SLV Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 44 trades in period
-22.08%
Year to Date Return
$13,173.75
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$16,907.18
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
32.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 32.4
30-Day Momentum
9
-13.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,564
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$16,907.18
Current Value
$13,173.75
Period P&L
$-3,733.41
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
21 /
23
Best Trade
+5.81%
Worst Trade
-5.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,452,728.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,733.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,733.41
Gross Return
-22.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.08%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,907.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $65.36 | 258 | $16,862.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.16 | 258 | $17,843.28 | $17,887.57 |
+$980.40 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $73.24 | 244 | $17,870.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.07 | 244 | $17,097.93 | $17,115.07 |
$-772.50 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $68.84 | 248 | $17,072.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.31 | 248 | $17,684.88 | $17,727.63 |
+$612.56 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $77.34 | 229 | $17,710.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.82 | 229 | $18,278.80 | $18,295.57 |
+$567.94 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $82.14 | 222 | $18,235.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $83.89 | 222 | $18,623.58 | $18,683.85 |
+$388.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $83.84 | 222 | $18,612.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.90 | 222 | $17,958.69 | $18,030.02 |
$-653.83 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $85.56 | 210 | $17,967.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $82.48 | 210 | $17,320.80 | $17,383.22 |
$-646.80 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $86.70 | 200 | $17,340.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.01 | 200 | $18,001.00 | $18,044.22 |
+$661.00 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $102.27 | 176 | $17,999.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $98.82 | 176 | $17,392.32 | $17,437.02 |
$-607.20 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $103.77 | 168 | $17,433.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $100.61 | 168 | $16,901.64 | $16,905.50 |
$-531.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $103.51 | 163 | $16,872.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $105.71 | 163 | $17,230.73 | $17,264.10 |
+$358.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $72.07 | 239 | $17,224.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $69.46 | 239 | $16,600.94 | $16,641.03 |
$-623.07 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $79.77 | 208 | $16,592.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $77.36 | 208 | $16,090.88 | $16,139.75 |
$-501.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $77.50 | 208 | $16,118.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $79.10 | 208 | $16,451.76 | $16,472.55 |
+$332.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $66.89 | 246 | $16,453.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.62 | 246 | $16,880.52 | $16,899.36 |
+$426.81 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $74.87 | 225 | $16,845.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $72.49 | 225 | $16,310.27 | $16,363.83 |
$-535.52 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.49 | 246 | $16,355.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.49 | 246 | $17,094.54 | $17,103.06 |
+$739.23 (+4.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $70.93 | 241 | $17,095.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.05 | 241 | $17,605.05 | $17,612.78 |
+$509.72 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $78.83 | 223 | $17,578.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $80.46 | 223 | $17,943.69 | $17,977.50 |
+$364.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $79.03 | 227 | $17,938.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.83 | 227 | $18,575.41 | $18,614.24 |
+$636.74 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $78.28 | 237 | $18,551.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $80.00 | 237 | $18,958.82 | $19,021.88 |
+$407.64 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $84.59 | 224 | $18,948.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.32 | 224 | $18,215.68 | $18,289.27 |
$-732.61 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.99 | 247 | $18,275.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $75.50 | 247 | $18,648.48 | $18,662.22 |
+$372.95 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $75.72 | 246 | $18,628.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $73.14 | 246 | $17,992.44 | $18,026.31 |
$-635.91 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $76.27 | 236 | $17,999.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $77.90 | 236 | $18,384.40 | $18,410.92 |
+$384.61 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $79.96 | 230 | $18,391.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $77.46 | 230 | $17,815.80 | $17,834.77 |
$-576.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $76.86 | 232 | $17,832.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $74.11 | 232 | $17,192.36 | $17,194.71 |
$-640.06 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $72.73 | 236 | $17,164.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.52 | 236 | $16,406.72 | $16,436.44 |
$-758.27 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.76 | 266 | $16,428.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.25 | 266 | $16,824.50 | $16,832.78 |
+$396.34 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.44 | 265 | $16,811.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $61.52 | 265 | $16,302.80 | $16,324.01 |
$-508.77 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.73 | 264 | $16,296.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $62.97 | 264 | $16,624.05 | $16,651.34 |
+$327.33 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $65.65 | 253 | $16,609.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 253 | $15,696.37 | $15,738.29 |
$-913.05 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $63.97 | 246 | $15,737.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.91 | 246 | $16,213.86 | $16,214.30 |
+$476.01 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $67.65 | 239 | $16,169.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 239 | $15,205.90 | $15,250.65 |
$-963.65 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $65.55 | 232 | $15,207.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.47 | 232 | $14,725.04 | $14,768.09 |
$-482.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $68.92 | 214 | $14,748.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $66.82 | 214 | $14,300.55 | $14,319.76 |
$-448.33 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $69.14 | 207 | $14,310.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.04 | 207 | $13,878.31 | $13,887.13 |
$-432.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $71.42 | 194 | $13,854.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.87 | 194 | $14,330.78 | $14,363.40 |
+$476.27 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $72.57 | 197 | $14,296.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $70.28 | 197 | $13,844.18 | $13,911.29 |
$-452.11 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $70.38 | 197 | $13,863.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $68.26 | 197 | $13,447.22 | $13,494.64 |
$-416.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $69.19 | 195 | $13,492.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 195 | $12,807.60 | $12,810.17 |
$-684.47 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.85 | 197 | $12,775.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.63 | 197 | $13,125.91 | $13,160.63 |
+$350.46 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $69.35 | 189 | $13,107.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.32 | 189 | $12,533.54 | $12,586.90 |
$-573.73 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $66.39 | 189 | $12,548.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.50 | 189 | $13,135.50 | $13,173.75 |
+$586.85 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,173.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,173.75
Total Return:
+31.74%