Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:46

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 50.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 49.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,626.11
Current Value
$17,092.95
Period P&L
$3,466.89
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
38 / 23
Best Trade
+13.09%
Worst Trade
-5.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,934,497.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,466.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,466.89
Gross Return
+25.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,626.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $122.46 111 $13,593.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $125.61 111 $13,942.71 $13,975.72 +$349.65
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET $124.06 112 $13,894.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $119.13 112 $13,342.00 $13,422.96 $-552.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:15am ET $120.53 111 $13,378.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $123.17 111 $13,671.32 $13,716.00 +$293.04
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $124.24 110 $13,666.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET $126.76 110 $13,943.52 $13,993.12 +$277.12
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:45am ET $129.30 108 $13,964.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $130.38 108 $14,081.04 $14,109.76 +$116.64
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $133.15 105 $13,980.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $135.91 105 $14,270.55 $14,399.68 +$289.93
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET $135.61 106 $14,374.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $141.36 106 $14,983.63 $15,008.65 +$608.97
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:05am ET $139.40 107 $14,915.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET $142.38 107 $15,235.19 $15,328.58 +$319.93
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $146.31 104 $15,216.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET $149.25 104 $15,522.00 $15,634.34 +$305.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $149.36 104 $15,533.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $150.87 104 $15,690.48 $15,791.38 +$157.04
(+1.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $147.26 107 $15,756.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $150.23 107 $16,074.61 $16,109.17 +$317.79
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $151.73 106 $16,083.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:25am ET $147.14 106 $15,596.84 $15,622.64 $-486.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET $150.25 103 $15,476.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $153.43 103 $15,803.29 $15,949.85 +$327.21
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET $151.87 105 $15,946.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $151.57 105 $15,915.37 $15,918.88 $-30.97
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $148.35 107 $15,873.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET $151.38 107 $16,197.67 $16,243.10 +$324.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $154.51 105 $16,223.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:10am ET $157.66 105 $16,554.30 $16,573.64 +$330.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $160.15 103 $16,495.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET $155.21 103 $15,986.63 $16,064.82 $-508.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $161.26 99 $15,964.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $155.32 99 $15,376.68 $15,477.26 $-587.56
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $165.49 93 $15,390.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $169.15 93 $15,731.41 $15,818.10 +$340.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET $174.83 90 $15,734.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $168.60 90 $15,174.01 $15,257.41 $-560.69
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $160.48 95 $15,245.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $164.68 95 $15,644.60 $15,656.41 +$399.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $161.20 97 $15,636.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $165.30 97 $16,034.58 $16,054.59 +$398.18
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET $153.81 104 $15,996.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $157.02 104 $16,330.08 $16,388.43 +$333.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $153.77 106 $16,299.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 106 $15,647.72 $15,736.53 $-651.90
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $148.01 106 $15,689.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $151.23 106 $16,030.38 $16,077.85 +$341.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $143.90 111 $15,972.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $147.34 111 $16,354.74 $16,459.69 +$381.84
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $148.13 111 $16,442.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $149.15 111 $16,556.20 $16,573.46 +$113.77
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $151.90 109 $16,556.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET $155.00 109 $16,895.00 $16,911.90 +$338.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
29 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $153.05 110 $16,835.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $148.12 110 $16,292.65 $16,369.05 $-542.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
30 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:30am ET $144.41 113 $16,318.33 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:35am ET $147.30 113 $16,645.46 $16,696.18 +$327.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
31 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $150.95 110 $16,603.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $154.23 110 $16,965.30 $17,057.53 +$361.35
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
32 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $161.00 105 $16,905.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $156.14 105 $16,394.70 $16,547.23 $-510.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
33 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $154.10 107 $16,489.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.19 107 $15,749.33 $15,807.33 $-739.90
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
34 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $149.46 105 $15,692.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $144.96 105 $15,220.80 $15,335.36 $-471.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:10am ET $148.93 102 $15,191.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $152.34 102 $15,538.68 $15,682.67 +$347.31
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $151.35 103 $15,588.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $149.36 103 $15,384.08 $15,478.21 $-204.46
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $150.76 102 $15,377.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $145.61 102 $14,852.22 $14,952.91 $-525.30
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET $138.86 107 $14,858.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET $141.66 107 $15,158.15 $15,253.04 +$300.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $141.39 107 $15,128.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $136.55 107 $14,611.12 $14,735.43 $-517.61
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $137.90 106 $14,617.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $137.01 106 $14,523.59 $14,641.62 $-93.81
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET $135.75 107 $14,525.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $138.96 107 $14,869.25 $14,985.63 +$344.00
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET $136.76 109 $14,906.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $139.63 109 $15,219.67 $15,298.46 +$312.83
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $142.50 107 $15,247.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $138.18 107 $14,785.26 $14,836.22 $-462.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET $137.69 107 $14,732.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $142.17 107 $15,212.14 $15,315.53 +$479.31
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:50am ET $144.38 106 $15,304.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $148.22 106 $15,711.32 $15,722.57 +$407.04
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.42 107 $15,666.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $149.36 107 $15,981.52 $16,037.15 +$314.58
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:35am ET $153.66 104 $15,980.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $157.49 104 $16,379.48 $16,435.98 +$398.84
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET $157.40 104 $16,370.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET $152.58 104 $15,868.33 $15,934.19 $-501.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET $137.69 107 $14,732.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $155.72 107 $16,662.04 $17,863.40 +$1,929.21
(+13.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $154.62 115 $17,780.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $149.79 115 $17,225.85 $17,308.52 $-554.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $153.01 113 $17,290.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.32 113 $17,664.72 $17,683.12 +$374.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET $160.57 110 $17,663.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $159.30 110 $17,523.00 $17,542.87 $-140.25
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:35am ET $163.97 106 $17,380.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $167.46 106 $17,751.29 $17,913.34 +$370.47
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $167.76 106 $17,782.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET $162.65 106 $17,240.90 $17,371.68 $-541.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $167.76 106 $17,782.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $158.16 106 $16,765.49 $16,354.61 $-1,017.07
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $157.68 103 $16,241.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $161.33 103 $16,616.99 $16,730.56 +$375.95
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $157.68 103 $16,241.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $164.51 103 $16,944.02 $17,433.54 +$702.98
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $160.28 108 $17,310.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $164.83 108 $17,801.64 $17,924.94 +$491.40
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:25am ET $163.45 109 $17,816.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $166.84 109 $18,185.02 $18,293.91 +$368.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET $167.67 109 $18,276.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $162.27 109 $17,687.97 $17,705.85 $-588.06
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:40am ET $162.74 108 $17,576.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $157.07 108 $16,963.56 $17,092.95 $-612.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,092.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,092.95
Total Return: +70.93%
Back to Rebel Contraire