PFE Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 51 trades in period
+8.27%
Year to Date Return
$8,714.55
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$8,048.67
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
9.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.8%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,746
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,048.67
Current Value
$8,714.55
Period P&L
$665.93
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
29 /
22
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-3.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$851,162.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$665.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$665.93
Gross Return
+8.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,048.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.96 | 323 | $8,060.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.33 | 323 | $8,179.98 | $8,185.93 |
+$119.51 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.71 | 318 | $8,174.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.33 | 318 | $8,054.94 | $8,066.68 |
$-119.25 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.14 | 320 | $8,043.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $25.64 | 320 | $8,204.80 | $8,228.28 |
+$161.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.81 | 318 | $8,207.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.48 | 318 | $8,101.05 | $8,121.75 |
$-106.53 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.81 | 314 | $8,104.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.82 | 314 | $8,106.54 | $8,123.91 |
+$2.17 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $26.46 | 307 | $8,121.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 307 | $8,141.64 | $8,143.87 |
+$19.96 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $25.67 | 317 | $8,137.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.33 | 317 | $8,348.19 | $8,354.70 |
+$210.84 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.93 | 310 | $8,349.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.27 | 310 | $8,455.25 | $8,460.10 |
+$105.40 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.74 | 305 | $8,459.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.86 | 305 | $8,193.82 | $8,194.75 |
$-265.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.38 | 310 | $8,178.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $26.97 | 310 | $8,359.15 | $8,375.26 |
+$180.51 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $27.23 | 307 | $8,358.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.57 | 307 | $8,463.99 | $8,481.17 |
+$105.91 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.65 | 318 | $8,474.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.88 | 318 | $8,547.81 | $8,554.28 |
+$73.11 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $27.11 | 315 | $8,539.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.73 | 315 | $8,419.95 | $8,434.58 |
$-119.70 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.65 | 318 | $8,474.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.05 | 318 | $8,601.90 | $8,561.78 |
+$127.20 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 322 | $8,539.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $27.08 | 322 | $8,721.37 | $8,743.71 |
+$181.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.38 | 319 | $8,734.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.51 | 319 | $8,777.28 | $8,786.55 |
+$42.84 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $28.18 | 311 | $8,765.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $28.06 | 311 | $8,726.66 | $8,747.68 |
$-38.88 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.00 | 323 | $8,721.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.87 | 323 | $8,679.01 | $8,705.69 |
$-41.99 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $27.24 | 319 | $8,689.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.60 | 319 | $8,804.40 | $8,820.53 |
+$114.84 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.25 | 323 | $8,801.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.40 | 323 | $8,525.59 | $8,544.37 |
$-276.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $26.74 | 319 | $8,530.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.33 | 319 | $8,718.27 | $8,732.58 |
+$188.21 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.75 | 326 | $8,722.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.15 | 326 | $8,524.90 | $8,535.35 |
$-197.23 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $26.17 | 326 | $8,533.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.93 | 326 | $8,453.18 | $8,455.48 |
$-79.87 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.88 | 326 | $8,436.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.25 | 326 | $8,231.53 | $8,250.13 |
$-205.35 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $25.90 | 318 | $8,234.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.88 | 318 | $8,229.84 | $8,245.36 |
$-4.77 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.36 | 312 | $8,224.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.73 | 312 | $8,026.20 | $8,047.46 |
$-197.90 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $25.37 | 317 | $8,042.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.90 | 317 | $8,208.72 | $8,213.88 |
+$166.42 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.82 | 318 | $8,210.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.64 | 318 | $8,153.52 | $8,156.64 |
$-57.24 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.25 | 310 | $8,135.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.01 | 310 | $8,064.09 | $8,084.78 |
$-71.86 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $26.22 | 308 | $8,077.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.43 | 308 | $7,833.98 | $7,841.64 |
$-243.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.02 | 313 | $7,832.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $24.24 | 313 | $7,585.87 | $7,594.68 |
$-246.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $24.00 | 316 | $7,584.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:45am ET | $24.08 | 316 | $7,610.86 | $7,621.54 |
+$26.86 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $23.76 | 320 | $7,604.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.33 | 320 | $7,787.20 | $7,803.94 |
+$182.40 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.78 | 328 | $7,801.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $24.27 | 328 | $7,962.20 | $7,964.66 |
+$160.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $24.27 | 328 | $7,960.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $24.58 | 328 | $8,060.63 | $8,064.73 |
+$100.07 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $24.17 | 333 | $8,046.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $24.70 | 333 | $8,223.87 | $8,241.66 |
+$176.92 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.24 | 326 | $8,228.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $24.84 | 326 | $8,099.47 | $8,112.89 |
$-128.77 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.00 | 324 | $8,101.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $24.80 | 324 | $8,033.58 | $8,044.85 |
$-68.04 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $24.27 | 328 | $7,960.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.75 | 328 | $8,118.46 | $8,202.75 |
+$157.90 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 12:55pm ET | $25.08 | 327 | $8,199.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $25.60 | 327 | $8,371.20 | $8,374.42 |
+$171.67 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $25.50 | 328 | $8,362.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.01 | 328 | $8,531.28 | $8,543.34 |
+$168.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $26.42 | 323 | $8,534.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $26.95 | 323 | $8,706.46 | $8,715.08 |
+$171.74 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $27.01 | 322 | $8,698.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.66 | 322 | $8,584.52 | $8,600.77 |
$-114.31 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $27.15 | 316 | $8,577.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.74 | 316 | $8,765.84 | $8,788.79 |
+$188.02 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.86 | 315 | $8,775.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.91 | 315 | $8,791.65 | $8,804.54 |
+$15.75 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.25 | 311 | $8,785.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.83 | 311 | $8,653.58 | $8,672.37 |
$-132.17 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.25 | 311 | $8,785.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $28.68 | 311 | $8,921.03 | $8,807.65 |
+$135.28 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $28.64 | 307 | $8,790.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.74 | 307 | $8,516.18 | $8,532.88 |
$-274.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $27.84 | 306 | $8,519.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $27.79 | 306 | $8,503.77 | $8,517.61 |
$-15.27 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $27.57 | 308 | $8,492.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.65 | 308 | $8,516.20 | $8,541.48 |
+$23.87 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.61 | 309 | $8,531.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $28.17 | 309 | $8,704.07 | $8,714.55 |
+$173.07 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,714.55
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,285.45
Total Return:
-12.85%