Compendium › Surge › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 1 trades in period

+15.19%
Last Month Return
$12,362.82
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,732.88
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:10:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 18.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,799
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,732.88
Current Value
$12,362.82
Period P&L
$1,629.93
Max Drawdown
-36.3%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
1
Winners / Losers
1 / 0
Best Trade
+15.04%
Worst Trade
+15.04%
Avg Trade Return
+15.04%
Avg Hold Time
36.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$23,109.54
Estimated Fees
$57.77
Gross P&L
$1,629.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,572.16
Gross Return
+15.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.65%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 1 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,732.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $0.0928 115,805 $10,746.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 5:15am ET $0.1068 115,805 $12,362.82 $12,362.82 +$1,558.32
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
36.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,362.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,362.82
Total Return: +23.63%
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