Compendium › Surge › CRM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRM
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-2.18%
Last Month Return
$11,440.83
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,696.16
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:06:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 22.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+7.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.4 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,696.16
Current Value
$11,440.83
Period P&L
$-255.33
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+21.50%
Worst Trade
-6.43%
Avg Trade Return
+3.29%
Avg Hold Time
10.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$71,323.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-255.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-255.33
Gross Return
-2.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,696.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 55 $10,479.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 55 $12,732.50 $12,885.26 +$2,253.35
(+21.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $265.56 48 $12,746.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $248.48 48 $11,927.08 $12,065.46 $-819.80
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $255.98 47 $12,031.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $242.69 47 $11,406.43 $11,440.83 $-624.63
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,440.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,440.83
Total Return: +14.41%
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