Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 6.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,576
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
255 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,895.49
Current Value
$8,715.33
Period P&L
$-1,180.16
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
19 / 25
Best Trade
+15.32%
Worst Trade
-8.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$919,769.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,180.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,180.16
Gross Return
-11.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 255 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 44 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,895.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 10:10am ET $235.31 42 $9,883.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 10:20am ET $242.34 42 $10,178.10 $10,190.57 +$295.08
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 10:25am ET $242.55 42 $10,187.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 2:40pm ET $248.67 42 $10,444.14 $10,447.61 +$257.04
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:20am ET $246.36 42 $10,347.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $243.69 42 $10,234.98 $10,335.47 $-112.14
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $246.93 41 $10,123.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 2:00pm ET $249.80 41 $10,241.80 $10,453.35 +$117.88
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 11:45am ET $252.86 41 $10,367.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:15pm ET $253.08 41 $10,376.08 $10,462.16 +$8.81
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $243.65 42 $10,233.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $244.43 42 $10,266.06 $10,494.92 +$32.76
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $244.41 42 $10,265.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 11:25am ET $241.89 42 $10,159.38 $10,389.08 $-105.84
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 11:20am ET $236.87 43 $10,185.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET $243.03 43 $10,450.29 $10,654.18 +$265.10
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:45am ET $243.94 43 $10,489.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET $250.24 43 $10,760.11 $10,925.08 +$270.90
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:05am ET $250.67 43 $10,778.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:05am ET $248.08 43 $10,667.44 $10,813.71 $-111.37
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 3:05pm ET $248.92 43 $10,703.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $248.49 43 $10,684.96 $10,795.11 $-18.60
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 11:10am ET $251.53 42 $10,564.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 11:40am ET $253.95 42 $10,665.69 $10,896.54 +$101.43
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:45am ET $254.04 42 $10,669.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 12:15pm ET $253.12 42 $10,631.04 $10,857.90 $-38.64
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 1:30pm ET $254.71 42 $10,697.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:55pm ET $252.03 42 $10,585.26 $10,745.34 $-112.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:20am ET $251.00 42 $10,542.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 11:10am ET $248.27 42 $10,427.34 $10,630.68 $-114.66
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:00pm ET $244.69 43 $10,521.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $242.18 43 $10,413.74 $10,522.75 $-107.93
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:25pm ET $246.73 42 $10,362.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $247.81 42 $10,408.02 $10,568.11 +$45.36
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $244.87 43 $10,529.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $242.18 43 $10,413.74 $10,452.44 $-115.67
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET $246.79 42 $10,364.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:10pm ET $253.19 42 $10,633.81 $10,721.28 +$268.84
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $250.12 42 $10,505.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:40am ET $247.45 42 $10,392.90 $10,609.14 $-112.14
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:40am ET $250.52 42 $10,521.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $256.79 42 $10,785.18 $10,872.48 +$263.34
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:15am ET $257.32 42 $10,807.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:45am ET $258.32 42 $10,849.44 $10,914.56 +$42.08
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET $262.60 41 $10,766.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $269.23 41 $11,038.43 $11,186.60 +$272.04
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:45pm ET $269.11 41 $11,033.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $270.71 41 $11,099.11 $11,252.20 +$65.60
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:15am ET $272.21 41 $11,160.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:40pm ET $269.44 41 $11,047.04 $11,138.63 $-113.57
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $270.56 41 $11,092.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm ET $271.57 41 $11,134.37 $11,180.04 +$41.41
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:10am ET $278.66 40 $11,146.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $275.71 40 $11,028.40 $11,062.04 $-118.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:05am ET $274.74 40 $10,989.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET $270.47 40 $10,818.60 $10,891.04 $-171.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $265.53 41 $10,886.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $270.63 41 $11,095.83 $11,100.14 +$209.10
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $270.60 41 $11,094.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $273.68 41 $11,220.88 $11,226.42 +$126.28
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $282.55 39 $11,019.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $278.35 39 $10,855.65 $11,062.81 $-163.61
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:15am ET $288.90 38 $10,978.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $288.37 38 $10,958.16 $11,042.77 $-20.04
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $288.21 38 $10,951.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $284.38 38 $10,806.25 $10,897.04 $-145.73
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $283.16 38 $10,760.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $280.27 38 $10,650.07 $10,787.03 $-110.01
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $288.89 37 $10,688.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:20am ET $285.77 37 $10,573.49 $10,671.59 $-115.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $239.22 44 $10,525.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $238.03 44 $10,473.32 $10,619.23 $-52.36
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $238.97 44 $10,514.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $232.41 44 $10,226.04 $10,330.59 $-288.64
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $238.15 43 $10,240.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $240.48 43 $10,340.43 $10,430.57 +$99.98
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $241.04 43 $10,364.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $233.41 43 $10,036.63 $10,102.69 $-327.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $194.71 51 $9,929.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 51 $9,206.62 $9,379.36 $-723.33
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 66 $9,357.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 66 $8,606.40 $8,628.28 $-751.08
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $160.20 53 $8,490.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:05am ET $184.74 53 $9,791.22 $9,928.90 +$1,300.62
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $192.93 51 $9,839.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 51 $9,078.00 $9,167.47 $-761.43
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
44 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $191.32 47 $8,992.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $181.71 47 $8,540.14 $8,715.33 $-452.14
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,715.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,284.67
Total Return: -12.85%
Back to Surge