Compendium › Rebel Contraire › PG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PG
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+9.52%
Year to Date Return
$10,686.04
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,757.28
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:16:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.2

30-Day Momentum

40
+6.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.3 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,661
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,757.28
Current Value
$10,686.04
Period P&L
$928.76
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+4.64%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.39%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$486,264.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$928.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$928.76
Gross Return
+9.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,757.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:35am ET $143.76 68 $9,775.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $140.58 68 $9,559.44 $9,566.89 $-215.92
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET $140.72 67 $9,428.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $142.24 67 $9,529.75 $9,668.40 +$101.51
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET $143.77 67 $9,632.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET $146.72 67 $9,830.24 $9,866.05 +$197.65
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET $144.65 68 $9,836.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET $146.77 68 $9,980.36 $10,010.21 +$144.16
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $146.03 68 $9,929.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $149.50 68 $10,166.00 $10,246.51 +$236.30
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $150.45 68 $10,230.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $148.20 68 $10,077.27 $10,093.51 $-152.99
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:20am ET $149.47 67 $10,014.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $153.02 67 $10,252.67 $10,332.03 +$238.52
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET $155.19 66 $10,242.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $158.30 66 $10,447.80 $10,537.37 +$205.34
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $159.05 66 $10,497.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $158.62 66 $10,468.92 $10,508.99 $-28.38
(-0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET $160.40 65 $10,425.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $161.09 65 $10,470.79 $10,554.10 +$45.11
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET $165.68 63 $10,437.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $165.29 63 $10,413.27 $10,529.53 $-24.57
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $161.85 65 $10,520.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $156.97 65 $10,202.89 $10,212.17 $-317.36
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $153.29 66 $10,117.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $156.45 66 $10,325.70 $10,420.73 +$208.56
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $153.29 67 $10,270.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $151.54 67 $10,153.18 $10,303.81 $-116.92
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $152.13 67 $10,192.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:05am ET $147.54 67 $9,885.18 $9,996.28 $-307.53
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $145.29 68 $9,879.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET $144.84 68 $9,849.12 $9,965.68 $-30.60
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $143.81 69 $9,922.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $144.96 69 $10,002.24 $10,045.31 +$79.63
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $143.32 70 $10,032.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.88 70 $10,001.60 $10,014.51 $-30.80
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $141.90 70 $9,933.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $144.75 70 $10,132.50 $10,214.01 +$199.50
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $146.65 69 $10,118.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $144.41 69 $9,964.63 $10,059.79 $-154.22
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $143.20 70 $10,024.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $146.07 70 $10,224.90 $10,260.69 +$200.90
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $145.30 70 $10,171.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $152.05 70 $10,643.50 $10,732.84 +$472.15
(+4.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $148.96 72 $10,725.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $145.18 72 $10,453.32 $10,460.68 $-272.16
(-2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
24 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $143.38 72 $10,323.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $146.51 72 $10,548.72 $10,686.04 +$225.36
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,686.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$686.04
Total Return: +6.86%
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