Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-25 18:42:07

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

73
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
24.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
8.8/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 73.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 73.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-2.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-70 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$90,327.63
Current Value
$83,335.55
Period P&L
$-6,992.08
Max Drawdown
-33.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+15.70%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.62%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,321,119.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,992.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,992.08
Gross Return
-7.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $90,327.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $235.90 382 $90,113.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $223.66 382 $85,438.08 $85,651.91 $-4,675.72
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $240.40 356 $85,582.40
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $277.78 356 $98,889.68 $98,959.19 +$13,307.28
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.74 471 $98,787.54
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $197.83 471 $93,177.93 $93,349.58 $-5,609.61
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $194.54 479 $93,184.66
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $225.08 479 $107,811.11 $107,976.04 +$14,626.46
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $264.52 408 $107,922.13
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET $246.49 408 $100,567.92 $100,621.84 $-7,354.20
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $267.65 375 $100,370.62
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $234.40 375 $87,900.00 $88,151.21 $-12,470.63
(-12.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $265.35 332 $88,094.54
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET $250.84 332 $83,278.88 $83,335.55 $-4,815.66
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $83,335.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$73,335.55
Total Return: +733.36%
Back to Surge