TLT Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 18 trades in period
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Market Closed (4 days)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,135.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $87.72 | 104 | $9,122.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.26 | 104 | $9,074.52 | $9,135.64 |
$-48.14 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.16 | 104 | $9,064.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.44 | 104 | $9,093.76 | $9,164.76 |
+$29.12 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $87.66 | 104 | $9,116.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.65 | 104 | $9,011.60 | $9,059.72 |
$-105.04 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $86.63 | 104 | $9,009.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $88.37 | 104 | $9,189.96 | $9,240.68 |
+$180.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $88.04 | 104 | $9,155.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.04 | 104 | $9,052.16 | $9,137.20 |
$-103.48 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $86.47 | 105 | $9,079.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.14 | 105 | $9,149.70 | $9,207.55 |
+$70.35 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $88.42 | 104 | $9,195.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $88.43 | 104 | $9,197.24 | $9,209.36 |
+$1.81 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
36m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $89.88 | 102 | $9,167.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.56 | 102 | $9,134.61 | $9,176.21 |
$-33.15 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $89.85 | 102 | $9,164.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.98 | 102 | $9,177.96 | $9,189.47 |
+$13.26 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $89.26 | 102 | $9,104.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.28 | 102 | $9,004.56 | $9,089.81 |
$-99.66 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $88.79 | 102 | $9,056.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.18 | 102 | $8,892.36 | $8,926.10 |
$-163.71 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $87.40 | 102 | $8,914.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.18 | 102 | $8,789.85 | $8,801.14 |
$-124.96 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.69 | 102 | $8,740.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.62 | 102 | $8,835.24 | $8,895.49 |
+$94.35 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET | $86.76 | 102 | $8,850.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.51 | 102 | $8,824.02 | $8,869.48 |
$-26.01 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.22 | 102 | $8,794.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.43 | 102 | $8,815.86 | $8,890.39 |
+$20.91 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.67 | 102 | $8,839.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.10 | 102 | $8,884.20 | $8,934.76 |
+$44.37 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $86.81 | 102 | $8,854.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.49 | 102 | $8,821.47 | $8,902.12 |
$-32.64 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.11 | 103 | $8,869.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.35 | 103 | $8,791.05 | $8,823.84 |
$-78.28 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |