Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:53:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.2

30-Day Momentum

15
+1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,451
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,684.84
Current Value
$10,745.28
Period P&L
$1,060.49
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
66
Winners / Losers
38 / 28
Best Trade
+12.02%
Worst Trade
-9.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,211,146.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,060.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,060.49
Gross Return
+10.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 66 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,684.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $581.76 16 $9,308.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $593.54 16 $9,496.64 $9,855.04 +$188.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $605.39 16 $9,686.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $618.99 16 $9,903.84 $10,072.64 +$217.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $619.33 16 $9,909.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:00am ET $615.84 16 $9,853.44 $10,016.80 $-55.84
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:30am ET $611.25 16 $9,780.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:55am ET $624.53 16 $9,992.48 $10,229.28 +$212.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET $627.81 16 $10,044.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $608.79 16 $9,740.64 $9,924.96 $-304.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $628.87 15 $9,432.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $641.46 15 $9,621.90 $10,113.88 +$188.93
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET $632.45 15 $9,486.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET $616.38 15 $9,245.70 $9,872.83 $-241.05
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $592.93 16 $9,486.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $574.57 16 $9,193.12 $9,579.07 $-293.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $581.61 16 $9,305.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $563.06 16 $9,008.96 $9,282.19 $-296.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $545.69 17 $9,276.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $545.90 17 $9,280.30 $9,285.77 +$3.57
(+0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $501.68 18 $9,030.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $512.00 18 $9,216.00 $9,471.53 +$185.76
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:35pm ET $505.86 18 $9,105.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $516.48 18 $9,296.73 $9,662.78 +$191.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $516.40 18 $9,295.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $512.74 18 $9,229.32 $9,596.90 $-65.88
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET $497.93 19 $9,460.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $508.58 19 $9,663.02 $9,799.25 +$202.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $511.70 19 $9,722.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $494.80 19 $9,401.29 $9,478.24 $-321.01
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $498.96 18 $8,981.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $483.17 18 $8,697.06 $9,194.07 $-284.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $466.15 19 $8,856.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $476.99 19 $9,062.81 $9,399.93 +$205.86
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $467.23 20 $9,344.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $476.59 20 $9,531.80 $9,587.13 +$187.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $481.45 19 $9,147.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $491.51 19 $9,338.69 $9,778.37 +$191.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $488.69 20 $9,773.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $473.95 20 $9,478.91 $9,483.48 $-294.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $481.13 19 $9,141.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $490.89 19 $9,326.91 $9,669.02 +$185.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $494.83 19 $9,401.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $485.31 19 $9,220.89 $9,488.23 $-180.79
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $485.88 19 $9,231.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $504.98 19 $9,594.62 $9,851.13 +$362.90
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $496.04 19 $9,424.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $506.34 19 $9,620.46 $10,046.83 +$195.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $528.22 19 $10,036.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.44 19 $9,926.36 $9,936.92 $-109.91
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $525.10 18 $9,451.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $536.72 18 $9,661.05 $10,146.08 +$209.16
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET $522.50 19 $9,927.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 19 $8,942.64 $9,161.22 $-984.86
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $470.41 19 $8,937.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $468.33 19 $8,898.36 $9,121.79 $-39.43
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $475.05 19 $9,025.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $460.60 19 $8,751.40 $8,847.24 $-274.55
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
30 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:00am ET $474.67 18 $8,543.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:00am ET $459.65 18 $8,273.73 $8,577.00 $-270.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
31 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:50am ET $460.02 18 $8,280.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:45am ET $446.02 18 $8,028.45 $8,325.00 $-252.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
32 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $453.16 18 $8,156.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $439.45 18 $7,910.01 $8,078.13 $-246.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
33 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:40am ET $440.34 18 $7,926.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $449.59 18 $8,092.62 $8,244.63 +$166.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
34 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:05am ET $444.03 18 $7,992.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $453.80 18 $8,168.40 $8,420.49 +$175.86
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
35 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:00am ET $448.79 18 $8,078.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $462.37 18 $8,322.66 $8,664.93 +$244.44
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
36 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $488.64 17 $8,306.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $498.55 17 $8,475.27 $8,833.40 +$168.47
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $493.07 17 $8,382.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $478.05 17 $8,126.85 $8,578.14 $-255.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $493.07 17 $8,382.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $476.85 17 $8,106.45 $8,302.49 $-275.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:50am ET $475.25 17 $8,079.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $486.39 17 $8,268.63 $8,491.87 +$189.38
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $490.57 17 $8,339.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $475.07 17 $8,076.19 $8,228.37 $-263.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $470.17 17 $7,992.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $470.84 17 $8,004.28 $8,239.76 +$11.39
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $463.15 17 $7,873.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $464.48 17 $7,896.16 $8,262.37 +$22.61
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $488.44 16 $7,815.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $508.00 16 $8,128.00 $8,575.33 +$312.96
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:00am ET $501.88 17 $8,531.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $512.32 17 $8,709.44 $8,752.90 +$177.57
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:40am ET $500.14 17 $8,502.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:10am ET $510.53 17 $8,679.01 $8,929.52 +$176.63
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:10am ET $525.58 16 $8,409.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $509.39 16 $8,150.24 $8,670.48 $-259.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $516.84 16 $8,269.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $528.06 16 $8,449.00 $8,849.96 +$179.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:55am ET $530.35 16 $8,485.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $541.52 16 $8,664.32 $9,028.68 +$178.72
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:50am ET $537.84 16 $8,605.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $509.77 16 $8,156.24 $8,579.56 $-449.12
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:30am ET $519.59 16 $8,313.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $582.04 16 $9,312.72 $9,578.84 +$999.28
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $562.04 17 $9,554.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $574.77 17 $9,771.09 $9,795.25 +$216.41
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $577.52 16 $9,240.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $575.20 16 $9,203.20 $9,758.13 $-37.12
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $565.60 17 $9,615.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:45am ET $577.29 17 $9,813.93 $9,956.77 +$198.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:45am ET $572.43 17 $9,731.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET $584.49 17 $9,936.33 $10,161.79 +$205.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:50am ET $592.75 17 $10,076.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $605.47 17 $10,292.99 $10,378.03 +$216.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $603.42 17 $10,258.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $583.07 17 $9,912.11 $10,032.00 $-346.03
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET $588.17 17 $9,998.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $608.60 17 $10,346.20 $10,379.31 +$347.31
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $617.11 16 $9,873.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET $631.61 16 $10,105.76 $10,611.28 +$231.97
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $623.96 17 $10,607.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $633.50 17 $10,769.50 $10,773.46 +$162.18
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $634.87 16 $10,157.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $614.34 16 $9,829.44 $10,444.98 $-328.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $634.87 16 $10,157.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $612.41 16 $9,798.48 $10,085.54 $-359.44
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $613.86 16 $9,821.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $605.67 16 $9,690.80 $9,954.58 $-130.96
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $604.09 16 $9,665.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $626.83 16 $10,029.28 $10,318.42 +$363.84
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:30am ET $639.33 16 $10,229.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $652.48 16 $10,439.76 $10,528.90 +$210.48
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $659.18 15 $9,887.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $657.72 15 $9,865.80 $10,507.00 $-21.90
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
66 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $658.36 15 $9,875.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:55am ET $674.25 15 $10,113.75 $10,745.28 +$238.28
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,745.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$745.28
Total Return: +7.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire