Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:49:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 7, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
13.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 77.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 76.8

30-Day Momentum

65
+115.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,744
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$34,784.06
Current Value
$74,485.61
Period P&L
$39,701.55
Max Drawdown
-33.3%
Sharpe Ratio
6.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+22.00%
Worst Trade
+15.03%
Avg Trade Return
+16.61%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$531,714.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$39,701.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$39,701.55
Gross Return
+114.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+114.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $34,784.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 633 $34,580.79
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 633 $42,188.56 $42,227.25 +$7,607.77
(+22.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $74.81 564 $42,192.84
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $86.11 564 $48,565.59 $48,600.00 +$6,372.75
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 494 $48,582.43
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $113.27 494 $55,955.38 $55,972.95 +$7,372.95
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 487 $55,878.38
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $132.79 487 $64,668.73 $64,763.30 +$8,790.35
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 477 $64,689.69
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 477 $74,412.00 $74,485.61 +$9,722.31
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $74,485.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$64,485.61
Total Return: +644.86%
Back to Surge