ABBV Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 37 trades in period
+22.38%
Last Year Return
$12,682.65
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,363.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
28.2/100
× Confidence 0.82
= 23.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,834
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,363.44
Current Value
$12,682.65
Period P&L
$2,319.21
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
17 /
20
Best Trade
+15.04%
Worst Trade
-5.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$816,505.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,319.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,319.21
Gross Return
+22.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,363.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 3:30pm ET | $222.20 | 46 | $10,220.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $227.77 | 46 | $10,477.19 | $10,619.66 |
+$256.22 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 12:10pm ET | $227.71 | 46 | $10,474.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $236.50 | 46 | $10,878.83 | $11,024.06 |
+$404.40 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $237.89 | 46 | $10,942.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 3:00pm ET | $243.84 | 46 | $11,216.64 | $11,297.99 |
+$273.93 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:35am ET | $232.81 | 48 | $11,174.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:05am ET | $230.46 | 48 | $11,062.08 | $11,185.19 |
$-112.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 3:15pm ET | $232.91 | 48 | $11,179.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:45pm ET | $231.80 | 48 | $11,126.40 | $11,131.91 |
$-53.28 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:15am ET | $234.19 | 47 | $11,006.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $231.61 | 47 | $10,885.47 | $11,010.45 |
$-121.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:55pm ET | $227.90 | 48 | $10,939.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 1:25pm ET | $228.83 | 48 | $10,983.84 | $11,055.09 |
+$44.64 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:30am ET | $228.02 | 48 | $10,944.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 11:00am ET | $226.83 | 48 | $10,887.70 | $10,998.07 |
$-57.02 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $229.39 | 47 | $10,781.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $227.04 | 47 | $10,670.88 | $10,887.62 |
$-110.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:50am ET | $218.02 | 49 | $10,682.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET | $218.59 | 49 | $10,710.91 | $10,915.55 |
+$27.93 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:50am ET | $222.81 | 48 | $10,694.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $228.47 | 48 | $10,966.32 | $11,186.99 |
+$271.44 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $229.45 | 48 | $11,013.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $237.72 | 48 | $11,410.56 | $11,583.95 |
+$396.96 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 11:20am ET | $238.64 | 48 | $11,454.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:00pm ET | $236.25 | 48 | $11,340.00 | $11,469.23 |
$-114.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 2:45pm ET | $234.95 | 48 | $11,277.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $232.44 | 48 | $11,157.12 | $11,348.75 |
$-120.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $235.75 | 48 | $11,316.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $234.67 | 48 | $11,263.92 | $11,296.55 |
$-52.20 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $227.91 | 49 | $11,167.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:55am ET | $229.29 | 49 | $11,235.21 | $11,364.17 |
+$67.62 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $228.19 | 49 | $11,181.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $224.55 | 49 | $11,002.71 | $11,185.56 |
$-178.61 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $225.74 | 49 | $11,061.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET | $225.01 | 49 | $11,025.49 | $11,149.79 |
$-35.77 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $226.32 | 49 | $11,089.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $225.98 | 49 | $11,073.02 | $11,133.13 |
$-16.66 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 12:05pm ET | $228.27 | 48 | $10,956.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:35pm ET | $229.20 | 48 | $11,001.60 | $11,177.77 |
+$44.64 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $231.86 | 48 | $11,129.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $229.34 | 48 | $11,008.32 | $11,056.81 |
$-120.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $229.43 | 48 | $11,012.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $220.75 | 48 | $10,596.00 | $10,640.17 |
$-416.64 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $229.68 | 46 | $10,565.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $235.97 | 46 | $10,854.62 | $10,929.51 |
+$289.34 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $216.89 | 50 | $10,844.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $214.67 | 50 | $10,733.25 | $10,818.26 |
$-111.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $213.97 | 50 | $10,698.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $214.90 | 50 | $10,745.00 | $10,864.76 |
+$46.50 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $216.08 | 50 | $10,804.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $218.09 | 50 | $10,904.50 | $10,965.26 |
+$100.50 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $218.15 | 50 | $10,907.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $219.05 | 50 | $10,952.50 | $11,010.26 |
+$45.00 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $223.97 | 49 | $10,974.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $221.44 | 49 | $10,850.56 | $10,886.29 |
$-123.97 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $221.60 | 49 | $10,858.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $221.20 | 49 | $10,838.80 | $10,866.69 |
$-19.60 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $222.65 | 48 | $10,687.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $229.02 | 48 | $10,992.96 | $11,172.45 |
+$305.76 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $212.81 | 52 | $11,066.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $218.55 | 52 | $11,364.60 | $11,470.93 |
+$298.48 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $221.83 | 51 | $11,313.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $221.67 | 51 | $11,305.17 | $11,462.77 |
$-8.16 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $225.50 | 50 | $11,275.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $222.79 | 50 | $11,139.50 | $11,327.27 |
$-135.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $224.79 | 50 | $11,239.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $231.26 | 50 | $11,563.25 | $11,651.02 |
+$323.75 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $232.24 | 50 | $11,611.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $231.55 | 50 | $11,577.50 | $11,616.77 |
$-34.25 (-0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.91 | 55 | $11,600.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $200.36 | 55 | $11,019.80 | $11,036.25 |
$-580.52 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.99 | 48 | $10,943.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.29 | 48 | $12,589.92 | $12,682.65 |
+$1,646.40 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
36d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,682.65
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,682.65
Total Return:
+26.83%