PEP Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 53 trades in period
+14.13%
Year to Date Return
$11,587.53
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,152.61
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
25.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 25.4
30-Day Momentum
9
-2.7%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,110
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
186 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,152.61
Current Value
$11,587.53
Period P&L
$1,434.92
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
32 /
21
Best Trade
+2.83%
Worst Trade
-4.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,135,089.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,434.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,434.92
Gross Return
+14.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 186 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,152.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $144.53 | 70 | $10,117.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.10 | 70 | $9,877.01 | $9,966.41 |
$-240.09 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $139.54 | 71 | $9,907.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.46 | 71 | $9,901.66 | $9,960.73 |
$-5.68 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $142.44 | 69 | $9,828.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $145.56 | 69 | $10,043.30 | $10,175.67 |
+$214.94 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $145.94 | 69 | $10,069.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $145.99 | 69 | $10,073.38 | $10,179.19 |
+$3.52 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $145.95 | 69 | $10,070.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $144.26 | 69 | $9,953.94 | $10,062.57 |
$-116.62 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $148.01 | 67 | $9,916.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET | $151.04 | 67 | $10,119.35 | $10,265.25 |
+$202.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $155.80 | 65 | $10,127.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $159.19 | 65 | $10,347.35 | $10,485.60 |
+$220.35 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $166.10 | 63 | $10,464.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $169.94 | 63 | $10,706.46 | $10,727.44 |
+$241.84 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $167.06 | 64 | $10,691.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $165.90 | 64 | $10,617.52 | $10,653.12 |
$-74.32 (-0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $163.64 | 65 | $10,636.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.60 | 65 | $10,699.00 | $10,715.52 |
+$62.40 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $167.82 | 63 | $10,572.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.45 | 63 | $10,612.19 | $10,754.73 |
+$39.21 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.57 | 64 | $10,660.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $161.26 | 64 | $10,320.32 | $10,414.25 |
$-340.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $158.73 | 65 | $10,317.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $162.05 | 65 | $10,533.25 | $10,630.37 |
+$216.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.29 | 66 | $10,578.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.88 | 66 | $10,618.08 | $10,669.64 |
+$39.27 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $157.46 | 67 | $10,549.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:45pm ET | $152.67 | 67 | $10,228.89 | $10,348.71 |
$-320.93 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $150.76 | 68 | $10,251.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $150.99 | 68 | $10,266.98 | $10,364.01 |
+$15.30 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $150.91 | 68 | $10,261.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $154.02 | 68 | $10,473.36 | $10,575.49 |
+$211.48 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $157.55 | 67 | $10,555.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.27 | 67 | $10,470.09 | $10,489.73 |
$-85.76 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $155.32 | 67 | $10,406.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.90 | 67 | $10,512.63 | $10,596.26 |
+$106.53 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $154.51 | 68 | $10,506.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $158.13 | 68 | $10,752.84 | $10,842.42 |
+$246.16 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $158.26 | 68 | $10,761.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $156.05 | 68 | $10,611.30 | $10,692.04 |
$-150.38 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $155.59 | 68 | $10,580.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $156.08 | 68 | $10,613.44 | $10,725.35 |
+$33.31 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $153.73 | 69 | $10,607.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $157.39 | 69 | $10,859.91 | $10,978.23 |
+$252.88 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $159.22 | 68 | $10,826.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $154.43 | 68 | $10,501.24 | $10,652.51 |
$-325.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $156.01 | 68 | $10,608.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.57 | 68 | $10,510.76 | $10,554.92 |
$-97.59 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $148.70 | 70 | $10,408.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $151.81 | 70 | $10,626.70 | $10,772.97 |
+$218.05 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $149.55 | 72 | $10,767.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:05pm ET | $148.73 | 72 | $10,708.56 | $10,713.93 |
$-59.04 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $150.76 | 71 | $10,703.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.72 | 71 | $10,630.12 | $10,640.44 |
$-73.49 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $147.83 | 71 | $10,495.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.61 | 71 | $10,125.31 | $10,269.82 |
$-370.62 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $141.83 | 72 | $10,211.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.89 | 72 | $10,432.08 | $10,490.14 |
+$220.32 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $143.29 | 73 | $10,460.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $143.84 | 73 | $10,500.32 | $10,530.29 |
+$40.15 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $144.90 | 72 | $10,432.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $146.55 | 72 | $10,551.96 | $10,649.45 |
+$119.16 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $143.78 | 74 | $10,639.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $141.80 | 74 | $10,493.20 | $10,502.93 |
$-146.52 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $141.07 | 74 | $10,438.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.49 | 74 | $10,396.26 | $10,460.38 |
$-42.55 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $138.37 | 75 | $10,377.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $141.16 | 75 | $10,587.37 | $10,670.01 |
+$209.62 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.04 | 74 | $10,584.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.71 | 74 | $10,856.17 | $10,941.22 |
+$271.21 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.71 | 76 | $10,922.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.89 | 76 | $10,403.64 | $10,422.52 |
$-518.70 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $137.24 | 75 | $10,293.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $140.10 | 75 | $10,507.87 | $10,637.21 |
+$214.69 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $137.76 | 77 | $10,607.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.54 | 77 | $10,821.58 | $10,851.27 |
+$214.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $135.97 | 79 | $10,741.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.70 | 79 | $10,878.30 | $10,987.94 |
+$136.67 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $137.24 | 75 | $10,293.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.12 | 75 | $10,584.00 | $11,278.75 |
+$290.81 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $139.18 | 81 | $11,273.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $138.77 | 81 | $11,240.37 | $11,245.14 |
$-33.61 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $137.79 | 81 | $11,161.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $137.10 | 81 | $11,105.23 | $11,188.97 |
$-56.17 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $138.32 | 80 | $11,065.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $141.12 | 80 | $11,289.20 | $11,412.57 |
+$223.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $138.10 | 82 | $11,323.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.99 | 82 | $11,561.18 | $11,649.96 |
+$237.39 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $141.87 | 82 | $11,633.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.08 | 82 | $11,896.56 | $11,913.18 |
+$263.22 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $141.87 | 82 | $11,633.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.50 | 82 | $11,685.00 | $11,964.84 |
+$51.66 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $139.81 | 85 | $11,883.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $140.85 | 85 | $11,972.25 | $12,053.24 |
+$88.40 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $139.81 | 85 | $11,883.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $139.90 | 85 | $11,891.92 | $12,061.32 |
+$8.08 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $138.27 | 87 | $12,029.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $136.35 | 87 | $11,862.88 | $11,894.71 |
$-166.61 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $137.21 | 86 | $11,800.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $135.35 | 86 | $11,640.10 | $11,734.75 |
$-159.96 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $135.07 | 86 | $11,616.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $130.57 | 86 | $11,229.45 | $11,348.18 |
$-386.57 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $128.34 | 88 | $11,293.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $131.06 | 88 | $11,533.28 | $11,587.53 |
+$239.35 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,587.53
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,587.53
Total Return:
+15.88%