $9,828.52 $9,850.16 $-305.04
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET $122.74 80 $9,819.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $118.96 80 $9,516.80 $9,547.76 $-302.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:20am ET $119.52 79 $9,442.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $115.68 79 $9,139.11 $9,244.80 $-302.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:15am ET $114.32 80 $9,145.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $116.63 80 $9,330.40 $9,429.60 +$184.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $117.40 80 $9,392.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $115.83 80 $9,266.40 $9,303.60 $-126.00
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $116.13 80 $9,290.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $115.07 80 $9,205.20 $9,218.40 $-85.20
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $114.86 80 $9,188.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $117.46 80 $9,396.80 $9,426.40 +$208.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $118.98 79 $9,399.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $121.48 79 $9,596.92 $9,623.90 +$197.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $120.32 79 $9,505.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $120.49 79 $9,518.71 $9,636.94 +$13.04
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $117.14 82 $9,605.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $119.58 82 $9,805.97 $9,837.43 +$200.49
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $123.00 79 $9,717.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET $119.25 79 $9,420.75 $9,541.18 $-296.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET $120.18 79 $9,494.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $116.36 79 $9,192.83 $9,239.79 $-301.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET $116.99 78 $9,125.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:35am ET $113.30 78 $8,837.40 $8,951.97 $-287.82
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $112.65 79 $8,899.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $114.94 79 $9,080.26 $9,132.88 +$180.91
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $111.83 81 $9,058.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $108.22 81 $8,765.82 $8,840.47 $-292.41
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $110.61 79 $8,737.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $113.53 79 $8,968.87 $9,071.54 +$231.07
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
29 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $113.44 79 $8,961.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $112.88 79 $8,917.13 $9,026.90 $-44.64
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
30 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:10am ET $112.11 80 $8,968.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $111.42 80 $8,913.59 $8,971.69 $-55.21
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
31 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:55am ET $112.72 79 $8,904.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $115.40 79 $9,116.60 $9,183.41 +$211.72
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
32 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:00am ET $120.99 75 $9,074.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $116.52 75 $8,739.00 $8,848.16 $-335.25
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $115.68 76 $8,791.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.45 76 $9,002.20 $9,058.68 +$210.52
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $122.76 73 $8,961.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $119.05 73 $8,690.65 $8,787.85 $-270.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $119.55 73 $8,727.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $122.46 73 $8,939.22 $8,999.91 +$212.06
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $119.92 75 $8,994.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $115.21 75 $8,640.75 $8,646.66 $-353.25
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET $113.86 75 $8,539.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $113.80 75 $8,535.00 $8,642.16 $-4.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:35am ET $118.14 73 $8,624.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $121.37 73 $8,860.01 $8,877.94 +$235.78
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $123.62 71 $8,777.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $127.21 71 $9,031.56 $9,132.47 +$254.53
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $127.23 71 $9,033.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:25pm ET $129.85 71 $9,219.35 $9,318.50 +$186.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET $126.55 73 $9,238.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $128.13 73 $9,353.85 $9,434.20 +$115.70
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET $129.03 73 $9,419.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 11:30am ET $124.93 73 $9,120.25 $9,135.26 $-298.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $123.26 74 $9,121.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $123.86 74 $9,165.27 $9,179.29 +$44.03
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $128.35 71 $9,112.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET $131.23 71 $9,317.15 $9,383.59 +$204.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:25am ET $126.42 74 $9,355.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $129.34 74 $9,571.16 $9,599.67 +$216.08
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET $130.48 73 $9,524.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $133.55 73 $9,749.15 $9,824.15 +$224.47
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET $130.68 75 $9,801.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:00am ET $128.26 75 $9,619.50 $9,642.65 $-181.50
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:10am ET $128.11 75 $9,608.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $130.78 75 $9,808.50 $9,842.90 +$200.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:30am ET $128.49 76 $9,765.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $131.15 76 $9,967.78 $10,045.44 +$202.54
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:45pm ET $133.04 75 $9,978.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $135.76 75 $10,182.00 $10,249.44 +$204.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $135.72 75 $10,179.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $148.34 75 $11,125.13 $11,195.57 +$946.13
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $148.67 75 $11,150.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET $151.80 75 $11,385.00 $11,430.32 +$234.75
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET $153.30 74 $11,344.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $156.48 74 $11,579.52 $11,665.27 +$234.95
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $153.33 76 $11,653.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.27 76 $11,116.52 $11,128.71 $-536.56
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:00pm ET $147.78 75 $11,083.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $151.00 75 $11,325.00 $11,370.21 +$241.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET $151.12 75 $11,334.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $148.37 75 $11,127.75 $11,163.96 $-206.25
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $148.38 75 $11,128.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET $143.87 75 $10,790.25 $10,825.71 $-338.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:40am ET $144.34 75 $10,825.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET $147.26 75 $11,044.87 $11,045.46 +$219.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $146.04 75 $10,953.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET $149.10 75 $11,182.13 $11,274.59 +$229.13
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $152.89 73 $11,160.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET $148.22 73 $10,820.06 $10,933.72 $-340.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,933.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$933.72
Total Return: +9.34%
Back to Rebel Contraire