AMGN Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 42 trades in period
+22.84%
Last Year Return
$13,860.34
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,283.21
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
34.1/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 28.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,283.21
Current Value
$13,860.34
Period P&L
$2,577.13
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
21 /
21
Best Trade
+10.52%
Worst Trade
-1.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$948,389.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,577.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,577.13
Gross Return
+22.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,283.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $281.00 | 40 | $11,240.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $278.03 | 40 | $11,121.20 | $11,164.41 |
$-118.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $293.75 | 38 | $11,162.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 11:40am ET | $301.12 | 38 | $11,442.37 | $11,444.28 |
+$279.87 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $300.52 | 38 | $11,419.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $296.22 | 38 | $11,256.36 | $11,281.07 |
$-163.21 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:35am ET | $295.11 | 38 | $11,214.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 12:05pm ET | $297.28 | 38 | $11,296.64 | $11,363.57 |
+$82.50 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $294.75 | 38 | $11,200.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $295.74 | 38 | $11,238.09 | $11,401.16 |
+$37.59 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:55am ET | $296.00 | 38 | $11,248.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:25am ET | $297.45 | 38 | $11,303.10 | $11,456.26 |
+$55.10 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:30am ET | $297.70 | 38 | $11,312.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:00pm ET | $298.81 | 38 | $11,354.59 | $11,498.25 |
+$41.99 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $298.10 | 38 | $11,327.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 2:40pm ET | $301.92 | 38 | $11,472.77 | $11,643.22 |
+$144.97 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 2:45pm ET | $301.69 | 38 | $11,464.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:10am ET | $298.61 | 38 | $11,347.18 | $11,526.37 |
$-116.85 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:30am ET | $291.29 | 39 | $11,360.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 11:00am ET | $292.28 | 39 | $11,398.97 | $11,565.03 |
+$38.66 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 12:35pm ET | $294.38 | 39 | $11,480.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 3:20pm ET | $291.03 | 39 | $11,350.17 | $11,434.38 |
$-130.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $293.88 | 38 | $11,167.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $290.91 | 38 | $11,054.58 | $11,321.52 |
$-112.86 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 2:55pm ET | $296.31 | 38 | $11,259.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 11:35am ET | $293.01 | 38 | $11,134.19 | $11,195.93 |
$-125.59 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $314.70 | 35 | $11,014.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 2:45pm ET | $322.65 | 35 | $11,292.58 | $11,474.09 |
+$278.16 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $320.66 | 35 | $11,223.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET | $320.13 | 35 | $11,204.47 | $11,455.46 |
$-18.63 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $328.88 | 34 | $11,181.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $338.17 | 34 | $11,497.64 | $11,771.18 |
+$315.72 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $342.20 | 34 | $11,634.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $338.15 | 34 | $11,497.10 | $11,633.65 |
$-137.53 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:05am ET | $345.18 | 33 | $11,390.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:40am ET | $341.42 | 33 | $11,266.86 | $11,509.73 |
$-123.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 1:45pm ET | $344.98 | 33 | $11,384.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET | $341.23 | 33 | $11,260.59 | $11,385.98 |
$-123.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $341.11 | 33 | $11,256.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $337.45 | 33 | $11,135.85 | $11,265.20 |
$-120.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:10pm ET | $344.42 | 32 | $11,021.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $344.62 | 32 | $11,027.84 | $11,271.60 |
+$6.40 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET | $345.51 | 32 | $11,056.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $340.89 | 32 | $10,908.48 | $11,123.76 |
$-147.84 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $341.07 | 32 | $10,914.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 1:20pm ET | $337.61 | 32 | $10,803.52 | $11,013.04 |
$-110.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:35am ET | $343.98 | 32 | $11,007.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:05pm ET | $343.13 | 32 | $10,980.16 | $10,985.84 |
$-27.20 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $319.51 | 34 | $10,863.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:50pm ET | $316.08 | 34 | $10,746.72 | $10,869.22 |
$-116.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 2:30pm ET | $324.16 | 33 | $10,697.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:00pm ET | $326.06 | 33 | $10,759.98 | $10,932.09 |
+$62.87 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 3:40pm ET | $327.09 | 33 | $10,793.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $323.40 | 33 | $10,672.20 | $10,810.32 |
$-121.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 11:25am ET | $330.66 | 32 | $10,580.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:25pm ET | $327.14 | 32 | $10,468.48 | $10,697.84 |
$-112.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 3:10pm ET | $331.74 | 32 | $10,615.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:40pm ET | $330.59 | 32 | $10,578.88 | $10,661.20 |
$-36.64 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $326.11 | 32 | $10,435.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $341.83 | 32 | $10,938.56 | $11,164.40 |
+$503.20 (+4.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $327.68 | 34 | $11,141.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $330.49 | 34 | $11,236.49 | $11,259.77 |
+$95.37 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $330.52 | 34 | $11,237.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $331.03 | 34 | $11,254.85 | $11,276.94 |
+$17.17 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $328.93 | 34 | $11,183.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $338.56 | 34 | $11,510.87 | $11,604.19 |
+$327.25 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $337.69 | 34 | $11,481.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $347.52 | 34 | $11,815.51 | $11,938.24 |
+$334.05 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $349.30 | 34 | $11,876.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $345.73 | 34 | $11,754.98 | $11,817.19 |
$-121.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $345.57 | 34 | $11,749.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $340.32 | 34 | $11,570.88 | $11,638.69 |
$-178.50 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $358.40 | 32 | $11,468.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $368.00 | 32 | $11,776.00 | $11,945.89 |
+$307.20 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $378.20 | 31 | $11,724.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $374.39 | 31 | $11,606.09 | $11,827.78 |
$-118.11 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $366.72 | 32 | $11,735.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $368.50 | 32 | $11,792.00 | $11,884.74 |
+$56.96 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $369.07 | 32 | $11,810.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $369.82 | 32 | $11,834.24 | $11,908.74 |
+$24.00 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.61 | 34 | $11,784.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.55 | 34 | $12,496.70 | $12,620.70 |
+$711.96 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.61 | 34 | $11,784.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $383.07 | 34 | $13,024.38 | $13,860.34 |
+$1,239.64 (+10.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
56d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,860.34
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,860.34
Total Return:
+38.60%