AMC Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 50 trades in period
+43.33%
Last Year Return
$12,148.99
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$8,476.46
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
18.2/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 17.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,983
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,476.46
Current Value
$12,148.99
Period P&L
$3,672.52
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
14 /
36
Best Trade
+23.81%
Worst Trade
-6.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$906,408.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,672.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,672.52
Gross Return
+43.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,476.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 12:35pm ET | $2.87 | 2,953 | $8,475.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $3.02 | 2,953 | $8,903.30 | $8,904.65 |
+$428.19 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $3.05 | 2,920 | $8,901.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:55am ET | $3.01 | 2,920 | $8,774.60 | $8,777.63 |
$-127.02 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:10pm ET | $3.00 | 2,930 | $8,775.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 3:50pm ET | $2.97 | 2,930 | $8,687.45 | $8,689.73 |
$-87.90 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:20pm ET | $3.04 | 2,863 | $8,689.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:45pm ET | $3.13 | 2,863 | $8,961.19 | $8,961.71 |
+$271.98 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $2.87 | 3,122 | $8,960.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 2:45pm ET | $2.84 | 3,122 | $8,850.87 | $8,852.44 |
$-109.27 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 3:00pm ET | $2.88 | 3,073 | $8,850.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:35pm ET | $2.96 | 3,073 | $9,080.72 | $9,082.92 |
+$230.48 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 1:40pm ET | $2.98 | 3,053 | $9,082.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $2.95 | 3,053 | $8,991.09 | $8,991.33 |
$-91.59 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $2.91 | 3,089 | $8,988.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $2.88 | 3,089 | $8,880.88 | $8,883.21 |
$-108.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $2.87 | 3,100 | $8,881.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:00am ET | $2.82 | 3,100 | $8,742.00 | $8,743.71 |
$-139.50 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:45pm ET | $2.79 | 3,133 | $8,741.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $2.75 | 3,133 | $8,615.75 | $8,618.39 |
$-125.32 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 11:20am ET | $2.79 | 3,089 | $8,618.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 12:15pm ET | $2.76 | 3,089 | $8,525.64 | $8,525.72 |
$-92.67 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:00am ET | $2.72 | 3,134 | $8,524.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:05pm ET | $2.69 | 3,134 | $8,414.79 | $8,416.03 |
$-109.69 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:15pm ET | $2.73 | 3,082 | $8,413.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:05pm ET | $2.70 | 3,082 | $8,321.40 | $8,323.57 |
$-92.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 12:45pm ET | $2.57 | 3,238 | $8,321.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $2.53 | 3,238 | $8,192.14 | $8,194.05 |
$-129.52 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:25am ET | $2.60 | 3,151 | $8,192.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $2.57 | 3,151 | $8,098.07 | $8,099.52 |
$-94.53 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 12:05pm ET | $2.44 | 3,319 | $8,098.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 11:55am ET | $2.42 | 3,319 | $8,015.39 | $8,016.55 |
$-82.97 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:45pm ET | $2.18 | 3,685 | $8,014.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET | $2.15 | 3,685 | $7,922.75 | $7,924.43 |
$-92.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:45am ET | $2.13 | 3,729 | $7,924.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:20pm ET | $2.18 | 3,729 | $8,129.22 | $8,129.53 |
+$205.10 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $2.31 | 3,519 | $8,128.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:55am ET | $2.28 | 3,519 | $8,023.32 | $8,023.96 |
$-105.57 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:30am ET | $2.39 | 3,357 | $8,023.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:25am ET | $2.47 | 3,357 | $8,275.01 | $8,275.73 |
+$251.77 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $2.32 | 3,567 | $8,275.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $2.29 | 3,567 | $8,161.30 | $8,161.94 |
$-113.79 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $2.29 | 3,570 | $8,161.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:55pm ET | $2.26 | 3,570 | $8,068.20 | $8,069.12 |
$-92.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 11:10am ET | $1.82 | 4,433 | $8,068.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:15am ET | $1.80 | 4,433 | $7,979.40 | $7,980.46 |
$-88.66 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:05pm ET | $1.71 | 4,680 | $7,979.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $1.65 | 4,680 | $7,698.60 | $7,699.66 |
$-280.80 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $1.58 | 4,873 | $7,699.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.54 | 4,873 | $7,504.42 | $7,504.74 |
$-194.92 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.52 | 4,953 | $7,503.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1.57 | 4,953 | $7,768.78 | $7,769.73 |
+$264.99 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.73 | 4,491 | $7,769.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1.78 | 4,491 | $7,971.53 | $7,971.83 |
+$202.10 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.59 | 5,013 | $7,970.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.63 | 5,013 | $8,186.73 | $8,187.89 |
+$216.06 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.67 | 4,912 | $8,186.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.65 | 4,912 | $8,104.80 | $8,105.86 |
$-82.03 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $1.61 | 5,035 | $8,105.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1.59 | 5,035 | $8,005.65 | $8,005.66 |
$-100.20 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.68 | 4,779 | $8,004.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.65 | 4,779 | $7,884.87 | $7,885.71 |
$-119.95 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.44 | 5,476 | $7,885.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.43 | 5,476 | $7,803.30 | $7,803.57 |
$-82.14 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.48 | 5,272 | $7,802.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.47 | 5,272 | $7,723.48 | $7,724.49 |
$-79.08 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.44 | 5,380 | $7,724.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.42 | 5,380 | $7,639.60 | $7,640.02 |
$-84.47 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.49 | 5,144 | $7,638.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1.47 | 5,144 | $7,562.19 | $7,563.37 |
$-76.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.37 | 5,540 | $7,562.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.34 | 5,540 | $7,423.60 | $7,424.87 |
$-138.50 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.9975 | 7,443 | $7,424.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.24 | 7,443 | $9,192.11 | $9,192.58 |
+$1,767.71 (+23.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.32 | 6,990 | $9,191.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET | $1.51 | 6,990 | $10,589.85 | $10,590.58 |
+$1,398.00 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.67 | 6,341 | $10,589.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.58 | 6,341 | $10,012.44 | $10,013.55 |
$-577.03 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.47 | 6,799 | $10,012.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:45am ET | $1.71 | 6,799 | $11,656.89 | $11,657.55 |
+$1,644.00 (+16.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $2.11 | 5,514 | $11,656.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.97 | 5,514 | $10,873.06 | $10,874.01 |
$-783.54 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1.92 | 5,672 | $10,873.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.82 | 5,672 | $10,323.04 | $10,323.26 |
$-550.75 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.00 | 5,161 | $10,322.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2.32 | 5,161 | $11,971.97 | $11,973.23 |
+$1,649.97 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.95 | 6,140 | $11,973.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.85 | 6,140 | $11,328.30 | $11,328.53 |
$-644.70 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.09 | 5,421 | $11,328.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.98 | 5,421 | $10,706.48 | $10,706.74 |
$-621.79 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.20 | 4,855 | $10,705.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $2.54 | 4,855 | $12,332.19 | $12,333.65 |
+$1,626.91 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.38 | 5,177 | $12,333.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $2.26 | 5,177 | $11,700.02 | $11,700.51 |
$-633.15 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2.28 | 5,131 | $11,698.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $2.64 | 5,131 | $13,521.72 | $13,523.55 |
+$1,823.04 (+15.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.02 | 4,477 | $13,520.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.86 | 4,477 | $12,791.68 | $12,794.69 |
$-728.86 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.67 | 4,783 | $12,794.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $2.54 | 4,783 | $12,148.82 | $12,148.99 |
$-645.70 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,148.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,148.99
Total Return:
+21.49%